Historical analogs

Similar setups to $3RDI

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 117 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-16.9%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-85.1%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

28%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-13 08:29 UTC · 2026-10-11 → 2026-10-12

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 28% (95% CI 16–43%)

Median: -16.9%; CI -23.1% … -2.0%
Trimmed mean: -15.9%; 10% each side
Mean: -18.4%; σ 27.3%
Range: -85.1% … +25.0%

2 below -82.4% (min -85.1%)

p5: -78.4%
p10: -57.5%
p25: -30.4%
p50: -16.9%
p75: +0.4%
p90: +7.9%
p95: +21.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-13 08:29 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: 60
Narrative Velocity: 49
Price change 1h: 0.0%
Volume acceleration: -99.0%
Liquidity: $48.8K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 5 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$AI2026-10-12 08:00 UTC	58%	-17.3%	-20.1%	+0.6%	4 · 42 · 62 · 55
$UDR2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	56%	-40.0%	-40.0%	+25.7%	3 · 99 · 54 · 51
$UDR2026-10-12 04:00 UTC	56%	-56.9%	-56.9%	+26.7%	3 · 99 · 54 · 52
$UDR2026-10-12 05:00 UTC	47%	-63.0%	-63.0%	+28.9%	3 · 99 · 51 · 50
$UDR2026-10-12 06:00 UTC	46%	-78.1%	-78.1%	+31.1%	3 · 99 · 51 · 51
$UDR2026-10-12 07:00 UTC	45%	-84.3%	-84.3%	+35.2%	3 · 99 · 51 · 50
$AI2026-10-12 06:00 UTC	44%	-12.5%	-15.1%	+6.9%	4 · 42 · 62 · 58
$AI2026-10-12 07:00 UTC	41%	-16.5%	-19.0%	+2.0%	4 · 42 · 62 · 57
$UDR2026-10-12 08:00 UTC	41%	-85.1%	-85.1%	+40.0%	3 · 99 · 49 · 49
$SAPLING2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	37%	-29.9%	-35.4%	+4.6%	6 · 67 · 62 · 51
$SAPLING2026-10-12 07:00 UTC	37%	-25.3%	-34.5%	+3.1%	7 · 63 · 64 · 50
$SAPLING2026-10-12 08:00 UTC	36%	-29.4%	-35.4%	+1.8%	42 · 69 · 64 · 49
$SAPLING2026-10-12 05:00 UTC	35%	-22.0%	-32.6%	+9.2%	26 · 69 · 64 · 50
$SWORDCAT2026-10-12 05:00 UTC	34%	+14.1%	-11.3%	+37.2%	8 · 81 · 56 · 54
$BNBO2026-10-11 20:00 UTC	34%	+0.6%	-14.3%	+17.7%	— · — · 44 · 52
$SAPLING2026-10-12 04:00 UTC	33%	-14.4%	-29.9%	+13.5%	41 · 63 · 63 · 52
$SAPLING2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	32%	-34.5%	-34.6%	+15.7%	7 · 70 · 60 · 53
$SAPLING2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	32%	-40.0%	-40.9%	+2.0%	40 · 65 · 62 · 52
$SWORDCAT2026-10-12 04:00 UTC	31%	+7.2%	-5.7%	+45.9%	42 · 81 · 59 · 56
$SWORDCAT2026-10-12 07:00 UTC	30%	+21.1%	-2.5%	+50.8%	7 · 76 · 52 · 54
$SWORDCAT2026-10-12 06:00 UTC	30%	+25.0%	-6.1%	+45.3%	7 · 76 · 56 · 55
$SWORDCAT2026-10-12 08:00 UTC	29%	+22.4%	-11.1%	+37.6%	7 · 76 · 52 · 53
$SAPLING2026-10-12 06:00 UTC	28%	-24.2%	-33.8%	+4.2%	8 · 69 · 64 · 51
$SWORDCAT2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	27%	-3.3%	-9.6%	+39.9%	7 · 76 · 53 · 55
$BNBO2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	26%	+4.9%	-15.4%	+6.5%	— · — · 42 · 51
$BNBO2026-10-12 08:00 UTC	25%	+2.5%	-13.3%	+9.1%	— · — · 41 · 49
$SAPLING2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	25%	-32.0%	-36.5%	+2.8%	55 · 61 · 62 · 51
$BNBO2026-10-12 07:00 UTC	25%	-0.1%	-13.4%	+9.1%	— · — · 41 · 50
$SAPLING2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	21%	-42.3%	-45.3%	0.0%	6 · 63 · 62 · 54
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-11 20:00 UTC	20%	+1.1%	-3.1%	+15.7%	43 · 88 · 40 · 52
$AI2026-10-12 05:00 UTC	18%	-17.2%	-17.3%	+4.1%	4 · 42 · 62 · 56
$BNBO2026-10-12 04:00 UTC	15%	+0.3%	-11.1%	+12.0%	— · — · 42 · 52
$AI2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	12%	-21.2%	-21.9%	+0.3%	6 · 42 · 62 · 58
$AI2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	12%	-20.5%	-21.3%	+0.3%	6 · 42 · 62 · 58
$AI2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	12%	-19.2%	-21.4%	+0.3%	6 · 42 · 62 · 58
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	12%	+3.1%	-0.8%	+17.8%	10 · 88 · 38 · 53
$BNBO2026-10-12 06:00 UTC	10%	-3.1%	-14.1%	+8.1%	— · — · 41 · 51
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	9%	-0.7%	-1.1%	+16.8%	42 · 88 · 37 · 53
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	8%	-0.4%	-5.4%	+14.1%	26 · 89 · 37 · 53
$BNBO2026-10-12 05:00 UTC	5%	-6.0%	-16.7%	+4.8%	— · — · 41 · 50

