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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $BANKROLL

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
40
of 253 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-29.0%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-73.3%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
23%
N = 40
ConfidenceConfidence: HIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 16:02 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 23% (95% CI 12–38%)

Median
-29.0%
CI -32.4% … -8.8%
Trimmed mean
-19.3%
10% each side
Mean
-5.9%
σ 57.1%
Range
-70.5% … +161%
24h return after similar setups histogram40 samples in 10 bins from -70.5% to +161%. Tail bins: 4 above +80.6%.median-70.5%+161%0%+80.6%-50%+50%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian -29.0%, interquartile range -33.4% to -0.7%, whiskers -70.5% to +24.9%, 4 outliers (min -70.5%, max +161%).-70.5%+24.9%-29.0%

4 above +45.9% (max +161%)

p5
-56.5%
p10
-38.1%
p25
-33.4%
p50
-29.0%
p75
-0.7%
p90
+36.2%
p95
+151%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 16:02 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
5
Crowding
56
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
—
Price change 1h
—
Volume acceleration
—
Liquidity
$202.8K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    92%
    24h return
    +138%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -20.0%
  • $CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    92%
    24h return
    +161%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -22.1%
  • $BORDR2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    -31.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -41.6%
  • $BORDR2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    -32.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -33.3%
  • $BANKROLL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    78%
    24h return
    +24.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $CLAUDIA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    75%
    24h return
    +159%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -21.5%
  • $HOTDOG2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    75%
    24h return
    +0.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.3%
  • $HOTDOG2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    75%
    24h return
    -1.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.3%
  • $HOTDOG2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    75%
    24h return
    -0.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.6%
  • $CLAUDIA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    75%
    24h return
    +151%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -24.0%
  • $BORDR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    74%
    24h return
    -8.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -26.7%
  • $HOTDOG2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    74%
    24h return
    +2.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.7%
  • $SAPLING2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    74%
    24h return
    -18.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -19.4%
  • $DARK2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    74%
    24h return
    -32.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -33.7%
  • $DARK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    74%
    24h return
    -33.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -34.4%
  • $DARK2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    71%
    24h return
    -34.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -34.2%
  • $HOTBOT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    71%
    24h return
    -26.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -41.5%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    70%
    24h return
    -70.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -73.3%
  • $SAPLING2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    70%
    24h return
    +14.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.1%
  • $SAPLING2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    70%
    24h return
    +14.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $SAPLING2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    70%
    24h return
    -6.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.1%
  • $HOOKED2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    70%
    24h return
    -37.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -37.5%
  • $HOTBOT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    69%
    24h return
    -36.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -49.1%
  • $HOOKED2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    69%
    24h return
    -38.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -38.8%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    67%
    24h return
    -61.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -69.2%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    67%
    24h return
    -56.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -64.8%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    67%
    24h return
    -35.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -61.6%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    67%
    24h return
    -32.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -55.2%
  • $CRAWL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    65%
    24h return
    -28.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -37.7%
  • $CRAWL2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    65%
    24h return
    -29.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -42.6%
  • $CRAWL2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    65%
    24h return
    -29.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -38.9%
  • $CRAWL2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    65%
    24h return
    -31.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -40.4%
  • $CRAWL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    65%
    24h return
    -28.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -36.8%
  • $CRAWL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    64%
    24h return
    -32.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -38.7%
  • $BORDR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    64%
    24h return
    -5.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -23.9%
  • $CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    62%
    24h return
    -38.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -43.9%
  • $SAPLING2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    62%
    24h return
    -0.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.6%
  • $DARK2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    60%
    24h return
    -32.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -34.1%
  • $ZC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    60%
    24h return
    -12.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -17.2%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    58%
    24h return
    -37.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -55.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 16:02 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $BANKROLL within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 6,649 resolved snapshots · 253 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.