Historical analogs

Similar setups to $FRANK

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,086 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-1.2%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-66.0%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

50%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 50% (95% CI 35–65%)

Median: -1.2%; CI -15.8% … +9.9%
Trimmed mean: -4.7%; 10% each side
Mean: -6.0%; σ 26.0%
Range: -60.8% … +32.5%

p5: -49.5%
p10: -40.6%
p25: -27.3%
p50: -1.2%
p75: +14.5%
p90: +24.5%
p95: +27.7%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 53
Price change 1h: -5.6%
Volume acceleration: +15.0%
Liquidity: $75.7K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$STONKINU2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	83%	-18.2%	-48.5%	+6.7%	4 · 79 · — · 51
$OMNI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	80%	-43.2%	-48.5%	+15.9%	— · — · — · 57
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	77%	+26.2%	-62.0%	+26.2%	— · — · — · 56
$OMNI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	73%	-38.7%	-43.2%	+27.7%	— · — · — · 53
$WORM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	72%	+6.3%	-3.0%	+14.7%	— · — · — · 49
$STONKINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	70%	-33.5%	-49.4%	+4.9%	6 · 81 · — · 48
$STONKINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	70%	-26.1%	-43.8%	+16.6%	6 · 81 · — · 49
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	68%	-13.4%	-13.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 50
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	66%	+2.9%	-4.7%	+3.0%	5 · 56 · — · 50
$FRANK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	65%	+31.2%	-29.9%	+48.5%	— · — · — · 46
$ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	64%	+14.4%	-9.6%	+23.9%	— · — · — · 54
$WORM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	64%	+27.5%	-4.4%	+27.5%	— · — · — · 56
$ALLINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	64%	+22.7%	-3.0%	+33.0%	— · — · — · 46
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	62%	-10.8%	-10.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · 47
$BUL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	62%	-8.2%	-26.6%	+33.9%	— · — · — · 54
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	61%	-35.6%	-55.1%	+23.2%	— · — · — · 56
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	61%	-9.6%	-9.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 47
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	61%	+5.4%	-5.4%	+13.8%	— · — · — · 51
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	61%	-22.6%	-53.2%	+28.4%	— · — · — · 54
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	60%	+0.8%	-9.6%	+8.8%	— · — · — · 53
$FRANK2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	60%	+32.5%	-33.7%	+40.5%	— · — · — · 45
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	60%	-4.7%	-4.9%	+8.8%	44 · 87 · — · 45
$STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	59%	-49.4%	-52.0%	+7.9%	7 · 68 · — · 45
$WORM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	59%	+14.8%	-5.6%	+23.9%	— · — · — · 54
$SIB2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	-40.3%	-56.4%	+19.4%	— · — · — · 50
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	58%	+22.8%	-0.6%	+62.0%	3 · 62 · — · 46
$URMOM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	58%	+12.1%	-10.4%	+19.9%	3 · 71 · — · 48
$URMOM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	58%	-23.0%	-30.9%	+20.0%	41 · 80 · — · 47
$GTA2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	58%	+9.9%	-4.9%	+45.7%	— · — · — · 45
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	58%	-3.2%	-20.1%	+11.4%	6 · 75 · — · 49
$ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	58%	+24.3%	0.0%	+36.0%	3 · 81 · — · 55
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	57%	-31.2%	-35.3%	+28.3%	3 · 78 · — · 56
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	57%	+9.5%	-4.2%	+10.9%	3 · 62 · — · 52
$OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	57%	-33.0%	-40.9%	+32.9%	— · — · — · 53
$BONER2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	57%	+10.4%	-4.6%	+10.4%	5 · 39 · — · 51
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	56%	+17.6%	-5.6%	+60.0%	3 · 62 · — · 45
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	56%	-60.8%	-66.0%	0.0%	— · — · — · 51
$SNDK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	56%	+17.9%	-9.9%	+34.6%	— · — · — · 46
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	56%	+10.3%	-2.5%	+10.3%	41 · 67 · — · 60
$NORMIE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	56%	-52.9%	-52.9%	+2.1%	— · — · — · 46

$STONKINU2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-18.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.5%
$OMNI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-43.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.5%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+26.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-62.0%
$OMNI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-38.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.2%
$WORM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-33.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.4%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-26.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.8%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-13.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.4%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.7%
$FRANK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.9%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+14.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$WORM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+27.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.4%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+22.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-10.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.9%
$BUL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-8.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.6%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-35.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.1%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-9.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.4%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-22.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.2%
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$FRANK2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+32.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.7%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-4.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.9%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-49.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.0%
$WORM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$SIB2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-40.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.4%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+22.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.6%
$URMOM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+12.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.4%
$URMOM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-23.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.9%
$GTA2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.9%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.1%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.3%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+9.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.2%
$OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-33.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.9%
$BONER2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.6%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+17.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-60.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-66.0%
$SNDK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+17.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+10.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$NORMIE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-52.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:13 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $FRANK within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 1,086 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.