Historical analogs
Similar setups to $ZCAT
Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.
Live
Similar setups
7
of 274 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
+5.6%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-40.6%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
57%
N = 7
ConfidenceConfidence: LOW7 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 18:45 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10
24h return after similar setups
N = 7 · Positive after 24h 57% (95% CI 25–84%)
- Median
- +5.6%
- CI -25.4% … +9.3%
- Trimmed mean
- -4.6%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- -4.6%
- σ 21.9%
- Range
- -34.4% … +24.1%
- p5
- -31.7%
- p10
- -29.0%
- p25
- -22.8%
- p50
- +5.6%
- p75
- +9.1%
- p90
- +15.2%
- p95
- +19.7%
This setup now
Snapshot 2026-10-11 18:45 UTC — the vector being matched
- Momentum
- 39
- Crowding
- 62
- Early Quality
- —
- Narrative Velocity
- 63
- Price change 1h
- —
- Volume acceleration
- -59.9%
- Liquidity
- $1.11M
Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 5 of 7 features were comparable.
Matched historical setups
- $旺柴2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 24%
- 24h return
- +8.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -7.2%
- $旺柴2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 21%
- 24h return
- +5.6%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -10.0%
- $INU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 11%
- 24h return
- -25.4%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -27.4%
- $CRAWL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 7%
- 24h return
- -34.4%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -40.6%
- $JEANPHIL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 6%
- 24h return
- +24.1%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -1.9%
- $SAPLING2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 4%
- 24h return
- -20.2%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -21.1%
- $旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 2%
- 24h return
- +9.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -6.8%
Method & point-in-time rules
analog-v1.0
- Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
- Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 18:45 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $ZCAT within ±24h are excluded.
- Considered 7,048 resolved snapshots · 274 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
- Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.
FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.