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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $GRASS

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
6
of 2,181 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
+1.0%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-45.9%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
50%
N = 6
ConfidenceConfidence: LOW6 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 00:02 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 6 · Positive after 24h 50% (95% CI 19–81%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+1.0%
CI -30.6% … +67.5%
Trimmed mean
+12.6%
10% each side
Mean
+12.6%
σ 47.7%
Range
-37.2% … +91.4%
24h return after similar setups histogram6 samples in 4 bins from -37.2% to +91.4%.median-37.2%+91.4%0%+50%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian +1.0%, interquartile range -19.5% to +34.8%, whiskers -37.2% to +91.4%, 0 outliers (min -37.2%, max +91.4%).-37.2%+91.4%+1.0%
p5
-33.9%
p10
-30.6%
p25
-19.5%
p50
+1.0%
p75
+34.8%
p90
+67.5%
p95
+79.4%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 00:02 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
—
Price change 1h
+68.0%
Volume acceleration
+143%
Liquidity
$104.7K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $BUL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    27%
    24h return
    -37.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -39.8%
  • $ANIMAL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    20%
    24h return
    -24.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -43.6%
  • $TIKTOK2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    14%
    24h return
    -6.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -45.9%
  • $ZEVIO2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    12%
    24h return
    +8.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.9%
  • $BULLISH2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    10%
    24h return
    +43.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.9%
  • $CLAUDIA2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    8%
    24h return
    +91.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -2.8%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 00:02 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $GRASS within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 8,279 resolved snapshots · 2,181 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.