$AI2026-10-12 08:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-17.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.1%
$UDR2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-40.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.0%
$UDR2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-56.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.9%
$UDR2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-63.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-63.0%
$UDR2026-10-12 06:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-78.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-78.1%
$UDR2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
-84.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-84.3%
$AI2026-10-12 06:00 UTC
Similarity
44%
24h return
-12.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.1%
$AI2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
-16.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.0%
$UDR2026-10-12 08:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
-85.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-85.1%
$SAPLING2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
37%
24h return
-29.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.4%
$SAPLING2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Similarity
37%
24h return
-25.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.5%
$SAPLING2026-10-12 08:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
-29.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.4%
$SAPLING2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
-22.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.6%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Similarity
34%
24h return
+14.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$BNBO2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Similarity
34%
24h return
+0.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.3%
$SAPLING2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Similarity
33%
24h return
-14.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.9%
$SAPLING2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
-34.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.6%
$SAPLING2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
-40.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.9%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Similarity
31%
24h return
+7.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.7%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Similarity
30%
24h return
+21.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-12 06:00 UTC
Similarity
30%
24h return
+25.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-12 08:00 UTC
Similarity
29%
24h return
+22.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.1%
$SAPLING2026-10-12 06:00 UTC
Similarity
28%
24h return
-24.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.8%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
27%
24h return
-3.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$BNBO2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
26%
24h return
+4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.4%
$BNBO2026-10-12 08:00 UTC
Similarity
25%
24h return
+2.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.3%
$SAPLING2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
25%
24h return
-32.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.5%
$BNBO2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Similarity
25%
24h return
-0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.4%
$SAPLING2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
21%
24h return
-42.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.3%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Similarity
20%
24h return
+1.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.1%
$AI2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Similarity
18%
24h return
-17.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.3%
$BNBO2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Similarity
15%
24h return
+0.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.1%
$AI2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
12%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.9%
$AI2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
12%
24h return
-20.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.3%
$AI2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
12%
24h return
-19.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.4%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
12%
24h return
+3.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.8%
$BNBO2026-10-12 06:00 UTC
Similarity
10%
24h return
-3.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.1%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
9%
24h return
-0.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.1%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
8%
24h return
-0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.4%
$BNBO2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Similarity
5%
24h return
-6.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.7%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-13 08:29 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $3RDI within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 14,745 resolved snapshots · 117 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.