Historical analogs

Similar setups to $GENIE

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 943 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-8.6%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-49.7%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

23%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 20:18 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 23% (95% CI 12–38%)

Median: -8.6%; CI -15.6% … -1.5%
Trimmed mean: -10.4%; 10% each side
Mean: -9.4%; σ 18.4%
Range: -44.3% … +51.6%

1 above +35.0% (max +51.6%)

p5: -33.2%
p10: -32.4%
p25: -25.4%
p50: -8.6%
p75: -0.6%
p90: +12.8%
p95: +15.9%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 20:18 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 27
Price change 1h: -6.2%
Volume acceleration: -1.8%
Liquidity: $369.1K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	81%	-15.0%	-22.3%	+0.7%	— · — · — · 27
$DARK2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	79%	-28.3%	-32.2%	+5.3%	8 · 42 · — · 26
$GME2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	75%	-4.3%	-4.3%	+6.4%	— · — · — · 27
$DARK2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	72%	-27.9%	-35.0%	+0.9%	8 · 42 · — · 28
$DOT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	72%	+15.6%	-2.9%	+18.4%	— · — · — · 29
$DARK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	71%	-30.9%	-32.2%	+1.2%	5 · 56 · — · 23
$BOW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	70%	-14.7%	-19.5%	0.0%	— · — · — · 27
$DARK2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	69%	-25.2%	-28.7%	+2.6%	3 · 52 · — · 24
$E/ACC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	69%	-0.5%	-9.0%	+11.2%	— · — · — · 31
$DARK2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	67%	-25.8%	-36.0%	+1.0%	8 · 42 · — · 28
$KNOTS2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	66%	+51.6%	-1.6%	+57.9%	— · — · — · 21
$E/ACC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	65%	-1.2%	-9.5%	+10.4%	— · — · — · 29
$ASTEROID2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	65%	+13.9%	-1.9%	+14.7%	— · — · — · 28
$DARK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	64%	-16.1%	-28.6%	+2.7%	4 · 64 · — · 32
$BOW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	63%	-11.3%	-16.6%	+7.3%	— · — · — · 30
$KNOTS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	63%	+12.7%	-10.4%	+20.2%	— · — · — · 33
$DARK2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	63%	-32.4%	-33.7%	+3.8%	6 · 50 · — · 20
$DARK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	63%	-33.1%	-34.4%	+0.6%	6 · 50 · — · 24
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	62%	+0.9%	-21.6%	+4.4%	— · — · — · 31
$ZZZ2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	61%	-1.4%	-1.6%	+10.6%	— · — · — · 31
$RAXOL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	61%	-1.4%	-14.8%	+3.9%	— · — · — · 32
$AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	60%	-44.3%	-49.7%	+5.1%	6 · 83 · — · 33
$DARK2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	60%	-34.2%	-34.2%	+1.3%	6 · 50 · — · 20
$HYDX2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	60%	-18.0%	-33.2%	+13.4%	— · — · — · 27
$E/ACC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	60%	+1.6%	-7.0%	+13.5%	— · — · — · 32
$ZZZ2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	59%	-4.1%	-4.1%	+7.5%	— · — · — · 29
$WPRL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	59%	-1.5%	-2.2%	+6.6%	— · — · — · 33
$MOO2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	59%	+3.5%	-0.3%	+12.3%	— · — · — · 27
$GME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	-7.3%	-7.3%	+3.1%	— · — · — · 30
$BOW2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	59%	-16.6%	-21.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 26
$ZZZ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	58%	-0.7%	-0.8%	+11.4%	— · — · — · 32
$BASECAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	58%	+20.7%	-2.1%	+30.1%	40 · 99 · — · 33
$WPRL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	58%	-3.6%	-4.3%	+4.3%	— · — · — · 29
$DARK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	57%	-29.7%	-31.0%	+2.9%	4 · 64 · — · 20
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	57%	-9.9%	-10.7%	+3.0%	— · — · — · 30
$ASTEROID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	56%	-6.1%	-6.1%	+4.0%	— · — · — · 28
$MOO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	56%	+4.1%	0.0%	+13.0%	— · — · — · 28
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	56%	-9.8%	-11.3%	+2.3%	— · — · — · 27
$DARK2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	56%	-32.6%	-34.1%	+0.9%	7 · 46 · — · 23
$BOW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	55%	-12.5%	-17.7%	+5.9%	— · — · — · 34

$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-15.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.3%
$DARK2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-28.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.2%
$GME2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-4.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.3%
$DARK2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-27.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.0%
$DOT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+15.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%
$DARK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-30.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.2%
$BOW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-14.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.5%
$DARK2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-25.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.7%
$E/ACC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-0.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.0%
$DARK2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-25.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.0%
$KNOTS2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+51.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.6%
$E/ACC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.5%
$ASTEROID2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+13.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.9%
$DARK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.6%
$BOW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-11.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.6%
$KNOTS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+12.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.4%
$DARK2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-32.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.7%
$DARK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-33.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.4%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
+0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.6%
$ZZZ2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-1.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.6%
$RAXOL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-1.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.8%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-44.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.7%
$DARK2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-34.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.2%
$HYDX2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-18.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.2%
$E/ACC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.0%
$ZZZ2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.1%
$WPRL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$MOO2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.3%
$GME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-7.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.3%
$BOW2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-16.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.6%
$ZZZ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-0.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.8%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+20.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.1%
$WPRL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-3.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.3%
$DARK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-29.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.0%
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.7%
$ASTEROID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-6.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$MOO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$DARK2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-32.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.1%
$BOW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-12.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.7%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 20:18 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $GENIE within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,452 resolved snapshots · 943 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.