Historical analogs
Similar setups to $OLLIE
Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.
Live
Similar setups
16
of 675 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
+4.3%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-78.0%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
50%
N = 16
ConfidenceConfidence: MEDIUM16 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 18:45 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10
24h return after similar setups
N = 16 · Positive after 24h 50% (95% CI 28–72%)
- Median
- +4.3%
- CI -45.8% … +34.5%
- Trimmed mean
- +2.3%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +1.8%
- σ 45.2%
- Range
- -72.5% … +69.8%
- p5
- -54.1%
- p10
- -47.6%
- p25
- -46.1%
- p50
- +4.3%
- p75
- +30.5%
- p90
- +61.2%
- p95
- +65.5%
This setup now
Snapshot 2026-10-11 18:45 UTC — the vector being matched
- Momentum
- —
- Crowding
- —
- Early Quality
- —
- Narrative Velocity
- 69
- Price change 1h
- —
- Volume acceleration
- -98.5%
- Liquidity
- $10.1K
Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.
Matched historical setups
- $FACTORY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 46%
- 24h return
- -47.2%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -57.8%
- $FACTORY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 30%
- 24h return
- -72.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -78.0%
- $TM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 29%
- 24h return
- +69.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -13.5%
- $MALFOID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 25%
- 24h return
- +17.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -20.5%
- $FACTORY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 23%
- 24h return
- -46.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -57.6%
- $MALFOID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 21%
- 24h return
- +26.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -14.5%
- $OMNI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 19%
- 24h return
- -45.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -47.9%
- $MALFOID2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 16%
- 24h return
- +18.7%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -19.7%
- $KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 13%
- 24h return
- -11.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -28.9%
- $SIB2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 12%
- 24h return
- +43.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -40.6%
- $KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 10%
- 24h return
- -8.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -26.8%
- $TM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 9%
- 24h return
- +58.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -38.4%
- $OMNI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 8%
- 24h return
- -48.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -50.0%
- $KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 6%
- 24h return
- -13.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -30.4%
- $TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 5%
- 24h return
- +25.7%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -62.2%
- $TM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 2%
- 24h return
- +64.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -21.7%
Method & point-in-time rules
analog-v1.0
- Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
- Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 18:45 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $OLLIE within ±24h are excluded.
- Considered 7,048 resolved snapshots · 675 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
- Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.
FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.