Historical analogs

Similar setups to $UFG

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 8,084 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-10.0%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-65.5%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

23%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-13 07:26 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-12

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 23% (95% CI 12–38%)

Median: -10.0%; CI -24.0% … -6.4%
Trimmed mean: -14.9%; 10% each side
Mean: -13.6%; σ 21.0%
Range: -47.5% … +35.3%

p5: -40.7%
p10: -39.6%
p25: -32.2%
p50: -10.0%
p75: -1.8%
p90: +11.1%
p95: +26.5%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-13 07:26 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: -4.1%
Volume acceleration: -6.6%
Liquidity: $127.5K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$HYDX2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	97%	-18.0%	-33.2%	+13.4%	— · — · — · 27
$RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	96%	-8.1%	-18.2%	+30.7%	2 · 78 · — · 37
$SUE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	96%	-8.0%	-16.8%	+3.4%	— · — · — · 43
$UDR2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	96%	-24.6%	-24.6%	+21.6%	3 · 99 · — · 52
$SUE2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	96%	-0.6%	-7.2%	+5.1%	— · — · — · 51
$CZ2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	96%	+1.3%	-21.7%	+79.0%	— · — · — · —
$WORM2026-10-11 13:00 UTC	96%	+13.7%	-0.3%	+57.4%	— · — · — · 18
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	95%	-7.4%	-20.9%	+26.4%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$GOMO2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	95%	-39.6%	-44.7%	+11.7%	— · — · — · —
$うさぎ2026-10-12 04:00 UTC	95%	-2.9%	-17.5%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 62
$RARI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	95%	-10.0%	-16.6%	+33.2%	40 · 82 · — · 40
$WSOLP2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	95%	-2.1%	-3.0%	+6.4%	— · — · — · —
$KURUMI2026-10-11 09:00 UTC	95%	+3.7%	-2.2%	+8.0%	— · — · — · 43
$AF2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	95%	-26.8%	-39.0%	+11.7%	— · — · — · 28
$RARI2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	95%	-15.9%	-29.0%	+29.7%	4 · 80 · — · 35
$SUE2026-10-12 06:00 UTC	95%	+4.9%	-7.7%	+5.4%	— · — · — · 51
$SAFU2026-10-12 07:00 UTC	94%	-23.4%	-40.0%	+31.6%	— · — · — · 50
$KLN2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	94%	-42.2%	-42.2%	0.0%	— · — · — · 65
$HEEHAW2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	94%	-33.2%	-36.2%	+12.9%	2 · 81 · — · 44
$KLN2026-10-12 04:00 UTC	94%	-36.5%	-65.5%	+0.3%	— · — · — · 52
$HIGGS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	94%	-15.8%	-18.5%	+15.0%	— · — · — · —
$HEEHAW2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	93%	-40.0%	-40.0%	+8.7%	— · — · — · 53
$JOBY2026-10-12 07:00 UTC	93%	+10.8%	-10.9%	+10.8%	— · — · — · 50
$HIGGS2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	93%	+26.4%	-15.5%	+69.1%	— · — · — · —
$CELL2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	93%	-37.7%	-38.5%	+3.4%	— · — · — · 47
$SECRETFROG2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	93%	-40.6%	-48.2%	0.0%	— · — · — · 71
$RARI2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	93%	-31.8%	-38.4%	+6.7%	3 · 81 · — · 26
$SUE2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	93%	-5.4%	-13.4%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 52
$UDR2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	93%	-10.0%	-11.0%	+1.0%	3 · 99 · — · 48
$HOTDOG2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	93%	-7.3%	-8.6%	+0.1%	3 · 62 · — · 51
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 20:00 UTC	93%	+28.3%	-1.0%	+28.4%	— · — · — · 46
$SAFU2026-10-12 06:00 UTC	93%	-39.1%	-46.0%	+18.4%	— · — · — · 51
$KLN2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	93%	-31.9%	-38.3%	+11.5%	— · — · — · 63
$RARI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	93%	-3.0%	-7.9%	+43.6%	3 · 82 · — · 34
$GP2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	93%	+35.3%	-6.2%	+47.4%	— · — · — · —
$GTA2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	93%	+9.9%	-4.9%	+45.7%	— · — · — · 45
$POLLY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	92%	-9.1%	-12.5%	+17.5%	— · — · — · —
$SHROOM2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	92%	-22.7%	-22.7%	+9.7%	— · — · — · 45
$UBIK2026-10-12 06:00 UTC	92%	-36.0%	-52.1%	0.0%	— · — · — · —
$DRMR2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	92%	-47.5%	-49.9%	+9.9%	— · — · — · 21

$HYDX2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-18.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.2%
$RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.2%
$SUE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-8.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.8%
$UDR2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-24.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.6%
$SUE2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-0.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.2%
$CZ2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+1.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.7%
$WORM2026-10-11 13:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+13.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.3%
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-7.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.9%
$GOMO2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-39.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.7%
$うさぎ2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.5%
$RARI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-10.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.6%
$WSOLP2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-2.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$KURUMI2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+3.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$AF2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-26.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.0%
$RARI2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-15.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.0%
$SUE2026-10-12 06:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.7%
$SAFU2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
-23.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.0%
$KLN2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
-42.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-42.2%
$HEEHAW2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
-33.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.2%
$KLN2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
-36.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-65.5%
$HIGGS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
-15.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.5%
$HEEHAW2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-40.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.0%
$JOBY2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+10.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.9%
$HIGGS2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+26.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.5%
$CELL2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-37.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.5%
$SECRETFROG2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-40.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.2%
$RARI2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-31.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.4%
$SUE2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.4%
$UDR2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-10.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%
$HOTDOG2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-7.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$ANONCOIN2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+28.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$SAFU2026-10-12 06:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-39.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.0%
$KLN2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-31.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.3%
$RARI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-3.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.9%
$GP2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+35.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.2%
$GTA2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.9%
$POLLY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-9.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.5%
$SHROOM2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-22.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.7%
$UBIK2026-10-12 06:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-36.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.1%
$DRMR2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-47.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-13 07:26 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $UFG within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 14,491 resolved snapshots · 8,084 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.