Historical analogs

Similar setups to $PACK

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 809 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-9.0%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-60.2%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

38%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:04 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 38% (95% CI 24–53%)

Median: -9.0%; CI -24.3% … +5.1%
Trimmed mean: -9.6%; 10% each side
Mean: -5.9%; σ 33.3%
Range: -54.0% … +90.6%

p5: -45.9%
p10: -40.5%
p25: -33.4%
p50: -9.0%
p75: +10.7%
p90: +33.2%
p95: +66.4%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:04 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 49
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: -83.8%
Liquidity: $8.3K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$PACK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	82%	-6.1%	-9.8%	0.0%	— · — · — · 46
$SIB2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	80%	+11.2%	-15.2%	+124%	— · — · — · 47
$SIB2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	77%	+67.2%	-30.7%	+83.1%	— · — · — · 47
$PACK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	76%	-4.8%	-7.5%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 45
$SIB2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	76%	+90.6%	-21.0%	+109%	— · — · — · 46
$SIB2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	74%	+32.0%	-45.2%	+829%	— · — · — · 50
$PACK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	68%	-7.5%	-11.1%	0.0%	— · — · — · 44
$PACK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	66%	-11.6%	-15.1%	+1.4%	— · — · — · 43
$SIB2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	63%	+43.3%	-40.6%	+908%	— · — · — · 54
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	57%	+5.7%	-21.5%	+28.7%	— · — · — · 46
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	55%	-25.5%	-25.5%	+25.0%	— · — · — · 45
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	48%	-16.8%	-38.3%	+3.3%	— · — · — · 44
$TIKTOK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	41%	+66.3%	-7.0%	+72.5%	— · — · — · 45
$TIKTOK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	36%	+20.9%	-30.5%	+41.2%	— · — · — · 44
$TIKTOK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	32%	+9.9%	-36.8%	+28.5%	— · — · — · 43
$SIB2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	30%	-32.7%	-45.9%	+9.1%	— · — · — · 47
$TIKTOK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	26%	+5.0%	-33.8%	+22.8%	— · — · — · 46
$SIB2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	26%	-36.7%	-53.8%	+2.8%	— · — · — · 46
$SIB2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	25%	-40.3%	-56.4%	+19.4%	— · — · — · 50
$SIB2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	25%	-42.4%	-57.9%	+15.2%	— · — · — · 47
$PACK2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	25%	-16.0%	-19.3%	0.0%	— · — · — · 36
$42060662026-10-10 19:00 UTC	22%	+16.4%	-31.5%	+18.9%	— · — · — · 37
$SIB2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	20%	-45.6%	-60.2%	+8.8%	— · — · — · 54
$BUL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	17%	-36.1%	-48.9%	+5.4%	— · — · — · 46
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	14%	-54.0%	-60.2%	+9.2%	— · — · — · 49
$FRANK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	12%	-1.6%	-32.2%	+43.7%	— · — · — · 44
$OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	12%	-33.0%	-40.9%	+32.9%	— · — · — · 53
$FRANK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	12%	-4.5%	-38.1%	+31.2%	— · — · — · 45
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	10%	+15.8%	-15.5%	+38.7%	— · — · — · 44
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	9%	-53.4%	-59.6%	+10.7%	— · — · — · 53
$OMNI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	9%	-38.7%	-43.2%	+27.7%	— · — · — · 53
$42060662026-10-10 17:00 UTC	8%	-34.8%	-34.8%	+7.5%	— · — · — · 33
$URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	7%	+10.6%	-9.2%	+21.4%	3 · 71 · — · 48
$GROK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	7%	-17.4%	-17.4%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 33
$GROK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	6%	-25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	— · — · — · 37
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	6%	-35.6%	-55.1%	+23.2%	— · — · — · 56
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	6%	+13.2%	-2.8%	+16.6%	— · — · — · 46
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	5%	-10.6%	-12.4%	+0.2%	45 · 85 · — · 46
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	5%	+10.4%	-3.7%	+15.6%	— · — · — · 45
$STONKINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	5%	-23.7%	-47.8%	+8.3%	5 · 75 · — · 50

$PACK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-6.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.8%
$SIB2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.2%
$SIB2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+67.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.7%
$PACK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.5%
$SIB2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+90.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.0%
$SIB2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+32.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.2%
$PACK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-7.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.1%
$PACK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-11.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.1%
$SIB2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+43.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.6%
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+5.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.5%
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-25.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.5%
$ANIMAL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-16.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.3%
$TIKTOK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
+66.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.0%
$TIKTOK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
+20.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.5%
$TIKTOK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
+9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.8%
$SIB2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
30%
24h return
-32.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.9%
$TIKTOK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
26%
24h return
+5.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.8%
$SIB2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
26%
24h return
-36.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.8%
$SIB2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
25%
24h return
-40.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.4%
$SIB2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
25%
24h return
-42.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.9%
$PACK2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
25%
24h return
-16.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.3%
$42060662026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
22%
24h return
+16.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.5%
$SIB2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
20%
24h return
-45.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-60.2%
$BUL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
17%
24h return
-36.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.9%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
14%
24h return
-54.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-60.2%
$FRANK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
12%
24h return
-1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.2%
$OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
12%
24h return
-33.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.9%
$FRANK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
12%
24h return
-4.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.1%
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
10%
24h return
+15.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.5%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
9%
24h return
-53.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-59.6%
$OMNI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
9%
24h return
-38.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.2%
$42060662026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
8%
24h return
-34.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.8%
$URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
7%
24h return
+10.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.2%
$GROK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
7%
24h return
-17.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.4%
$GROK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
6%
24h return
-25.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.0%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
6%
24h return
-35.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.1%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
6%
24h return
+13.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.8%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
5%
24h return
-10.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.4%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
5%
24h return
+10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.7%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
5%
24h return
-23.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-47.8%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:04 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $PACK within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 809 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.