Historical analogs

Similar setups to $TSUKI

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 2,111 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-0.2%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-46.0%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

48%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 04:54 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 48% (95% CI 33–63%)

Median: -0.2%; CI -4.9% … +3.4%
Trimmed mean: +0.8%; 10% each side
Mean: +2.0%; σ 15.4%
Range: -45.5% … +48.1%

1 below -26.3% (min -45.5%) · 1 above +36.2% (max +48.1%)

p5: -10.5%
p10: -9.7%
p25: -6.3%
p50: -0.2%
p75: +7.2%
p90: +23.5%
p95: +30.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 04:54 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 45
Price change 1h: -1.1%
Volume acceleration: +105%
Liquidity: $182.3K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$CORE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	89%	-4.9%	-7.4%	+2.1%	— · — · — · 46
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	89%	-4.8%	-6.2%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 45
$WOJAK2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	87%	-6.7%	-6.8%	0.0%	— · — · — · 43
$PCC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	87%	+2.2%	-7.3%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 45
$PCC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	87%	-3.2%	-9.4%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 43
$MUSHU2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	86%	+5.0%	0.0%	+5.3%	— · — · — · 46
$PCC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	86%	+1.9%	-7.5%	+4.2%	— · — · — · 45
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	83%	-8.2%	-8.2%	0.0%	— · — · — · 42
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	83%	-0.4%	-6.6%	+1.2%	5 · 56 · — · 47
$CORE2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	83%	+26.6%	-8.7%	+56.3%	— · — · — · 43
$UDR2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	82%	-2.8%	-7.9%	+2.6%	40 · 99 · — · 43
$招财猫2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	80%	-2.8%	-3.3%	+0.4%	4 · 70 · — · 43
$FLORK2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	79%	+3.4%	-2.0%	+5.0%	— · — · — · 43
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	78%	-6.8%	-23.1%	+7.2%	6 · 75 · — · 48
$MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	78%	-16.8%	-25.5%	+21.4%	— · — · — · 43
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	78%	-45.5%	-46.0%	+15.0%	28 · 63 · — · 42
$BOXY2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	76%	+23.1%	0.0%	+23.1%	— · — · — · 46
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	75%	-7.9%	-11.6%	+3.7%	— · — · — · 46
$SNDK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	75%	+31.7%	-2.5%	+51.9%	39 · 81 · — · 46
$INJOH2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	75%	+0.9%	-3.4%	+3.7%	— · — · — · 46
$INJOH2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	74%	-10.2%	-10.7%	+0.7%	— · — · — · 42
$GTA2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	74%	+13.7%	-10.5%	+37.1%	— · — · — · 45
$KITTY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	74%	-9.7%	-12.6%	+1.2%	— · — · — · 45
$CORE2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	74%	+30.1%	-3.2%	+65.6%	— · — · — · 46
$BNBCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	74%	-3.2%	-16.4%	+6.2%	— · — · — · 44
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	74%	+6.9%	-5.0%	+8.6%	— · — · — · 46
$SI2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	74%	+11.6%	-12.8%	+22.4%	— · — · — · 48
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	74%	+12.3%	-0.4%	+14.5%	3 · 62 · — · 49
$CORE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	74%	-6.2%	-8.6%	+1.2%	— · — · — · 43
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	73%	+4.2%	-3.5%	+4.2%	42 · 62 · — · 45
$RARI2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	73%	-6.8%	-29.4%	+29.1%	41 · 80 · — · 40
$WOJAK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	73%	-6.0%	-9.6%	+1.9%	— · — · — · 43
$HOTDOG2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	73%	+11.2%	0.0%	+13.4%	3 · 62 · — · 50
$RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	72%	-9.8%	-25.2%	+19.5%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	72%	+2.0%	-5.5%	+2.1%	5 · 62 · — · 42
$BONER2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	71%	+8.1%	-4.2%	+10.8%	3 · 62 · — · 50
$SNDK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	71%	+48.1%	-12.0%	+52.2%	— · — · — · 45
$MAX2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	71%	+3.8%	-4.4%	+4.6%	— · — · — · 45
$FLORK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	71%	-5.4%	-10.2%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 46
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	70%	0.0%	-2.2%	+2.4%	— · — · — · 45

$CORE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.4%
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.2%
$WOJAK2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-6.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.8%
$PCC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
+2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.3%
$PCC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.4%
$MUSHU2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+5.0%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$PCC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+1.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.5%
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-8.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.2%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.6%
$CORE2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+26.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.7%
$UDR2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-2.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.9%
$招财猫2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-2.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.3%
$FLORK2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+3.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.0%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-16.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.5%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-45.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.0%
$BOXY2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+23.1%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-7.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.6%
$SNDK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+31.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$INJOH2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.4%
$INJOH2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-10.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.7%
$GTA2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+13.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.5%
$KITTY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-9.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.6%
$CORE2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+30.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.2%
$BNBCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.4%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+6.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.0%
$SI2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+11.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.8%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+12.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.4%
$CORE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-6.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+4.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.5%
$RARI2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.4%
$WOJAK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-6.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$HOTDOG2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.2%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+2.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.5%
$BONER2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.2%
$SNDK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+48.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.0%
$MAX2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.4%
$FLORK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.2%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
0.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 04:54 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $TSUKI within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 9,124 resolved snapshots · 2,111 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.