Historical analogs
Similar setups to $尤栗
Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.
Live
Similar setups
9
of 556 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-12.8%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-77.4%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
33%
N = 9
ConfidenceConfidence: LOW9 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 01:58 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11
24h return after similar setups
N = 9 · Positive after 24h 33% (95% CI 12–65%)
- Median
- -12.8%
- CI -63.6% … +3.4%
- Trimmed mean
- -18.3%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- -18.3%
- σ 39.6%
- Range
- -70.5% … +58.3%
- p5
- -67.7%
- p10
- -64.9%
- p25
- -48.0%
- p50
- -12.8%
- p75
- +0.1%
- p90
- +14.4%
- p95
- +36.3%
This setup now
Snapshot 2026-10-12 01:58 UTC — the vector being matched
- Momentum
- 2
- Crowding
- 78
- Early Quality
- —
- Narrative Velocity
- 71
- Price change 1h
- -35.7%
- Volume acceleration
- -10.5%
- Liquidity
- $47.4K
Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 6 of 7 features were comparable.
Matched historical setups
- $TM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 54%
- 24h return
- +58.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -38.4%
- $OMNI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 48%
- 24h return
- -12.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -42.3%
- $ALTAI2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 34%
- 24h return
- -70.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -77.4%
- $OMNI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 24%
- 24h return
- -48.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -50.0%
- $TM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 24%
- 24h return
- -5.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -63.4%
- $OMNI2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 17%
- 24h return
- +3.4%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -30.8%
- $ALTAI2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 10%
- 24h return
- -63.6%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -73.4%
- $PQC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 3%
- 24h return
- -25.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -47.2%
- $B-MONEY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 1%
- 24h return
- +0.1%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -6.1%
Method & point-in-time rules
analog-v1.0
- Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
- Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 01:58 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $尤栗 within ±24h are excluded.
- Considered 8,487 resolved snapshots · 556 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
- Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.
FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.