Historical analogs

Similar setups to $MICHI

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,086 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-10.2%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-66.0%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

38%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:12 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 38% (95% CI 24–53%)

Median: -10.2%; CI -16.3% … +0.4%
Trimmed mean: -9.4%; 10% each side
Mean: -9.8%; σ 20.9%
Range: -60.8% … +27.5%

p5: -38.3%
p10: -34.5%
p25: -27.8%
p50: -10.2%
p75: +5.7%
p90: +15.1%
p95: +20.6%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:12 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 53
Price change 1h: -0.3%
Volume acceleration: -7.9%
Liquidity: $160.3K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$BONER2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	84%	+10.4%	-4.6%	+10.4%	5 · 39 · — · 51
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	82%	-13.4%	-13.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 50
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	82%	+0.8%	-9.6%	+8.8%	— · — · — · 53
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	80%	+2.9%	-4.7%	+3.0%	5 · 56 · — · 50
$WORM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	80%	+27.5%	-4.4%	+27.5%	— · — · — · 56
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	79%	+5.4%	-5.4%	+13.8%	— · — · — · 51
$WORM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	78%	+1.2%	-9.2%	+9.2%	— · — · — · 52
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	77%	-15.5%	-26.3%	+1.4%	— · — · — · 53
$AI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	77%	+20.4%	-0.9%	+23.6%	9 · 48 · — · 54
$AI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	76%	+18.3%	-1.7%	+19.6%	26 · 48 · — · 54
$BONER2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	76%	+6.6%	-5.7%	+9.1%	5 · 56 · — · 52
$STONKINU2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	75%	-18.2%	-48.5%	+6.7%	4 · 79 · — · 51
$ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	74%	+14.4%	-9.6%	+23.9%	— · — · — · 54
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	72%	-3.2%	-20.1%	+11.4%	6 · 75 · — · 49
$PRISM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	71%	-15.4%	-19.0%	0.0%	3 · 86 · — · 55
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	71%	-31.2%	-35.3%	+28.3%	3 · 78 · — · 56
$CRAWL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	71%	-35.8%	-41.9%	+3.4%	8 · 53 · — · 54
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	70%	-11.2%	-22.6%	+7.1%	— · — · — · 52
$WORM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	70%	+14.8%	-5.6%	+23.9%	— · — · — · 54
$MADE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	70%	-3.9%	-11.2%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 56
$STONKINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	69%	-33.5%	-49.4%	+4.9%	6 · 81 · — · 48
$STONKINU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	69%	-28.3%	-49.9%	+4.0%	4 · 79 · — · 50
$PRISM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	68%	-16.6%	-16.6%	+4.1%	3 · 88 · — · 55
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	68%	-60.8%	-66.0%	0.0%	— · — · — · 51
$ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	68%	+24.3%	0.0%	+36.0%	3 · 81 · — · 55
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	68%	-17.3%	-23.9%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 54
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	68%	+9.5%	-4.2%	+10.9%	3 · 62 · — · 52
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	67%	-9.6%	-9.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 47
$VEX2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	67%	-6.4%	-6.5%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 53
$URMOM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	67%	+12.1%	-10.4%	+19.9%	3 · 71 · — · 48
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	66%	-27.6%	-34.2%	+14.8%	32 · 54 · — · 52
$QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	66%	-34.1%	-44.2%	+19.6%	17 · 38 · — · 53
$QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	66%	-33.2%	-41.2%	+25.3%	64 · 36 · — · 52
$MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	66%	0.0%	-14.7%	+39.0%	— · — · — · 46
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	66%	-37.8%	-55.9%	+11.7%	9 · 58 · — · 51
$CRAWL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	66%	-34.4%	-40.6%	+10.9%	44 · 53 · — · 52
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	65%	-10.8%	-10.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · 47
$SAPLING2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	65%	-16.1%	-17.1%	+18.5%	8 · 59 · — · 55
$PCC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	64%	+0.2%	-9.0%	+2.5%	— · — · — · 46
$CRAWL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	64%	-48.0%	-48.5%	+2.8%	8 · 50 · — · 53

$BONER2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.6%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-13.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.4%
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.7%
$WORM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+27.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.4%
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.4%
$WORM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.2%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-15.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.3%
$AI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+20.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.9%
$AI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+18.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.7%
$BONER2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+6.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.7%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-18.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.5%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+14.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.1%
$PRISM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-15.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.0%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.3%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-35.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.9%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.6%
$WORM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$MADE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-3.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.2%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-33.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.4%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-28.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.9%
$PRISM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-16.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.6%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-60.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-66.0%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
+24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-17.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.9%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
+9.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.2%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-9.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$VEX2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-6.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$URMOM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+12.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.4%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-27.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.2%
$QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-34.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.2%
$QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-33.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.2%
$MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
0.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-37.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.9%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-34.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.6%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-10.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.9%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.1%
$PCC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+0.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.0%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-48.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.5%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:12 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $MICHI within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 1,086 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.