Historical analogs

Similar setups to $OTC

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 675 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-4.6%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-85.9%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

33%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 18:44 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 33% (95% CI 20–48%)

Median: -4.6%; CI -15.4% … -1.3%
Trimmed mean: -9.5%; 10% each side
Mean: -11.7%; σ 22.9%
Range: -75.0% … +23.3%

2 below -61.6% (min -75.0%)

p5: -47.4%
p10: -43.0%
p25: -22.1%
p50: -4.6%
p75: +2.5%
p90: +12.1%
p95: +17.8%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 18:44 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 49
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: +286%
Liquidity: $499.7K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	63%	-1.1%	-3.8%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 43
$牛来2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	63%	-4.8%	-5.6%	+1.9%	— · — · — · 43
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	61%	-1.3%	-22.0%	+9.2%	76 · 66 · — · 48
$MUSHU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	59%	+0.9%	-2.2%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 44
$KITTY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	56%	-3.4%	-4.9%	+3.2%	— · — · — · 46
$MEME2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	54%	-3.8%	-11.2%	+1.3%	3 · 81 · — · 46
$KITTY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	54%	-1.5%	-3.0%	+6.0%	— · — · — · 43
$PRISM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	52%	-12.1%	-17.5%	+7.2%	25 · 88 · — · 46
$ORBIO2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	43%	-25.6%	-28.0%	+1.0%	63 · 48 · — · 44
$GENIE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	42%	-18.7%	-18.8%	+4.8%	— · — · — · 53
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	38%	+12.8%	-2.1%	+14.7%	— · — · — · 43
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	33%	-25.0%	-27.3%	0.0%	— · — · — · 47
$SAPLING2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	31%	-32.9%	-33.7%	+2.4%	44 · 62 · — · 53
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	31%	-14.3%	-19.6%	+4.8%	2 · 78 · — · 56
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	31%	-41.2%	-43.1%	+11.7%	43 · 68 · — · 38
$GENIE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	30%	-21.2%	-21.2%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 49
$PRISM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	29%	-4.5%	-10.7%	+16.0%	59 · 86 · — · 43
$GTA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	28%	+9.0%	-6.7%	+50.5%	— · — · — · 43
$FLORK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	26%	-5.4%	-10.2%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 46
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	25%	-15.6%	-15.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 54
$HOOKS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	24%	-46.3%	-54.2%	+9.1%	— · — · — · 44
$SI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	24%	+18.2%	-1.8%	+32.8%	39 · 36 · — · 52
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	24%	+23.3%	-14.3%	+45.2%	3 · 62 · — · 43
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	21%	+12.0%	-3.8%	+15.4%	— · — · — · 43
$TM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	19%	-75.0%	-85.9%	0.0%	24 · 99 · — · 53
$SC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	17%	+1.1%	-0.4%	+2.0%	4 · 99 · — · 43
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	17%	+8.6%	-5.8%	+10.4%	— · — · — · 56
$BNBO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	16%	+2.0%	-8.6%	+8.9%	— · — · — · 44
$牛来2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	14%	-1.5%	-2.3%	+6.1%	— · — · — · 36
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	13%	-45.5%	-46.0%	+15.0%	28 · 63 · — · 42
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	13%	+17.8%	-14.0%	+41.1%	— · — · — · 43
$TM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	11%	-68.0%	-76.5%	+66.7%	— · — · — · 57
$ORBIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	11%	-18.1%	-18.1%	+14.8%	6 · 58 · — · 42
$RARI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	8%	-12.5%	-25.4%	+19.2%	2 · 78 · — · 42
$KNOTS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	7%	+11.8%	-11.1%	+19.2%	— · — · — · 33
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	6%	+6.9%	-5.0%	+8.6%	— · — · — · 46
$CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	5%	-38.0%	-43.9%	+4.8%	8 · 49 · — · 51
$TM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	5%	-42.7%	-79.8%	+16.4%	25 · 86 · — · 53
$BOXY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	5%	+3.9%	-0.8%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 63
$ORBIO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	3%	-15.2%	-15.2%	+5.1%	56 · 45 · — · 45

$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-1.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.8%
$牛来2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-1.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.0%
$MUSHU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$KITTY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-3.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.9%
$MEME2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.2%
$KITTY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$PRISM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-12.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.5%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
43%
24h return
-25.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.0%
$GENIE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
42%
24h return
-18.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.8%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
38%
24h return
+12.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.1%
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
33%
24h return
-25.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.3%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
31%
24h return
-32.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.7%
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
31%
24h return
-14.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.6%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
31%
24h return
-41.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.1%
$GENIE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
30%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.2%
$PRISM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
29%
24h return
-4.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.7%
$GTA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
28%
24h return
+9.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.7%
$FLORK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
26%
24h return
-5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.2%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
25%
24h return
-15.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.6%
$HOOKS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
24%
24h return
-46.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-54.2%
$SI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
24%
24h return
+18.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
24%
24h return
+23.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.3%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
21%
24h return
+12.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.8%
$TM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
19%
24h return
-75.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-85.9%
$SC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
17%
24h return
+1.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.4%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
17%
24h return
+8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.8%
$BNBO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
16%
24h return
+2.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$牛来2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
14%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.3%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
13%
24h return
-45.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.0%
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
13%
24h return
+17.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$TM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
11%
24h return
-68.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-76.5%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
11%
24h return
-18.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.1%
$RARI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
8%
24h return
-12.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.4%
$KNOTS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
7%
24h return
+11.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.1%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
6%
24h return
+6.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.0%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
5%
24h return
-38.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.9%
$TM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
5%
24h return
-42.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-79.8%
$BOXY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
5%
24h return
+3.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.8%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
3%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 18:44 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $OTC within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,048 resolved snapshots · 675 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.