Historical analogs

Similar setups to $CLAUS

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 253 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-1.9%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-32.3%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

33%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 16:40 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 33% (95% CI 20–48%)

Median: -1.9%; CI -7.5% … -0.2%
Trimmed mean: -1.6%; 10% each side
Mean: -0.6%; σ 13.8%
Range: -24.5% … +41.0%

1 above +39.3% (max +41.0%)

p5: -18.6%
p10: -15.5%
p25: -9.7%
p50: -1.9%
p75: +5.3%
p90: +16.6%
p95: +20.1%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 16:40 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: 9
Crowding: 60
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: —
Liquidity: $657.2K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$BATON2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	78%	+16.2%	-10.5%	+24.2%	5 · 65 · — · 44
$BATON2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	78%	+9.7%	-13.9%	+19.6%	5 · 65 · — · 39
$BATON2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	78%	+16.3%	-8.4%	+17.6%	5 · 65 · — · 44
$ORBIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	78%	-18.1%	-18.1%	+14.8%	6 · 58 · — · 42
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	73%	+19.7%	-5.3%	+32.5%	11 · 54 · — · 43
$旺柴2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	73%	-2.6%	-17.0%	+10.8%	9 · 54 · — · 45
$ORBIO2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	72%	+11.8%	-0.2%	+39.1%	5 · 65 · — · 43
$INU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	72%	-11.1%	-14.7%	+2.6%	4 · 63 · — · 51
$MASK2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	71%	-0.9%	-3.4%	+16.6%	2 · 62 · — · —
$MASK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	71%	+1.0%	-1.5%	+18.9%	2 · 62 · — · —
$PRIORS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	69%	-8.3%	-15.4%	+12.5%	4 · 64 · — · 39
$INU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	69%	-24.5%	-27.4%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 49
$INU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	69%	-22.0%	-24.6%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 45
$INU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	69%	-14.8%	-19.1%	+0.2%	5 · 67 · — · 45
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	69%	-15.2%	-19.2%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$SI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	67%	+27.8%	0.0%	+43.2%	13 · 51 · — · 42
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	66%	-11.0%	-14.6%	+2.7%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$TENDIES2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	65%	-1.6%	-4.7%	+6.1%	2 · 62 · — · —
$TENDIES2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	65%	-1.0%	-4.1%	+6.8%	2 · 62 · — · —
$TENDIES2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	64%	+0.4%	-3.0%	+8.1%	2 · 62 · — · —
$TENDIES2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	64%	-0.2%	-3.5%	+7.5%	2 · 62 · — · —
$TENDIES2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	64%	-0.2%	-3.5%	+7.4%	2 · 62 · — · —
$TENDIES2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	64%	-1.2%	-4.3%	+6.6%	2 · 62 · — · —
$TENDIES2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	64%	-2.2%	-5.2%	+5.6%	2 · 62 · — · —
$ZC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	64%	-12.0%	-17.2%	+14.3%	9 · 58 · — · —
$PRIORS2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	64%	+41.0%	0.0%	+56.4%	5 · 70 · — · 35
$PRIORS2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	63%	+18.8%	-0.2%	+32.7%	5 · 70 · — · 35
$PRIORS2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	63%	+3.8%	-14.2%	+14.2%	5 · 70 · — · 33
$PRIORS2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	63%	-1.2%	-17.8%	+9.3%	5 · 70 · — · 36
$PRIORS2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	63%	-3.0%	-12.5%	+16.4%	5 · 70 · — · 35
$PRIORS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	60%	-7.6%	-14.8%	+13.4%	3 · 52 · — · 40
$CLAUS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	-9.6%	-32.3%	+19.2%	9 · 48 · — · —
$BATON2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	53%	+13.8%	-11.3%	+23.2%	4 · 73 · — · 41
$HOOKR2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	51%	-7.4%	-16.3%	+0.4%	4 · 70 · — · —
$HOOKR2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	51%	-8.6%	-15.6%	+0.3%	4 · 70 · — · —
$HOOKR2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	51%	-2.9%	-7.6%	+5.7%	4 · 70 · — · —
$HOOKR2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	51%	-5.3%	-10.7%	+0.9%	4 · 70 · — · —
$HOOKR2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	50%	-10.1%	-19.0%	+0.3%	4 · 70 · — · —
$SAPLING2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	50%	-18.4%	-19.4%	+25.4%	8 · 56 · — · 46
$SAPLING2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	48%	+14.8%	-4.1%	+46.1%	9 · 61 · — · 43

$BATON2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+16.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.5%
$BATON2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+9.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.9%
$BATON2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+16.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-18.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.1%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+19.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.3%
$旺柴2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-2.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.0%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+11.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.2%
$INU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-11.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$MASK2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.4%
$MASK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+1.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.5%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.4%
$INU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-24.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.4%
$INU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-22.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.6%
$INU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.1%
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.2%
$SI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+27.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.6%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.7%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-1.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.1%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-0.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.5%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-0.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.5%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.3%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.2%
$ZC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-12.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.2%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+41.0%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+18.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.2%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.2%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.8%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-3.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.5%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-7.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.8%
$CLAUS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-9.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.3%
$BATON2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+13.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$HOOKR2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-7.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.3%
$HOOKR2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.6%
$HOOKR2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.6%
$HOOKR2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-5.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.7%
$HOOKR2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
-10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.0%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
-18.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.4%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.1%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 16:40 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $CLAUS within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 6,649 resolved snapshots · 253 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.