Historical analogs

Similar setups to $KINDRA

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,962 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-12.8%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-59.7%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

33%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 03:48 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 33% (95% CI 20–48%)

Median: -12.8%; CI -19.5% … -3.1%
Trimmed mean: -9.9%; 10% each side
Mean: -10.0%; σ 24.3%
Range: -56.6% … +39.2%

p5: -51.3%
p10: -41.9%
p25: -24.8%
p50: -12.8%
p75: +4.6%
p90: +21.2%
p95: +31.3%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 03:48 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 40
Price change 1h: 0.0%
Volume acceleration: -79.6%
Liquidity: $92.9K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$URMOM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	95%	-25.4%	-33.1%	+16.2%	3 · 80 · — · 40
$AI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	94%	+4.1%	-2.7%	+11.5%	10 · 42 · — · 40
$URMOM2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	92%	-20.1%	-28.6%	+24.0%	41 · 79 · — · 41
$AI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	91%	+6.2%	-0.8%	+13.7%	43 · 42 · — · 41
$URMOM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	91%	-24.9%	-32.3%	+17.5%	3 · 80 · — · 41
$URMOM2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	89%	-18.9%	-27.3%	+26.4%	41 · 82 · — · 40
$BNBO2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	89%	+16.7%	-9.8%	+16.7%	— · — · — · 42
$URMOM2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	88%	-14.3%	-26.4%	+27.8%	3 · 79 · — · 38
$RARI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	87%	+14.8%	0.0%	+63.4%	2 · 78 · — · 42
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	86%	-36.9%	-55.6%	+21.9%	— · — · — · 41
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	86%	-12.5%	-14.3%	0.0%	11 · 84 · — · 43
$NORMIE2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	86%	-51.2%	-54.9%	+0.9%	— · — · — · 43
$うさぎ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	86%	+24.0%	-4.5%	+37.8%	— · — · — · 43
$NORMIE2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	86%	-53.1%	-53.4%	+0.9%	— · — · — · 42
$NUDES2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	86%	-0.8%	-5.1%	0.0%	— · — · — · 37
$BORRO2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	86%	-56.6%	-57.2%	+2.1%	— · — · — · 39
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	85%	-6.9%	-16.2%	+30.5%	— · — · — · 42
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	85%	-34.8%	-55.3%	+22.5%	— · — · — · 38
$うさぎ2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	85%	+39.2%	0.0%	+74.8%	— · — · — · 43
$NASDANQ2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	85%	-24.7%	-24.7%	0.0%	— · — · — · 37
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	85%	+31.2%	-1.9%	+31.6%	— · — · — · 43
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	85%	-13.8%	-14.9%	+1.8%	14 · 85 · — · 37
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	85%	-24.8%	-40.5%	0.0%	— · — · — · 42
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	85%	-13.6%	-13.7%	+3.2%	14 · 85 · — · 37
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	85%	-6.6%	-7.4%	+6.9%	29 · 87 · — · 42
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	84%	+1.2%	-16.4%	+34.9%	— · — · — · 43
$UDR2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	84%	-3.1%	-7.9%	+2.6%	5 · 84 · — · 42
$URMOM2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	84%	-10.2%	-23.1%	+33.6%	3 · 79 · — · 39
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	83%	-41.1%	-59.7%	+10.4%	— · — · — · 43
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	83%	+32.4%	-1.0%	+32.8%	— · — · — · 43
$URMOM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	83%	-21.4%	-30.0%	+21.7%	3 · 82 · — · 37
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	83%	-11.2%	-11.7%	+30.5%	— · — · — · 42
$SUE2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	83%	+20.0%	-1.3%	+22.0%	— · — · — · 43
$URMOM2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	83%	-16.7%	-26.4%	+27.9%	3 · 79 · — · 43
$BNBO2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	83%	+17.2%	0.0%	+32.2%	— · — · — · 43
$SUE2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	82%	+20.9%	-2.1%	+21.0%	— · — · — · 42
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	82%	-25.3%	-40.2%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 43
$BORRO2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	82%	-49.2%	-56.5%	+5.9%	— · — · — · 40
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	81%	-13.1%	-14.9%	+0.9%	12 · 85 · — · 36
$AI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	81%	+3.8%	-5.8%	+10.3%	10 · 37 · — · 36

$URMOM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-25.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.1%
$AI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
+4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.7%
$URMOM2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-20.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.6%
$AI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
+6.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.8%
$URMOM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-24.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.3%
$URMOM2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-18.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.3%
$BNBO2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
+16.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.8%
$URMOM2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-14.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.4%
$RARI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-36.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.6%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-12.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.3%
$NORMIE2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-51.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-54.9%
$うさぎ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+24.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.5%
$NORMIE2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-53.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.4%
$NUDES2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.1%
$BORRO2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-56.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.2%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-6.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.2%
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-34.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.3%
$うさぎ2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+39.2%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$NASDANQ2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-24.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.7%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.9%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-13.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.9%
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-24.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.5%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-13.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.7%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-6.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.4%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.4%
$UDR2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-3.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.9%
$URMOM2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-10.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-41.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-59.7%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+32.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$URMOM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-21.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.0%
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.7%
$SUE2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+20.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$URMOM2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-16.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.4%
$BNBO2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+17.2%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$SUE2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+20.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.1%
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-25.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.2%
$BORRO2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-49.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.5%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-13.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.9%
$AI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.8%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 03:48 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $KINDRA within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 8,910 resolved snapshots · 1,962 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.