Historical analogs

Similar setups to $DGUY

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 3,012 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

+0.6%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-73.1%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

53%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 04:55 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 53% (95% CI 37–67%)

Median: +0.6%; CI -5.1% … +9.9%
Trimmed mean: +5.3%; 10% each side
Mean: +6.7%; σ 31.1%
Range: -70.9% … +104%

1 below -70.1% (min -70.9%) · 2 above +71.8% (max +104%)

p5: -41.5%
p10: -15.6%
p25: -8.0%
p50: +0.6%
p75: +21.4%
p90: +48.3%
p95: +51.4%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 04:55 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: +5.1%
Volume acceleration: +11.7%
Liquidity: $125.5K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$RARI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	96%	-7.9%	-27.5%	+32.4%	4 · 82 · — · 36
$WORM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	93%	+1.2%	-9.2%	+9.2%	— · — · — · 52
$HOOKS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	93%	-41.1%	-46.3%	+9.7%	— · — · — · 46
$HIGGS2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	92%	+39.0%	-23.2%	+53.7%	— · — · — · —
$POLLY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	91%	-15.4%	-15.4%	+13.6%	— · — · — · —
$NUDES2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	91%	-8.6%	-8.7%	+1.7%	— · — · — · 33
$NUDES2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	90%	-5.0%	-5.7%	+5.1%	— · — · — · 27
$POLLY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	89%	-8.1%	-16.0%	+12.8%	— · — · — · —
$WORM2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	89%	+10.1%	-8.1%	+20.5%	— · — · — · 40
$HOOKS2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	89%	-48.5%	-56.0%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 46
$GTA2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	87%	-17.2%	-18.3%	+17.3%	— · — · — · 64
$WSOLP2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	87%	-5.8%	-6.6%	+2.5%	— · — · — · —
$ALLINU2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	86%	+9.9%	-1.7%	+25.3%	40 · 86 · — · 52
$UBIK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	86%	-7.7%	-7.7%	+2.8%	— · — · — · —
$SWOLF2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	86%	+104%	-1.9%	+168%	— · — · — · —
$BULLISH2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	85%	+20.7%	-5.2%	+93.4%	41 · 86 · — · 68
$GP2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	85%	-0.8%	-15.4%	+21.4%	— · — · — · —
$NINJACAT2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	85%	+50.1%	-16.0%	+81.3%	— · — · — · 48
$NUDES2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	85%	-3.5%	-6.6%	+4.0%	— · — · — · 31
$HOTDOG2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	85%	+10.9%	0.0%	+11.4%	3 · 62 · — · 51
$AF2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	85%	+1.8%	-18.2%	+8.3%	— · — · — · 19
$BORDR2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	85%	+74.6%	-33.9%	+93.3%	6 · 82 · — · —
$WORTH2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	84%	-5.1%	-6.8%	+0.5%	— · — · — · —
$PCC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	84%	+0.2%	-9.0%	+2.5%	— · — · — · 46
$BORDR2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	84%	+33.4%	-33.9%	+56.1%	7 · 84 · — · —
$DRMR2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	84%	+50.1%	-21.0%	+102%	— · — · — · 37
$SI2762026-10-10 15:00 UTC	84%	+25.6%	-34.6%	+33.3%	— · — · — · 31
$WORM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	84%	+27.5%	-4.4%	+27.5%	— · — · — · 56
$PEPONS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	84%	+4.1%	-34.9%	+4.6%	— · — · — · —
$PULP2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	84%	-70.9%	-73.1%	+46.1%	— · — · — · —
$CZ2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	83%	+2.4%	-45.5%	+24.5%	— · — · — · —
$ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	83%	+14.4%	-9.6%	+23.9%	— · — · — · 54
$SUE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	83%	-10.3%	-18.9%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 36
$ROUTE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	83%	-0.9%	-3.4%	+7.7%	— · — · — · 21
$KURUMI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	83%	-12.2%	-12.2%	+1.2%	— · — · — · 46
$RARI2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	83%	-12.1%	-33.1%	+22.2%	4 · 82 · — · 39
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	83%	-2.3%	-33.8%	+8.9%	— · — · — · 46
$招财猫2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	82%	+0.9%	-0.2%	+4.2%	41 · 70 · — · 36
$OWL2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	82%	+23.6%	-9.1%	+46.3%	— · — · — · 28
$SNDK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	82%	+48.1%	-12.0%	+52.2%	— · — · — · 45

$RARI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-7.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.5%
$WORM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.2%
$HOOKS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-41.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.3%
$HIGGS2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
+39.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.2%
$POLLY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-15.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.4%
$NUDES2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.7%
$NUDES2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-5.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.7%
$POLLY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.0%
$WORM2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
+10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.1%
$HOOKS2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-48.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.0%
$GTA2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-17.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.3%
$WSOLP2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-5.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.6%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.7%
$UBIK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-7.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.7%
$SWOLF2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+104%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.9%
$BULLISH2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+20.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.2%
$GP2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.4%
$NINJACAT2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+50.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.0%
$NUDES2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.6%
$HOTDOG2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+10.9%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$AF2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+1.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.2%
$BORDR2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+74.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.9%
$WORTH2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-5.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.8%
$PCC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+0.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.0%
$BORDR2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+33.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.9%
$DRMR2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+50.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.0%
$SI2762026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+25.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.6%
$WORM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+27.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.4%
$PEPONS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.9%
$PULP2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-70.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-73.1%
$CZ2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+2.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.5%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+14.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$SUE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-10.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.9%
$ROUTE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.4%
$KURUMI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-12.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.2%
$RARI2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-12.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.1%
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-2.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.8%
$招财猫2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.2%
$OWL2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+23.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.1%
$SNDK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+48.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.0%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 04:55 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $DGUY within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 9,124 resolved snapshots · 3,012 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.