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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $SLIPPY

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
40
of 7,834 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
+0.5%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-34.3%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
53%
N = 40
ConfidenceConfidence: HIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-12

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 53% (95% CI 37–67%)

Median
+0.5%
CI -4.6% … +1.3%
Trimmed mean
+0.2%
10% each side
Mean
-0.1%
σ 9.3%
Range
-33.0% … +23.1%
24h return after similar setups histogram40 samples in 10 bins from -33.0% to +23.1%.median-33.0%+23.1%0%-20%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian +0.5%, interquartile range -5.7% to +7.8%, whiskers -13.4% to +23.1%, 1 outliers (min -33.0%, max +23.1%).-13.4%+23.1%+0.5%

1 below -21.4% (min -33.0%)

p5
-9.9%
p10
-8.5%
p25
-5.7%
p50
+0.5%
p75
+7.8%
p90
+10.0%
p95
+10.8%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
—
Price change 1h
-0.2%
Volume acceleration
-97.3%
Liquidity
$173.2K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $SNDK2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    100%
    24h return
    +7.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.0%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-11 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    99%
    24h return
    +3.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.7%
  • $SNDK2026-10-11 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    99%
    24h return
    -5.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.3%
  • $WOJAK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    99%
    24h return
    -4.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.4%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    99%
    24h return
    +23.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $SYN2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    99%
    24h return
    +1.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.6%
  • $TORO2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    99%
    24h return
    -6.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -12.6%
  • $TORO2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    99%
    24h return
    -6.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -12.6%
  • $TORO2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    99%
    24h return
    -4.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -12.6%
  • $BOW2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    -8.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.4%
  • $WOJAK2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    -7.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.8%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +10.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.5%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +10.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.5%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +10.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.5%
  • $BOW2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    -6.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.3%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +8.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.1%
  • $BOW2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    -9.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.8%
  • $DIME2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +0.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.8%
  • $SNDK2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +1.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.4%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-11 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +5.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.3%
  • $TORO2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +0.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -12.8%
  • $SYN2026-10-11 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    -5.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.2%
  • $SEND2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    -2.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -17.4%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +10.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.4%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +10.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.4%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +10.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.4%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +9.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.4%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +8.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.4%
  • $WOJAK2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    -1.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.2%
  • $WOJAK2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    -13.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -13.5%
  • $CORE2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    -33.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -34.3%
  • $WOJAK2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    +0.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.6%
  • $WOJAK2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    -1.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.9%
  • $WOJAK2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    -8.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.1%
  • $SEND2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    97%
    24h return
    -6.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -18.8%
  • $WOJAK2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
    Similarity
    97%
    24h return
    +0.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.7%
  • $UBIK2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    97%
    24h return
    -0.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.7%
  • $SNDK2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
    Similarity
    97%
    24h return
    -5.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -10.4%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    97%
    24h return
    +0.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.8%
  • $BUTTHOLE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    97%
    24h return
    +0.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.8%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-13 06:30 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $SLIPPY within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 14,238 resolved snapshots · 7,834 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.