Historical analogs

Similar setups to $尤栗

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 4,728 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-32.9%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-86.5%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

30%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-13 01:07 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-12

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 30% (95% CI 18–45%)

Median: -32.9%; CI -43.9% … -8.0%
Trimmed mean: -23.3%; 10% each side
Mean: -22.5%; σ 39.6%
Range: -86.3% … +69.8%

p5: -84.2%
p10: -71.0%
p25: -48.3%
p50: -32.9%
p75: +14.7%
p90: +29.8%
p95: +33.1%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-13 01:07 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 69
Price change 1h: +18.7%
Volume acceleration: -95.2%
Liquidity: $17.8K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$FACTORY2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	88%	-4.4%	-27.5%	+52.5%	— · — · — · 68
$FACTORY2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	87%	+16.9%	-20.0%	+68.2%	— · — · — · 68
$FACTORY2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	83%	-22.3%	-44.2%	+17.3%	— · — · — · 67
$FACTORY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	76%	-18.3%	-44.7%	+16.2%	— · — · — · 66
$ALTAI2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	75%	-69.8%	-73.3%	+9.1%	— · — · — · 65
$FACTORY2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	75%	+20.1%	-18.7%	+70.9%	— · — · — · 64
$FACTORY2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	75%	+14.2%	-32.2%	+42.7%	— · — · — · 65
$ALTAI2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	70%	-81.8%	-82.9%	+36.6%	— · — · — · 66
$ALTAI2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	69%	-84.8%	-84.8%	+15.8%	— · — · — · 68
$FACTORY2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	69%	+29.7%	-13.3%	+82.1%	— · — · — · 66
$FACTORY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	69%	+16.2%	-40.0%	+26.2%	— · — · — · 65
$FACTORY2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	67%	+31.2%	-13.5%	+81.9%	— · — · — · 63
$UP2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	66%	-35.8%	-48.4%	+13.1%	— · — · — · 72
$ALTAI2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	66%	-86.3%	-86.5%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 68
$FACTORY2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	66%	+23.9%	-17.8%	+72.8%	— · — · — · 63
$OLLIE2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	66%	-52.6%	-60.0%	+5.3%	— · — · — · 68
$FACTORY2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	65%	-8.0%	-28.3%	+50.7%	— · — · — · 67
$FACTORY2026-10-11 09:00 UTC	65%	+17.3%	-30.0%	+47.4%	— · — · — · 63
$UP2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	64%	-38.0%	-57.1%	+1.9%	— · — · — · 73
$FACTORY2026-10-11 10:00 UTC	63%	+9.3%	-35.6%	+35.6%	— · — · — · 60
$OLLIE2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	63%	-54.4%	-56.6%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 67
$OLLIE2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	62%	-48.2%	-48.2%	+17.3%	— · — · — · 73
$UP2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	62%	-45.1%	-60.7%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 73
$OLLIE2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	61%	-42.8%	-42.8%	+20.6%	— · — · — · 65
$ALTAI2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	58%	-84.1%	-85.6%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 67
$OLLIE2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	57%	-48.1%	-48.7%	+13.0%	— · — · — · 73
$ALTAI2026-10-11 09:00 UTC	55%	-62.8%	-69.3%	+1.7%	— · — · — · 63
$FACTORY2026-10-11 11:00 UTC	54%	-2.3%	-37.7%	+31.2%	— · — · — · 58
$ALTAI2026-10-11 10:00 UTC	52%	-54.0%	-65.0%	+3.1%	— · — · — · 60
$FACTORY2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	51%	+32.3%	-30.4%	+46.3%	— · — · — · 65
$OLLIE2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	49%	-41.5%	-41.5%	+18.7%	— · — · — · 65
$OLLIE2026-10-11 10:00 UTC	48%	-24.2%	-24.2%	+62.0%	— · — · — · 60
$ALTAI2026-10-11 11:00 UTC	48%	-48.5%	-63.0%	+1.9%	— · — · — · 58
$UP2026-10-11 20:00 UTC	48%	-47.8%	-58.1%	+15.0%	— · — · — · 72
$TM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	47%	+69.8%	-13.5%	+127%	3 · 86 · — · 66
$FACTORY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	47%	-38.1%	-46.4%	+12.7%	— · — · — · 65
$OMNI2026-10-11 09:00 UTC	46%	-14.7%	-30.0%	+37.5%	4 · 90 · — · 63
$UP2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	46%	-30.1%	-51.6%	+23.0%	— · — · — · 73
$FACTORY2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	46%	+48.3%	-19.5%	+69.2%	— · — · — · 62
$OLLIE2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	45%	-40.3%	-41.1%	+29.9%	— · — · — · 73

$FACTORY2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-4.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.5%
$FACTORY2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
+16.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.0%
$FACTORY2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-22.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.2%
$FACTORY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-18.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.7%
$ALTAI2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-69.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-73.3%
$FACTORY2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+20.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.7%
$FACTORY2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+14.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.2%
$ALTAI2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-81.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-82.9%
$ALTAI2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-84.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-84.8%
$FACTORY2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
+29.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.3%
$FACTORY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
+16.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.0%
$FACTORY2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.5%
$UP2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-35.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.4%
$ALTAI2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-86.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-86.5%
$FACTORY2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+23.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.8%
$OLLIE2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-52.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-60.0%
$FACTORY2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-8.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.3%
$FACTORY2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+17.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.0%
$UP2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-38.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.1%
$FACTORY2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+9.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.6%
$OLLIE2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-54.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.6%
$OLLIE2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-48.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.2%
$UP2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-45.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-60.7%
$OLLIE2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-42.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-42.8%
$ALTAI2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-84.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-85.6%
$OLLIE2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-48.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.7%
$ALTAI2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-62.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-69.3%
$FACTORY2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-2.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.7%
$ALTAI2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-54.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-65.0%
$FACTORY2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
+32.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.4%
$OLLIE2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-41.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.5%
$OLLIE2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-24.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.2%
$ALTAI2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-48.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-63.0%
$UP2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-47.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-58.1%
$TM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
+69.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.5%
$FACTORY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-38.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.4%
$OMNI2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-14.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.0%
$UP2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-30.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-51.6%
$FACTORY2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
+48.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.5%
$OLLIE2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
-40.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.1%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-13 01:07 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $尤栗 within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 12,990 resolved snapshots · 4,728 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.