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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $CELL

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
40
of 1,962 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-3.3%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-40.5%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
33%
N = 40
ConfidenceConfidence: HIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 03:48 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 33% (95% CI 20–48%)

Median
-3.3%
CI -6.3% … -1.9%
Trimmed mean
-2.7%
10% each side
Mean
-1.9%
σ 15.9%
Range
-29.5% … +39.2%
24h return after similar setups histogram40 samples in 10 bins from -29.5% to +39.2%.median-29.5%+39.2%0%-20%+20%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian -3.3%, interquartile range -10.1% to +3.1%, whiskers -29.5% to +20.9%, 4 outliers (min -29.5%, max +39.2%).-29.5%+20.9%-3.3%

1 above +32.0% (max +39.2%)

p5
-25.5%
p10
-23.1%
p25
-10.1%
p50
-3.3%
p75
+3.1%
p90
+21.2%
p95
+24.8%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 03:48 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
42
Price change 1h
-1.1%
Volume acceleration
-95.3%
Liquidity
$130.6K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $UDR2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    98%
    24h return
    -3.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.9%
  • $KURUMI2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    95%
    24h return
    -12.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -12.4%
  • $RARI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    94%
    24h return
    +14.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $TITCOIN2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    94%
    24h return
    -22.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -40.2%
  • $VIBECOIN2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    94%
    24h return
    -9.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.5%
  • $TITCOIN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    94%
    24h return
    -29.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -38.1%
  • $SUE2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    93%
    24h return
    +20.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.3%
  • $KURUMI2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    93%
    24h return
    -11.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.4%
  • $BIKETYSON2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    92%
    24h return
    -5.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.8%
  • $MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    92%
    24h return
    -3.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.0%
  • $INJOH2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    92%
    24h return
    -3.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -10.6%
  • $BNBCAT2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    92%
    24h return
    +0.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -17.1%
  • $CORE2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    92%
    24h return
    +31.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.1%
  • $TITCOIN2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    91%
    24h return
    -25.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -40.2%
  • $KURUMI2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    91%
    24h return
    -13.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -13.4%
  • $TITCOIN2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    91%
    24h return
    -24.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -40.5%
  • $TITCOIN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    90%
    24h return
    -29.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -38.1%
  • $招财猫2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    90%
    24h return
    +4.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.2%
  • $WOJAK2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    90%
    24h return
    -7.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.8%
  • $KURUMI2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    90%
    24h return
    -10.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.4%
  • $PCC2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    90%
    24h return
    +3.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.8%
  • $招财猫2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    89%
    24h return
    -2.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.2%
  • $INJOH2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    89%
    24h return
    -6.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.2%
  • $BNBCAT2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    89%
    24h return
    -2.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -17.1%
  • $BNBCAT2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    88%
    24h return
    -1.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -18.0%
  • $BIKETYSON2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    88%
    24h return
    -4.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.4%
  • $SUE2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    88%
    24h return
    +20.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -2.1%
  • $MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    87%
    24h return
    -3.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.6%
  • $BIKETYSON2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    87%
    24h return
    -10.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -13.0%
  • $うさぎ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    87%
    24h return
    +24.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.5%
  • $うさぎ2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    87%
    24h return
    +39.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $KURUMI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -6.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.1%
  • $TITCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -20.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -37.7%
  • $VIBECOIN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -4.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.2%
  • $招财猫2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    +3.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.7%
  • $SNDK2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    +1.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.8%
  • $うさぎ2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    +24.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.2%
  • $MEMESTOCK2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    -2.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -13.4%
  • $BNBO2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    +16.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.8%
  • $INJOH2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    -3.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 03:48 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $CELL within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 8,910 resolved snapshots · 1,962 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.