Historical analogs

Similar setups to $NINJACAT

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 675 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-9.4%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-73.3%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

20%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 18:43 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 20% (95% CI 10–35%)

Median: -9.4%; CI -16.7% … -6.3%
Trimmed mean: -13.5%; 10% each side
Mean: -1.7%; σ 54.6%
Range: -70.5% … +161%

4 above +51.7% (max +161%)

p5: -56.5%
p10: -43.5%
p25: -32.9%
p50: -9.4%
p75: -2.8%
p90: +40.5%
p95: +144%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 18:43 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 49
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: -60.0%
Liquidity: $163.4K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$QI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	94%	-28.0%	-41.0%	+25.6%	71 · 37 · — · 49
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	91%	-17.4%	-22.1%	+7.8%	— · — · — · 48
$QI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	90%	-39.1%	-44.3%	+18.6%	33 · 37 · — · 49
$PQC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	88%	-35.2%	-61.6%	+0.6%	9 · 58 · — · 48
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	87%	-16.1%	-26.8%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 49
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	87%	-9.2%	-14.7%	+18.0%	— · — · — · 47
$PQC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	87%	-56.3%	-64.8%	+2.0%	9 · 58 · — · 48
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	84%	+138%	-20.0%	+188%	5 · 56 · — · 50
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	84%	-15.5%	-20.3%	+10.2%	— · — · — · 47
$MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	82%	-10.2%	-19.6%	+31.0%	40 · 81 · — · 46
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	82%	+151%	-24.0%	+207%	7 · 49 · — · 50
$PQC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	82%	-32.8%	-55.2%	+14.5%	9 · 58 · — · 51
$PCC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	82%	-0.8%	-7.2%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 46
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	82%	+5.4%	-5.4%	+13.8%	— · — · — · 51
$KURUMI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	82%	-5.0%	-6.6%	+6.3%	— · — · — · 46
$QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	82%	-33.2%	-41.2%	+25.3%	64 · 36 · — · 52
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	81%	-11.2%	-22.6%	+7.1%	— · — · — · 52
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	80%	-7.0%	-7.0%	0.0%	— · — · — · 46
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	80%	+0.7%	-6.3%	+2.2%	5 · 56 · — · 52
$SUE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	80%	-5.9%	-14.9%	+5.8%	— · — · — · 46
$QI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	80%	-45.4%	-51.9%	+0.9%	63 · 36 · — · 52
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	80%	-8.9%	-20.6%	+9.9%	— · — · — · 51
$招财猫2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	80%	-2.4%	-3.0%	+0.7%	41 · 70 · — · 46
$PQC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	80%	-61.0%	-69.2%	0.0%	9 · 58 · — · 52
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	79%	-37.8%	-55.9%	+11.7%	9 · 58 · — · 51
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	78%	-15.0%	-19.5%	+11.3%	— · — · — · 47
$PQC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	78%	-70.5%	-73.3%	+4.0%	10 · 58 · — · 52
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	78%	+161%	-22.1%	+180%	5 · 56 · — · 46
$BNBCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	78%	-3.0%	-16.2%	+6.5%	— · — · — · 46
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	77%	-29.2%	-37.9%	+5.6%	— · — · — · 46
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	77%	-9.4%	-9.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 46
$UDR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	77%	-7.5%	-9.9%	+1.7%	7 · 81 · — · 46
$WOJAK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	76%	-4.8%	-8.4%	+3.3%	— · — · — · 46
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	76%	+144%	-30.8%	+180%	27 · 49 · — · 50
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	75%	-9.4%	-17.2%	+14.5%	— · — · — · 45
$VEX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	75%	-6.3%	-6.4%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 49
$QI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	75%	-43.3%	-50.5%	+6.1%	16 · 37 · — · 53
$SAPLING2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	74%	+11.2%	-6.7%	+42.2%	45 · 61 · — · 47
$QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	74%	-34.1%	-44.2%	+19.6%	17 · 38 · — · 53
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	74%	+29.7%	-9.9%	+52.7%	3 · 62 · — · 46

$QI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
-28.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.0%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-17.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.1%
$QI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-39.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.3%
$PQC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-35.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-61.6%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.8%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-9.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$PQC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-56.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-64.8%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+138%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.0%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-15.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.3%
$MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-10.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.6%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+151%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.0%
$PQC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-32.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.2%
$PCC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.2%
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.4%
$KURUMI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-5.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.6%
$QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-33.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.2%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.6%
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-7.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.0%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+0.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.3%
$SUE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-5.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.9%
$QI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-45.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-51.9%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-8.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.6%
$招财猫2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-2.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$PQC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-61.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-69.2%
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-37.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.9%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-15.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.5%
$PQC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-70.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-73.3%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+161%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.1%
$BNBCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-3.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.2%
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-29.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.9%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-9.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.4%
$UDR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-7.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$WOJAK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+144%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.8%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-9.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.2%
$VEX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.4%
$QI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-43.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-50.5%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.7%
$QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-34.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.2%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+29.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 18:43 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $NINJACAT within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,048 resolved snapshots · 675 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.