Historical analogs

Similar setups to $牛来

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 802 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-5.1%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-41.9%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

35%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:52 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 35% (95% CI 22–50%)

Median: -5.1%; CI -9.3% … +1.0%
Trimmed mean: -2.1%; 10% each side
Mean: -1.5%; σ 16.5%
Range: -35.8% … +35.6%

p5: -24.1%
p10: -22.4%
p25: -11.3%
p50: -5.1%
p75: +10.0%
p90: +23.2%
p95: +26.9%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:52 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 52
Price change 1h: -0.4%
Volume acceleration: -13.5%
Liquidity: $659.1K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	89%	-2.2%	-9.7%	+6.8%	3 · 86 · — · 53
$旺柴2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	82%	+8.9%	-7.2%	+23.8%	30 · 58 · — · 53
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	81%	-12.9%	-14.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 54
$INU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	80%	-25.4%	-27.4%	0.0%	42 · 67 · — · 49
$1F9162026-10-10 16:00 UTC	79%	-22.3%	-22.4%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 52
$BUN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	78%	-9.6%	-9.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 56
$FONE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	78%	-3.5%	-8.9%	+10.8%	— · — · — · 56
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	78%	+9.3%	-6.8%	+24.4%	10 · 58 · — · 55
$PAID2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	77%	+17.2%	-8.4%	+18.2%	— · — · — · 53
$INU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	77%	-9.9%	-13.6%	+4.0%	4 · 63 · — · 52
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	77%	-15.2%	-19.2%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$TENDIES2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	76%	+8.0%	-1.0%	+10.2%	2 · 62 · — · 52
$INU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	76%	+14.8%	-14.0%	+15.3%	3 · 67 · — · 50
$BUN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	75%	-8.7%	-9.4%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 56
$OTC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	74%	-1.8%	-12.5%	+4.0%	— · — · — · 56
$BUN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	74%	-5.5%	-6.3%	+3.1%	— · — · — · 57
$MEME2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	74%	-6.3%	-11.0%	+5.2%	3 · 81 · — · 47
$1F9162026-10-10 17:00 UTC	73%	-23.0%	-23.1%	+3.2%	— · — · — · 53
$BUN2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	73%	-5.2%	-6.3%	+3.2%	— · — · — · 53
$PAID2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	72%	+11.8%	-6.1%	+21.2%	— · — · — · 53
$OTC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	72%	-2.9%	-14.3%	+1.8%	— · — · — · 56
$BATON2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	72%	+23.1%	-3.6%	+33.9%	4 · 79 · — · 49
$OTC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	72%	-10.1%	-12.1%	+6.0%	— · — · — · 53
$MEME2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	72%	-4.9%	-10.1%	+6.4%	3 · 78 · — · 50
$BUN2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	71%	-5.8%	-6.7%	+2.7%	— · — · — · 53
$BATON2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	71%	+18.3%	-7.3%	+28.7%	4 · 79 · — · 48
$ORBIO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	71%	-9.0%	-9.0%	+12.8%	8 · 45 · — · 47
$OTC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	71%	-14.9%	-15.3%	+0.3%	— · — · — · 53
$INU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	70%	-12.2%	-15.8%	+1.3%	3 · 67 · — · 51
$OTC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	70%	-4.2%	-14.7%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 57
$MONITOR2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	70%	-24.0%	-29.9%	+1.9%	3 · 81 · — · 47
$BATON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	69%	+26.8%	-0.6%	+38.0%	39 · 82 · — · 46
$BASECAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	69%	+35.6%	0.0%	+38.2%	3 · 99 · — · 46
$PAID2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	69%	+13.7%	-3.3%	+26.1%	— · — · — · 56
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	69%	-17.9%	-18.8%	+14.7%	43 · 58 · — · 47
$CRAWL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	68%	-35.8%	-41.9%	+3.4%	8 · 53 · — · 54
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	68%	-11.0%	-14.6%	+2.7%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$旺柴2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	68%	+3.9%	-12.1%	+17.3%	66 · 54 · — · 55
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	68%	+24.1%	-1.9%	+37.4%	46 · 62 · — · 48
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	67%	+28.1%	-1.3%	+42.4%	11 · 45 · — · 48

$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.7%
$旺柴2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+8.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.2%
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-12.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.4%
$INU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-25.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.4%
$1F9162026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-22.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.4%
$BUN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-9.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$FONE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.9%
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+9.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.8%
$PAID2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+17.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$INU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.6%
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.2%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+8.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$INU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$BUN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-8.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.4%
$OTC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-1.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.5%
$BUN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-5.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.3%
$MEME2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%
$1F9162026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-23.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$BUN2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-5.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.3%
$PAID2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+11.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$OTC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.3%
$BATON2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+23.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.6%
$OTC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.1%
$MEME2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.1%
$BUN2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-5.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.7%
$BATON2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+18.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.3%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-9.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.0%
$OTC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-14.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.3%
$INU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-12.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.8%
$OTC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-4.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-24.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.9%
$BATON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
+26.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.6%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
+35.6%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$PAID2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
+13.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.3%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-17.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.8%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-35.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.9%
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.6%
$旺柴2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
+3.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.1%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
+24.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.9%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+28.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:52 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $牛来 within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 802 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.