Historical analogs

Similar setups to $DNA

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 854 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-12.9%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-84.5%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

40%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 04:20 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 40% (95% CI 26–55%)

Median: -12.9%; CI -29.8% … +8.8%
Trimmed mean: +3.1%; 10% each side
Mean: +14.1%; σ 72.6%
Range: -84.1% … +195%

7 above +48.4% (max +195%)

p5: -42.9%
p10: -36.1%
p25: -32.3%
p50: -12.9%
p75: +20.0%
p90: +158%
p95: +162%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 04:20 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: 6
Crowding: 55
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: -1.4%
Volume acceleration: -67.9%
Liquidity: $172.0K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 5 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$BORDR2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	88%	-32.4%	-33.3%	+27.5%	8 · 55 · — · —
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	83%	+154%	0.0%	+249%	6 · 53 · — · 54
$ALTAI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	79%	-84.1%	-84.5%	+15.1%	3 · 56 · — · 66
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	78%	+159%	-21.5%	+217%	7 · 49 · — · 58
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	77%	+161%	-22.1%	+180%	5 · 56 · — · 46
$BANKROLL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	76%	+24.5%	-0.8%	+24.5%	2 · 62 · — · —
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	75%	+195%	-1.8%	+261%	7 · 49 · — · 60
$DARK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	74%	-30.9%	-32.2%	+1.2%	5 · 56 · — · 23
$BONER2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	74%	+8.8%	-1.1%	+12.9%	3 · 62 · — · 55
$BANKROLL2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	74%	+19.1%	-0.8%	+24.9%	3 · 64 · — · —
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	73%	+158%	-1.0%	+251%	7 · 53 · — · 57
$BORDR2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	73%	-31.5%	-41.6%	+6.5%	7 · 54 · — · —
$CRAWL2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	73%	-27.9%	-36.9%	+6.8%	5 · 50 · — · 51
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	73%	-35.9%	-35.9%	+15.6%	11 · 55 · — · 47
$PQC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	72%	-42.6%	-48.2%	+4.3%	8 · 55 · — · 28
$HOOKED2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	72%	-6.3%	-16.7%	+13.4%	3 · 62 · — · —
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	72%	-33.6%	-40.9%	+18.3%	11 · 55 · — · 41
$BORDR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	72%	-5.3%	-23.9%	+46.2%	8 · 64 · — · —
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	72%	-37.8%	-55.9%	+11.7%	9 · 58 · — · 51
$BANKROLL2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	71%	+19.9%	-2.0%	+23.3%	3 · 64 · — · —
$HOOKED2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	71%	-9.7%	-18.9%	+10.4%	3 · 62 · — · —
$DARK2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	71%	-25.2%	-28.7%	+2.6%	3 · 52 · — · 24
$DARK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	70%	-33.1%	-34.4%	+0.6%	6 · 50 · — · 24
$DARK2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	69%	-34.2%	-34.2%	+1.3%	6 · 50 · — · 20
$DARK2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	69%	-16.1%	-25.8%	+4.3%	3 · 62 · — · 23
$HOOKED2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	68%	-9.8%	-18.5%	+11.0%	3 · 62 · — · —
$AI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	68%	+20.4%	-0.9%	+23.6%	9 · 48 · — · 54
$SAPLING2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	68%	-32.5%	-35.3%	+6.4%	9 · 57 · — · 61
$BAGSPAY2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	67%	+6.0%	-4.1%	+42.6%	3 · 62 · — · 48
$HOTDOG2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	67%	+10.5%	-0.6%	+10.5%	3 · 62 · — · 53
$CRAWL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	67%	-28.7%	-36.8%	+27.2%	8 · 49 · — · 47
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	67%	+138%	-20.0%	+188%	5 · 56 · — · 50
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	67%	+164%	-9.9%	+228%	7 · 53 · — · 56
$CRAWL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	67%	-32.3%	-38.7%	+23.3%	8 · 49 · — · 44
$BORDR2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	67%	-26.3%	-37.7%	+38.5%	8 · 67 · — · —
$SAPLING2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	67%	+14.8%	-4.1%	+46.1%	9 · 61 · — · 43
$CRAWL2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	67%	-32.1%	-38.7%	0.0%	5 · 50 · — · 52
$BAGSPAY2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	67%	+24.3%	0.0%	+57.3%	3 · 62 · — · 44
$SAPLING2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	67%	-16.1%	-17.1%	+18.5%	8 · 59 · — · 55
$CRAWL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	66%	-48.0%	-48.5%	+2.8%	8 · 50 · — · 53

$BORDR2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-32.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.3%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+154%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$ALTAI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-84.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-84.5%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+159%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.5%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+161%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.1%
$BANKROLL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+24.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.8%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+195%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$DARK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-30.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.2%
$BONER2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+8.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.1%
$BANKROLL2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+19.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.8%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+158%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$BORDR2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-31.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.6%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-27.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.9%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-35.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.9%
$PQC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-42.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.2%
$HOOKED2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.7%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-33.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.9%
$BORDR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-5.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.9%
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-37.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.9%
$BANKROLL2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+19.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.0%
$HOOKED2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-9.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.9%
$DARK2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-25.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.7%
$DARK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-33.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.4%
$DARK2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-34.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.2%
$DARK2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.8%
$HOOKED2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.5%
$AI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
+20.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.9%
$SAPLING2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-32.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.3%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+6.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.1%
$HOTDOG2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+10.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.6%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-28.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.8%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+138%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.0%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+164%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-32.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.7%
$BORDR2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-26.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.7%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.1%
$CRAWL2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-32.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.7%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.1%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-48.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.5%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 04:20 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $DNA within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 9,124 resolved snapshots · 854 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.