Historical analogs
Similar setups to $BATON
Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.
Live
Similar setups
20
of 198 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
+0.7%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-52.3%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
50%
N = 20
ConfidenceConfidence: MEDIUM20 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 16:41 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10
24h return after similar setups
N = 20 · Positive after 24h 50% (95% CI 30–70%)
- Median
- +0.7%
- CI -16.1% … +13.3%
- Trimmed mean
- -2.8%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- -3.0%
- σ 27.3%
- Range
- -46.7% … +41.0%
- p5
- -45.1%
- p10
- -44.4%
- p25
- -24.6%
- p50
- +0.7%
- p75
- +14.7%
- p90
- +29.6%
- p95
- +36.5%
This setup now
Snapshot 2026-10-11 16:41 UTC — the vector being matched
- Momentum
- 3
- Crowding
- 81
- Early Quality
- —
- Narrative Velocity
- 30
- Price change 1h
- —
- Volume acceleration
- —
- Liquidity
- $778.9K
Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.
Matched historical setups
- $PRIORS2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 62%
- 24h return
- +3.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -14.2%
- $PRIORS2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 53%
- 24h return
- +18.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -0.2%
- $PRIORS2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 53%
- 24h return
- -3.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -12.5%
- $PRIORS2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 53%
- 24h return
- +41.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- 0.0%
- $AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 50%
- 24h return
- -44.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -49.7%
- $PRIORS2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 48%
- 24h return
- -1.2%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -17.8%
- $BASECAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 40%
- 24h return
- +17.6%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -2.4%
- $AGENCY2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 37%
- 24h return
- -46.7%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -52.3%
- $AGENCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 36%
- 24h return
- -42.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -44.8%
- $AGENCY2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 33%
- 24h return
- -45.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -46.6%
- $BASECAT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 30%
- 24h return
- +28.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- 0.0%
- $BASECAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 30%
- 24h return
- +36.2%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -0.2%
- $BATON2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 23%
- 24h return
- +9.7%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -13.9%
- $PRIORS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 21%
- 24h return
- -8.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -15.4%
- $BATON2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 20%
- 24h return
- +13.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -11.3%
- $SWORDCAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 13%
- 24h return
- -23.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -37.0%
- $SWORDCAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 13%
- 24h return
- -26.6%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -39.7%
- $MEME2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 7%
- 24h return
- -2.7%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -11.1%
- $MEME2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 7%
- 24h return
- +2.7%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -6.0%
- $BATON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 2%
- 24h return
- +12.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -11.6%
Method & point-in-time rules
analog-v1.0
- Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
- Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 16:41 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $BATON within ±24h are excluded.
- Considered 6,649 resolved snapshots · 198 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
- Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.
FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.