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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $UBIK

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
28
of 2,181 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
0.0%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-27.1%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
50%
N = 28
ConfidenceConfidence: MEDIUM28 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 00:58 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 28 · Positive after 24h 50% (95% CI 33–67%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
0.0%
CI -3.4% … +5.4%
Trimmed mean
+0.9%
10% each side
Mean
+5.5%
σ 28.9%
Range
-24.2% … +139%
24h return after similar setups histogram28 samples in 8 bins from -24.2% to +139%. Tail bins: 1 above +46.0%.median-24.2%+139%0%+46.0%+20%+40%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian 0.0%, interquartile range -5.0% to +10.3%, whiskers -24.2% to +16.9%, 2 outliers (min -24.2%, max +139%).-24.2%+16.9%0.0%

2 above +25.9% (max +139%)

p5
-16.9%
p10
-15.2%
p25
-5.0%
p50
0.0%
p75
+10.3%
p90
+16.8%
p95
+29.4%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 00:58 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
—
Price change 1h
-0.2%
Volume acceleration
+577%
Liquidity
$145.9K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $MICHI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    95%
    24h return
    -1.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.7%
  • $TCG2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    72%
    24h return
    +16.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.3%
  • $RAXOL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    66%
    24h return
    +6.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.5%
  • $GTA2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    65%
    24h return
    -15.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.9%
  • $SC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    63%
    24h return
    +1.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.5%
  • $JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    61%
    24h return
    -5.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.0%
  • $TOLLY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    48%
    24h return
    +13.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $SUE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    42%
    24h return
    +4.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.0%
  • $TCG2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    41%
    24h return
    +16.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $GRIFT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    38%
    24h return
    -0.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.9%
  • $BULLISH2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    36%
    24h return
    +139%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -27.1%
  • $BASECAT2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    35%
    24h return
    +36.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $TCG2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    33%
    24h return
    +10.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.4%
  • $WORTH2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    32%
    24h return
    +0.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -2.9%
  • $GTA2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    32%
    24h return
    -17.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -17.6%
  • $SC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    28%
    24h return
    +1.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.4%
  • $ROUTE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    23%
    24h return
    -2.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.9%
  • $YEE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    21%
    24h return
    -3.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.0%
  • $招财猫2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    18%
    24h return
    +2.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -2.1%
  • $DELTA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    17%
    24h return
    -11.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.2%
  • $KUDO2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    15%
    24h return
    -4.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.9%
  • $OPTIMUS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    14%
    24h return
    -15.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.6%
  • $SUE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    11%
    24h return
    +10.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.2%
  • $NEARKAT2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    11%
    24h return
    +12.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -18.3%
  • $PCC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    8%
    24h return
    -2.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.2%
  • $WORTH2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    7%
    24h return
    -3.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.0%
  • $PURR2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    4%
    24h return
    -24.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -26.0%
  • $ABYSS2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    2%
    24h return
    -8.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 00:58 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $UBIK within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 8,279 resolved snapshots · 2,181 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.