Historical analogs

Similar setups to $ALTAI

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,524 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-11.3%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-62.8%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

30%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 00:10 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 30% (95% CI 18–45%)

Median: -11.3%; CI -20.9% … -4.7%
Trimmed mean: -10.0%; 10% each side
Mean: -6.9%; σ 32.0%
Range: -62.5% … +90.6%

p5: -40.9%
p10: -38.7%
p25: -32.7%
p50: -11.3%
p75: +7.4%
p90: +31.3%
p95: +49.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 00:10 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 53
Price change 1h: -11.1%
Volume acceleration: -86.3%
Liquidity: $13.9K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$SIB2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	90%	-28.7%	-30.3%	+83.9%	— · — · — · 53
$SIB2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	74%	-17.1%	-17.1%	+122%	— · — · — · 48
$SIB2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	69%	+11.2%	-15.2%	+124%	— · — · — · 47
$SIB2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	65%	+90.6%	-21.0%	+109%	— · — · — · 46
$SIB2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	64%	-38.7%	-39.2%	+60.6%	— · — · — · 51
$SIB2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	63%	-38.7%	-40.1%	+58.1%	— · — · — · 54
$SIB2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	62%	-3.2%	-12.4%	+72.7%	— · — · — · 54
$SIB2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	60%	+67.2%	-30.7%	+83.1%	— · — · — · 47
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	59%	-19.3%	-19.3%	+35.3%	— · — · — · 45
$SIB2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	56%	-11.9%	-19.5%	+88.5%	— · — · — · 48
$PACK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	55%	-6.5%	-8.2%	+8.1%	— · — · — · 46
$PACK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	54%	-6.1%	-9.8%	0.0%	— · — · — · 46
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	53%	+5.7%	-21.5%	+28.7%	— · — · — · 46
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	52%	-16.8%	-38.3%	+3.3%	— · — · — · 44
$PACK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	52%	-4.8%	-7.5%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 45
$ANIMAL2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	51%	-62.5%	-62.8%	+49.2%	— · — · — · 43
$PACK2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	50%	-9.2%	-9.4%	+1.4%	— · — · — · 45
$SIB2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	49%	-40.3%	-56.4%	+19.4%	— · — · — · 50
$FACTORY2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	49%	+48.3%	-19.5%	+69.2%	— · — · — · 62
$PACK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	49%	-7.5%	-11.1%	0.0%	— · — · — · 44
$PACK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	48%	-11.6%	-15.1%	+1.4%	— · — · — · 43
$SIB2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	48%	-32.7%	-45.9%	+9.1%	— · — · — · 47
$FACTORY2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	47%	+23.9%	-17.8%	+72.8%	— · — · — · 63
$TIKTOK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	45%	+20.9%	-30.5%	+41.2%	— · — · — · 44
$FACTORY2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	45%	+31.2%	-13.5%	+81.9%	— · — · — · 63
$SIB2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	44%	-36.7%	-53.8%	+2.8%	— · — · — · 46
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	44%	-25.5%	-25.5%	+25.0%	— · — · — · 45
$SIB2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	42%	+32.0%	-45.2%	+829%	— · — · — · 50
$PACK2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	42%	-10.9%	-10.9%	+6.5%	— · — · — · 43
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	42%	-22.6%	-53.2%	+28.4%	— · — · — · 54
$TIKTOK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	41%	+30.6%	-28.5%	+31.3%	— · — · — · 46
$PACK2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	41%	-13.9%	-15.0%	+6.9%	— · — · — · 43
$TIKTOK2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	41%	+6.2%	-21.5%	+44.1%	— · — · — · 43
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	41%	-53.3%	-53.3%	+60.1%	— · — · — · 42
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	41%	-35.6%	-55.1%	+23.2%	— · — · — · 56
$OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	39%	-33.0%	-40.9%	+32.9%	— · — · — · 53
$OMNI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	39%	-38.7%	-43.2%	+27.7%	— · — · — · 53
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	37%	-2.1%	-21.4%	+20.8%	— · — · — · 56
$FACTORY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	36%	+16.2%	-40.0%	+26.2%	— · — · — · 65
$BUL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	36%	-32.8%	-32.8%	+29.4%	— · — · — · 45

$SIB2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-28.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.3%
$SIB2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-17.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.1%
$SIB2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
+11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.2%
$SIB2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+90.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.0%
$SIB2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-38.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.2%
$SIB2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-38.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.1%
$SIB2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.4%
$SIB2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+67.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.7%
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-19.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.3%
$SIB2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-11.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.5%
$PACK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-6.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.2%
$PACK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-6.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.8%
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+5.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.5%
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-16.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.3%
$PACK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.5%
$ANIMAL2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-62.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-62.8%
$PACK2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
-9.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.4%
$SIB2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-40.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.4%
$FACTORY2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
+48.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.5%
$PACK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-7.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.1%
$PACK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-11.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.1%
$SIB2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-32.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.9%
$FACTORY2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
+23.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.8%
$TIKTOK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
+20.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.5%
$FACTORY2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
+31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.5%
$SIB2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
44%
24h return
-36.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.8%
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
44%
24h return
-25.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.5%
$SIB2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
42%
24h return
+32.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.2%
$PACK2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
42%
24h return
-10.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.9%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
42%
24h return
-22.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.2%
$TIKTOK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
+30.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.5%
$PACK2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
-13.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.0%
$TIKTOK2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
+6.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.5%
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
-53.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.3%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
-35.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.1%
$OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
39%
24h return
-33.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.9%
$OMNI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
39%
24h return
-38.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.2%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
37%
24h return
-2.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.4%
$FACTORY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
+16.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.0%
$BUL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
-32.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.8%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 00:10 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $ALTAI within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 8,279 resolved snapshots · 1,524 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.