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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 2h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 2h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $UDR

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
26
of 198 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-13.7%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-52.3%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
15%
N = 26
ConfidenceConfidence: MEDIUM26 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 16:40 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 26 · Positive after 24h 15% (95% CI 6–34%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-13.7%
CI -28.8% … -9.0%
Trimmed mean
-17.3%
10% each side
Mean
-15.8%
σ 22.7%
Range
-49.5% … +36.2%
24h return after similar setups histogram26 samples in 8 bins from -49.5% to +36.2%.median-49.5%+36.2%0%-40%-20%+20%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian -13.7%, interquartile range -33.8% to -7.9%, whiskers -49.5% to +28.9%, 1 outliers (min -49.5%, max +36.2%).-49.5%+28.9%-13.7%
p5
-46.3%
p10
-44.6%
p25
-33.8%
p50
-13.7%
p75
-7.9%
p90
+16.9%
p95
+26.0%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 16:40 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
3
Crowding
99
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
30
Price change 1h
—
Volume acceleration
—
Liquidity
$121.9K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    43%
    24h return
    -14.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.0%
  • $PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    43%
    24h return
    -12.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -13.6%
  • $UDR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    37%
    24h return
    -7.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -10.3%
  • $PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    35%
    24h return
    -13.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.9%
  • $RARI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    32%
    24h return
    -5.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -12.7%
  • $BINF2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    31%
    24h return
    +16.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -16.0%
  • $PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    31%
    24h return
    -14.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.4%
  • $PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    28%
    24h return
    -13.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -13.7%
  • $PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    28%
    24h return
    -13.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.9%
  • $RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    24%
    24h return
    -8.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -18.2%
  • $AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    20%
    24h return
    -44.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -49.7%
  • $STONKINU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    17%
    24h return
    -31.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -48.1%
  • $STONKINU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    17%
    24h return
    -49.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -51.1%
  • $BASECAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    16%
    24h return
    +17.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -2.4%
  • $SWORDCAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    14%
    24h return
    -23.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -37.0%
  • $SWORDCAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    14%
    24h return
    -26.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -39.7%
  • $RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    9%
    24h return
    -9.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -25.2%
  • $RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    9%
    24h return
    -7.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -20.9%
  • $AGENCY2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    9%
    24h return
    -45.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -46.6%
  • $BASECAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    8%
    24h return
    +36.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.2%
  • $BASECAT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    8%
    24h return
    +28.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $AGENCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    5%
    24h return
    -42.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -44.8%
  • $AGENCY2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    4%
    24h return
    -46.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -52.3%
  • $STONKINU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    2%
    24h return
    -34.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -46.4%
  • $STONKINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    2%
    24h return
    -34.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -50.4%
  • $SWORDCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    1%
    24h return
    -10.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -26.3%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 16:40 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $UDR within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 6,649 resolved snapshots · 198 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.