Historical analogs

Similar setups to $HAMSTER

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 2,028 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-16.4%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-52.5%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

20%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 16:02 UTC · 2026-10-09 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 20% (95% CI 10–35%)

Median: -16.4%; CI -33.3% … -8.8%
Trimmed mean: -20.1%; 10% each side
Mean: -16.5%; σ 29.3%
Range: -49.5% … +121%

1 above +31.3% (max +121%)

p5: -45.1%
p10: -43.0%
p25: -36.4%
p50: -16.4%
p75: -6.9%
p90: +6.2%
p95: +16.4%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 16:02 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: 3
Crowding: 81
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 31
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: —
Liquidity: —

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	89%	+1.0%	-28.5%	+21.1%	3 · 78 · — · 33
$AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	88%	-44.3%	-49.7%	+5.1%	6 · 83 · — · 33
$BINF2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	87%	+16.2%	-16.0%	+53.5%	3 · 81 · — · 36
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	84%	+16.7%	-27.9%	+20.4%	3 · 81 · — · 37
$UDR2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	84%	-9.0%	-9.9%	+3.5%	8 · 80 · — · 33
$UDR2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	84%	-4.8%	-7.7%	+6.0%	8 · 80 · — · 33
$RARI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	84%	-5.7%	-12.7%	+39.6%	3 · 82 · — · 37
$招财猫2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	83%	+5.0%	0.0%	+8.8%	3 · 78 · — · 36
$SNDK2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	83%	+1.0%	-22.3%	+16.0%	3 · 78 · — · 36
$RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	81%	-8.1%	-18.2%	+30.7%	2 · 78 · — · 37
$AGENCY2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	80%	-45.0%	-46.6%	+5.6%	6 · 83 · — · 37
$AGENCY2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	80%	-46.7%	-52.3%	0.0%	7 · 78 · — · 36
$AGENCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	80%	-42.9%	-44.8%	+0.9%	7 · 78 · — · 36
$FOMO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	79%	-29.7%	-42.7%	+7.3%	8 · 85 · — · 33
$UDR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	79%	-7.8%	-10.3%	+2.2%	8 · 83 · — · 36
$UDR2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	78%	-12.6%	-14.0%	0.0%	8 · 80 · — · 37
$UDR2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	78%	-9.2%	-10.7%	+2.6%	8 · 80 · — · 37
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	78%	-23.9%	-37.0%	+10.5%	7 · 81 · — · 38
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	78%	-26.6%	-39.7%	0.0%	7 · 81 · — · 38
$FOMO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	76%	-34.4%	-45.2%	+1.4%	8 · 85 · — · 36
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 07:00 UTC	76%	-17.8%	-28.9%	+2.9%	3 · 81 · — · 40
$STONKINU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	76%	-31.0%	-48.1%	+12.6%	7 · 78 · — · 38
$STONKINU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	76%	-49.5%	-51.1%	+3.3%	7 · 78 · — · 38
$FOMO2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	74%	-40.3%	-52.5%	+3.3%	8 · 85 · — · 37
$FOMO2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	74%	-35.7%	-48.3%	0.0%	8 · 85 · — · 37
$RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	74%	-9.8%	-25.2%	+19.5%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	74%	-7.4%	-20.9%	+26.4%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$AGENCY2026-10-10 06:00 UTC	73%	-38.6%	-40.3%	+0.9%	6 · 83 · — · 40
$AGENCY2026-10-10 07:00 UTC	73%	-40.6%	-42.7%	+3.4%	6 · 83 · — · 40
$ANSEM2026-10-10 03:00 UTC	73%	0.0%	-2.0%	+6.0%	3 · 81 · — · 41
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 08:00 UTC	73%	-8.5%	-29.2%	+2.5%	3 · 81 · — · 41
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 09:00 UTC	73%	+16.4%	-29.3%	+16.4%	3 · 81 · — · 41
$HIGGS2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	73%	-40.6%	-41.2%	+1.4%	2 · 81 · — · 21
$HIGGS2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	73%	-38.9%	-40.7%	0.0%	2 · 81 · — · 21
$HIGGS2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	73%	-34.1%	-34.1%	+6.3%	2 · 81 · — · 21
$HIGGS2026-10-09 22:00 UTC	72%	-32.5%	-46.2%	+25.2%	3 · 88 · — · 25
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 03:00 UTC	71%	+121%	-1.0%	+272%	3 · 78 · — · 41
$UDR2026-10-10 06:00 UTC	71%	-15.0%	-17.6%	0.0%	8 · 81 · — · 40
$UDR2026-10-10 07:00 UTC	71%	-12.2%	-14.8%	0.0%	8 · 81 · — · 40
$HIGGS2026-10-09 21:00 UTC	71%	-34.1%	-42.7%	+33.3%	4 · 90 · — · 32

$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
+1.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.5%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-44.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.7%
$BINF2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
+16.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.0%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+16.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.9%
$UDR2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-9.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$UDR2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.7%
$RARI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-5.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.7%
$招财猫2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+5.0%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$SNDK2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+1.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.3%
$RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.2%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-45.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.6%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-46.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.3%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-42.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.8%
$FOMO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-29.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-42.7%
$UDR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-7.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.3%
$UDR2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-12.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$UDR2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-9.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.7%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-23.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.0%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-26.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.7%
$FOMO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-34.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.2%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 07:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-17.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.9%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-31.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.1%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-49.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-51.1%
$FOMO2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-40.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.5%
$FOMO2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-35.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.3%
$RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.2%
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-7.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.9%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 06:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-38.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.3%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 07:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-40.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-42.7%
$ANSEM2026-10-10 03:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
0.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.0%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 08:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-8.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.2%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 09:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+16.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.3%
$HIGGS2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-40.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.2%
$HIGGS2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-38.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.7%
$HIGGS2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-34.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.1%
$HIGGS2026-10-09 22:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-32.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.2%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 03:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+121%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$UDR2026-10-10 06:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-15.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.6%
$UDR2026-10-10 07:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-12.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.8%
$HIGGS2026-10-09 21:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-34.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-42.7%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 16:02 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $HAMSTER within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 6,649 resolved snapshots · 2,028 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.