Historical analogs
Similar setups to $KITTY
Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.
Live
Similar setups
12
of 1,086 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
+3.5%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-23.5%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
67%
N = 12
ConfidenceConfidence: MEDIUM12 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10
24h return after similar setups
N = 12 · Positive after 24h 67% (95% CI 39–86%)
- Median
- +3.5%
- CI -5.8% … +10.7%
- Trimmed mean
- +7.2%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +12.7%
- σ 32.1%
- Range
- -13.9% … +94.6%
2 above +18.6% (max +94.6%)
- p5
- -12.0%
- p10
- -10.1%
- p25
- -5.5%
- p50
- +3.5%
- p75
- +9.7%
- p90
- +55.8%
- p95
- +75.9%
This setup now
Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC — the vector being matched
- Momentum
- —
- Crowding
- —
- Early Quality
- —
- Narrative Velocity
- 73
- Price change 1h
- +0.4%
- Volume acceleration
- +254%
- Liquidity
- $329.3K
Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.
Matched historical setups
- $HMM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 61%
- 24h return
- -10.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -11.9%
- $BOXY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 44%
- 24h return
- +3.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -0.8%
- $BULLISH2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 33%
- 24h return
- +94.6%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -7.5%
- $BNBCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 23%
- 24h return
- +3.1%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -10.9%
- $OTC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 19%
- 24h return
- +4.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -6.9%
- $B-MONEY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 15%
- 24h return
- -13.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -19.3%
- $FONE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 13%
- 24h return
- +0.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -5.2%
- $HOTDOG2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 6%
- 24h return
- +12.7%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -2.1%
- $BUN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 5%
- 24h return
- -6.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -6.3%
- $SWOLF2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 4%
- 24h return
- +60.6%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -23.5%
- $JOTCHUA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 4%
- 24h return
- +8.6%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -5.8%
- $牛来2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 1%
- 24h return
- -5.2%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -6.0%
Method & point-in-time rules
analog-v1.0
- Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
- Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:13 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $KITTY within ±24h are excluded.
- Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 1,086 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
- Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.
FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.