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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $KURUMI

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
40
of 1,086 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-9.9%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-60.2%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
20%
N = 40
ConfidenceConfidence: HIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 20% (95% CI 10–35%)

Median
-9.9%
CI -16.9% … -6.1%
Trimmed mean
-12.2%
10% each side
Mean
-12.6%
σ 17.8%
Range
-54.0% … +24.3%
24h return after similar setups histogram40 samples in 10 bins from -54.0% to +24.3%.median-54.0%+24.3%0%-40%-20%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian -9.9%, interquartile range -24.1% to -2.4%, whiskers -54.0% to +24.3%, 0 outliers (min -54.0%, max +24.3%).-54.0%+24.3%-9.9%
p5
-39.4%
p10
-34.5%
p25
-24.1%
p50
-9.9%
p75
-2.4%
p90
+9.9%
p95
+11.0%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
53
Price change 1h
+1.2%
Volume acceleration
-98.0%
Liquidity
$135.5K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $OPTIMUS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    88%
    24h return
    -9.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -10.5%
  • $NASDANQ2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -0.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.2%
  • $QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -34.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -44.2%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    -8.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -20.6%
  • $OPTIMUS2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    -10.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -10.6%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    -37.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -55.9%
  • $ALLINU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    +19.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $NASDANQ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    81%
    24h return
    -0.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.0%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    81%
    24h return
    -11.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -22.6%
  • $BIKETYSON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    80%
    24h return
    -22.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -31.6%
  • $MADE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    79%
    24h return
    -3.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.2%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    78%
    24h return
    -18.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -26.2%
  • $ALLINU2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    77%
    24h return
    +9.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.2%
  • $ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    77%
    24h return
    +24.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    76%
    24h return
    -16.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -26.8%
  • $BONER2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    76%
    24h return
    +8.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.3%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    76%
    24h return
    -17.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -23.9%
  • $WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    75%
    24h return
    +0.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.6%
  • $WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    73%
    24h return
    +5.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.4%
  • $VEX2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    73%
    24h return
    -4.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.5%
  • $VEX2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    73%
    24h return
    -7.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.5%
  • $URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    71%
    24h return
    +10.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.2%
  • $HOTBOT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    70%
    24h return
    -27.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -34.2%
  • $PRISM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    70%
    24h return
    -5.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.7%
  • $VEX2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    70%
    24h return
    -3.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.5%
  • $VEX2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    69%
    24h return
    -6.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.5%
  • $ORBANCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    69%
    24h return
    -54.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -60.2%
  • $HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    69%
    24h return
    -31.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -35.3%
  • $SAPLING2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    69%
    24h return
    -34.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -34.1%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    69%
    24h return
    -15.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -19.5%
  • $AI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    69%
    24h return
    +10.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $QI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    69%
    24h return
    -39.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -44.3%
  • $OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    69%
    24h return
    -33.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -40.9%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    68%
    24h return
    -18.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -24.2%
  • $CRAWL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    68%
    24h return
    -44.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -47.7%
  • $PRISM2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    68%
    24h return
    -13.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -16.9%
  • $VEX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    67%
    24h return
    -6.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.4%
  • $QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    66%
    24h return
    -33.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -41.2%
  • $PRISM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    66%
    24h return
    -16.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -16.6%
  • $VIBECOIN2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    66%
    24h return
    -6.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.3%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:13 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $KURUMI within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 1,086 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.