Historical analogs

Similar setups to $FWA

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 2,181 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-2.4%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-31.5%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

23%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 23% (95% CI 12–38%)

Median: -2.4%; CI -6.3% … -1.8%
Trimmed mean: -4.0%; 10% each side
Mean: -2.7%; σ 8.7%
Range: -15.4% … +34.6%

1 above +15.2% (max +34.6%)

p5: -12.5%
p10: -10.0%
p25: -8.4%
p50: -2.4%
p75: -0.8%
p90: +2.3%
p95: +13.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: +1.6%
Volume acceleration: -14.4%
Liquidity: $901.1K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$ORBIO2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	96%	-10.0%	-13.9%	+13.5%	7 · 53 · — · —
$DRV2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	94%	-9.9%	-11.1%	0.0%	— · — · — · —
$HOOKR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	92%	-5.3%	-10.4%	+1.3%	3 · 81 · — · —
$HOOKR2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	92%	-2.2%	-3.8%	+10.9%	— · — · — · —
$B32026-10-10 15:00 UTC	91%	-2.4%	-2.5%	+1.2%	— · — · — · —
$HOOKR2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	90%	-10.1%	-19.0%	+0.3%	4 · 70 · — · —
$ZCAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	90%	-0.1%	-10.4%	+8.3%	— · — · — · 45
$B32026-10-10 20:00 UTC	90%	-2.2%	-2.8%	+0.9%	— · — · — · —
$ZCAT2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	89%	+1.5%	-10.5%	+8.2%	— · — · — · 42
$DRV2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	89%	-9.5%	-10.8%	+0.4%	— · — · — · —
$HOOKR2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	88%	-1.0%	-8.5%	+5.6%	— · — · — · —
$B32026-10-10 16:00 UTC	88%	-2.3%	-2.4%	+1.4%	— · — · — · —
$BUN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	88%	-5.5%	-6.3%	+3.1%	— · — · — · 57
$STRK2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	88%	+13.5%	-3.0%	+19.1%	— · — · — · —
$PRIORS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	87%	-8.3%	-15.4%	+12.5%	4 · 64 · — · 39
$ZCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	86%	-8.0%	-10.3%	+8.4%	— · — · — · 44
$B32026-10-11 00:00 UTC	86%	+0.3%	-2.2%	+1.5%	— · — · — · —
$B32026-10-10 23:00 UTC	86%	-1.7%	-2.5%	+1.2%	— · — · — · —
$BATON2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	85%	+9.7%	-13.9%	+19.6%	5 · 65 · — · 39
$BREW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	85%	-6.2%	-6.2%	+9.0%	5 · 85 · — · —
$DELTA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	85%	-15.4%	-18.3%	+0.1%	— · — · — · —
$牛来2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	85%	-5.5%	-6.3%	+0.9%	— · — · — · 66
$ZCAT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	85%	+0.5%	-10.7%	+7.9%	— · — · — · 46
$STRK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	85%	+13.1%	-1.9%	+20.4%	— · — · — · —
$BREW2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	85%	-2.0%	-5.1%	+10.0%	6 · 86 · — · —
$DELTA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	85%	-6.4%	-16.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · —
$WPRL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	85%	-4.9%	-5.6%	+2.8%	— · — · — · 31
$派人生2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	85%	-12.4%	-14.6%	+0.4%	— · — · — · 43
$B32026-10-10 19:00 UTC	85%	-2.4%	-2.8%	+0.9%	— · — · — · —
$WPRL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	85%	-6.3%	-7.7%	+2.8%	— · — · — · 37
$DELTA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	85%	-13.6%	-16.6%	+2.0%	— · — · — · —
$HOOKR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	84%	+0.8%	-4.6%	+7.6%	— · — · — · —
$ORBIO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	84%	-9.0%	-9.0%	+12.8%	8 · 45 · — · 47
$TRIPLET2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	84%	-1.4%	-8.3%	+6.8%	— · — · — · 45
$EDEL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	84%	-1.8%	-1.9%	+2.1%	— · — · — · —
$BREW2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	84%	-1.5%	-4.6%	+10.9%	4 · 82 · — · —
$SURPLUS2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	84%	-8.8%	-10.0%	0.0%	— · — · — · 28
$CLAUS2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	84%	+34.6%	-31.5%	+34.6%	17 · 60 · — · —
$ZCAT2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	83%	+1.2%	-11.2%	+7.3%	39 · 62 · — · 49
$BUN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	83%	-8.7%	-9.4%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 56

$ORBIO2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-10.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.9%
$DRV2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
-9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.1%
$HOOKR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-5.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.4%
$HOOKR2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.8%
$B32026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-2.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$HOOKR2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.0%
$ZCAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.4%
$B32026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.8%
$ZCAT2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
+1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.5%
$DRV2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-9.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.8%
$HOOKR2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-1.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.5%
$B32026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-2.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.4%
$BUN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-5.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.3%
$STRK2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
+13.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.4%
$ZCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-8.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.3%
$B32026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+0.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$B32026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-1.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$BATON2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+9.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.9%
$BREW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-6.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.2%
$DELTA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-15.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.3%
$牛来2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-5.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.3%
$ZCAT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+0.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.7%
$STRK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+13.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.9%
$BREW2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-2.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.1%
$DELTA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-6.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.6%
$WPRL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$派人生2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-12.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.6%
$B32026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-2.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.8%
$WPRL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.7%
$DELTA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-13.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.6%
$HOOKR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.6%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-9.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.0%
$TRIPLET2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-1.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.3%
$EDEL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-1.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.9%
$BREW2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.6%
$SURPLUS2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-8.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.0%
$CLAUS2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+34.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.5%
$ZCAT2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.2%
$BUN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-8.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.4%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 01:00 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $FWA within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 8,279 resolved snapshots · 2,181 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.