Historical analogs

Similar setups to $VIBECOIN

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 809 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-0.9%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-55.9%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

48%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:04 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 48% (95% CI 33–63%)

Median: -0.9%; CI -4.7% … +5.2%
Trimmed mean: +1.2%; 10% each side
Mean: +3.8%; σ 30.5%
Range: -49.4% … +146%

2 below -39.1% (min -49.4%) · 1 above +52.2% (max +146%)

p5: -38.3%
p10: -23.2%
p25: -6.3%
p50: -0.9%
p75: +13.7%
p90: +32.1%
p95: +38.8%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:04 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 49
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: +85.8%
Liquidity: $137.2K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	87%	-1.5%	-8.3%	0.0%	5 · 56 · — · 50
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	87%	-0.4%	-6.6%	+1.2%	5 · 56 · — · 47
$CORE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	82%	-4.9%	-7.4%	+2.1%	— · — · — · 46
$WORM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	80%	+6.3%	-3.0%	+14.7%	— · — · — · 49
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	79%	-6.8%	-23.1%	+7.2%	6 · 75 · — · 48
$PCC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	76%	+1.9%	-7.5%	+4.2%	— · — · — · 45
$STONKINU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	75%	-25.2%	-43.1%	+18.0%	5 · 75 · — · 51
$GTA2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	75%	+13.7%	-10.5%	+37.1%	— · — · — · 45
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	74%	+6.9%	-5.0%	+8.6%	— · — · — · 46
$GTA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	74%	+4.2%	-6.0%	+43.9%	— · — · — · 46
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	72%	-4.8%	-6.2%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 45
$BINF2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	71%	+38.3%	0.0%	+82.6%	— · — · — · 46
$BNBCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	71%	-3.2%	-16.4%	+6.2%	— · — · — · 44
$ALLINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	70%	+17.0%	-7.5%	+26.8%	— · — · — · 53
$SNDK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	70%	+17.9%	-9.9%	+34.6%	— · — · — · 46
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	68%	+4.2%	-3.5%	+4.2%	42 · 62 · — · 45
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	68%	+2.9%	-4.7%	+3.0%	5 · 56 · — · 50
$STONKINU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	68%	-43.6%	-55.9%	0.0%	44 · 74 · — · 45
$SNDK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	66%	+48.1%	-12.0%	+52.2%	— · — · — · 45
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	66%	+35.0%	0.0%	+61.6%	— · — · — · 46
$PCC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	66%	-3.2%	-9.4%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 43
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	66%	-10.8%	-10.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · 47
$招财猫2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	65%	-2.8%	-3.3%	+0.4%	4 · 70 · — · 43
$CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	65%	-38.0%	-43.9%	+4.8%	8 · 49 · — · 51
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	65%	-8.3%	-14.0%	+7.3%	3 · 88 · — · 53
$SNDK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	65%	-4.5%	-27.0%	+9.0%	— · — · — · 43
$MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	65%	-16.8%	-25.5%	+21.4%	— · — · — · 43
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	64%	+146%	-39.1%	+146%	62 · 51 · — · 46
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	61%	-13.4%	-13.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 50
$SNDK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	61%	+8.4%	-17.2%	+23.7%	— · — · — · 44
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	61%	-3.2%	-20.1%	+11.4%	6 · 75 · — · 49
$URMOM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	61%	-23.0%	-30.9%	+20.0%	41 · 80 · — · 47
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	60%	+13.7%	-9.9%	+17.6%	— · — · — · 45
$WOJAK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	60%	-6.0%	-9.6%	+1.9%	— · — · — · 43
$ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	59%	+14.4%	-9.6%	+23.9%	— · — · — · 54
$BINF2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	+31.8%	-4.7%	+74.1%	3 · 81 · — · 43
$CORE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	-6.2%	-8.6%	+1.2%	— · — · — · 43
$BNBCAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	59%	+14.0%	-12.7%	+15.9%	— · — · — · 45
$STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	57%	-49.4%	-52.0%	+7.9%	7 · 68 · — · 45
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	57%	+2.0%	-5.5%	+2.1%	5 · 62 · — · 42

$HOTDOG2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.3%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.6%
$CORE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.4%
$WORM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$PCC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+1.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.5%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-25.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.1%
$GTA2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+13.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.5%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+6.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.0%
$GTA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+4.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.0%
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.2%
$BINF2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+38.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$BNBCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.4%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
+17.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.5%
$SNDK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
+17.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
+4.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.5%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
+2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.7%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-43.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.9%
$SNDK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+48.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.0%
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+35.0%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$PCC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.4%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-10.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.9%
$招财猫2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-2.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.3%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-38.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.9%
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$SNDK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-4.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.0%
$MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-16.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.5%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+146%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.1%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-13.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.4%
$SNDK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+8.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.2%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.1%
$URMOM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-23.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.9%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+13.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$WOJAK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-6.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+14.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$BINF2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+31.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.7%
$CORE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-6.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$BNBCAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+14.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.7%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-49.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.0%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+2.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.5%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:04 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $VIBECOIN within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 809 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.