Historical analogs

Similar setups to $HOSICO

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 8,585 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-4.9%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-65.2%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

20%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-13 09:27 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-12

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 20% (95% CI 10–35%)

Median: -4.9%; CI -13.4% … -3.0%
Trimmed mean: -9.3%; 10% each side
Mean: -7.9%; σ 17.9%
Range: -38.2% … +37.0%

p5: -35.3%
p10: -29.5%
p25: -23.2%
p50: -4.9%
p75: -1.2%
p90: +9.6%
p95: +24.3%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-13 09:27 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: 0.0%
Volume acceleration: -100%
Liquidity: $123.0K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$ANONCOIN2026-10-12 05:00 UTC	100%	+35.5%	-3.1%	+40.4%	— · — · — · 26
$ANONCOIN2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	100%	+37.0%	-2.7%	+37.0%	— · — · — · 40
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	99%	+23.7%	-1.4%	+28.2%	— · — · — · 44
$ANONCOIN2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	99%	+22.3%	-1.4%	+28.2%	— · — · — · 40
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 11:00 UTC	99%	-6.3%	-8.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 40
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	99%	-6.6%	-8.3%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 37
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	99%	-7.8%	-8.7%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 39
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 13:00 UTC	99%	-7.8%	-8.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 37
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 14:00 UTC	99%	-7.6%	-8.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 37
$ANT2026-10-12 04:00 UTC	99%	-35.2%	-47.2%	+5.6%	— · — · — · —
$UDR2026-10-11 11:00 UTC	99%	-17.5%	-17.5%	+8.4%	4 · 99 · — · 38
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	98%	-29.5%	-38.1%	+5.2%	— · — · — · 44
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	98%	-29.5%	-38.1%	+5.2%	— · — · — · 43
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	97%	-22.9%	-40.2%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 43
$BAGSPAY2026-10-11 14:00 UTC	97%	-18.6%	-27.1%	+2.0%	2 · 62 · — · 40
$STFY2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	97%	-24.8%	-31.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 46
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	97%	-3.5%	-25.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 47
$STFY2026-10-12 04:00 UTC	97%	-24.7%	-31.0%	0.0%	— · — · — · 46
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	97%	-3.0%	-25.1%	+0.7%	— · — · — · 48
$UDR2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	97%	-3.1%	-7.9%	+2.6%	5 · 84 · — · 42
$TITCOIN2026-10-12 05:00 UTC	97%	-3.1%	-8.5%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 50
$SPRING2026-10-12 06:00 UTC	97%	-1.3%	-2.8%	+10.9%	— · — · — · 41
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	97%	-20.5%	-37.7%	+5.9%	— · — · — · 45
$SPRING2026-10-12 08:00 UTC	96%	-0.9%	-3.0%	+10.7%	— · — · — · 44
$CELL2026-10-12 07:00 UTC	96%	-26.8%	-35.3%	+8.8%	— · — · — · 39
$JOBY2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	96%	-3.0%	-3.9%	+11.5%	— · — · — · 54
$CELL2026-10-12 04:00 UTC	96%	-28.8%	-36.2%	+7.3%	— · — · — · 42
$ANT2026-10-12 08:00 UTC	96%	-38.2%	-44.5%	0.0%	— · — · — · —
$TITCOIN2026-10-12 07:00 UTC	96%	+1.6%	-6.5%	+3.3%	— · — · — · 50
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	96%	-2.0%	-22.8%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 45
$TITCOIN2026-10-12 08:00 UTC	96%	+1.6%	-6.6%	+3.2%	— · — · — · 49
$うさぎ2026-10-12 06:00 UTC	96%	-3.1%	-18.1%	+0.9%	— · — · — · 61
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	96%	-3.4%	-6.2%	+3.5%	— · — · — · 53
$HOTDOG2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	96%	+8.1%	0.0%	+10.9%	— · — · — · 58
$VIBECOIN2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	96%	-9.3%	-17.3%	+2.1%	— · — · — · 51
$KURUMI2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	96%	+4.6%	-1.8%	+10.4%	— · — · — · 53
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	96%	-24.3%	-40.2%	+0.7%	— · — · — · 46
$KLN2026-10-12 06:00 UTC	96%	-37.5%	-65.2%	+0.3%	— · — · — · 51
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 12:00 UTC	96%	-1.4%	-20.3%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 35
$KURUMI2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	96%	-0.5%	-3.3%	+8.6%	— · — · — · 53

$ANONCOIN2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Similarity
100%
24h return
+35.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.1%
$ANONCOIN2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
100%
24h return
+37.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.7%
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
99%
24h return
+23.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$ANONCOIN2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
99%
24h return
+22.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Similarity
99%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
99%
24h return
-6.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.3%
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
99%
24h return
-7.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.7%
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 13:00 UTC
Similarity
99%
24h return
-7.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 14:00 UTC
Similarity
99%
24h return
-7.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$ANT2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Similarity
99%
24h return
-35.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-47.2%
$UDR2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Similarity
99%
24h return
-17.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.5%
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
98%
24h return
-29.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.1%
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
98%
24h return
-29.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.1%
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-22.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.2%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-11 14:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-18.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.1%
$STFY2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-24.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.4%
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.6%
$STFY2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-24.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.0%
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-3.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.1%
$UDR2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-3.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.9%
$TITCOIN2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-3.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.5%
$SPRING2026-10-12 06:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-1.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.8%
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-20.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.7%
$SPRING2026-10-12 08:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$CELL2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-26.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.3%
$JOBY2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-3.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.9%
$CELL2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-28.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.2%
$ANT2026-10-12 08:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-38.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.5%
$TITCOIN2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-2.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.8%
$TITCOIN2026-10-12 08:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.6%
$うさぎ2026-10-12 06:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-3.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.1%
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-3.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.2%
$HOTDOG2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$VIBECOIN2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-9.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.3%
$KURUMI2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+4.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.2%
$KLN2026-10-12 06:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-37.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-65.2%
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 12:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-1.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.3%
$KURUMI2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-0.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.3%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-13 09:27 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $HOSICO within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 14,998 resolved snapshots · 8,585 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.