Historical analogs

Similar setups to $BORDR

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 253 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-13.2%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-73.3%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

23%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 16:02 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 23% (95% CI 12–38%)

Median: -13.2%; CI -27.5% … -7.7%
Trimmed mean: -15.5%; 10% each side
Mean: -15.9%; σ 24.5%
Range: -70.5% … +31.8%

p5: -56.5%
p10: -49.4%
p25: -33.0%
p50: -13.2%
p75: -4.7%
p90: +15.9%
p95: +23.4%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 16:02 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: 4
Crowding: 71
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: —
Liquidity: $135.7K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$招财猫2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	95%	-2.8%	-3.3%	+0.4%	4 · 70 · — · 43
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	76%	-26.1%	-30.6%	+37.8%	3 · 78 · — · 63
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	76%	-31.2%	-35.3%	+28.3%	3 · 78 · — · 56
$STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	75%	-49.4%	-52.0%	+7.9%	7 · 68 · — · 45
$RARI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	74%	-12.5%	-25.4%	+19.2%	2 · 78 · — · 42
$RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	74%	-9.8%	-25.2%	+19.5%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	74%	-7.4%	-20.9%	+26.4%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	74%	-8.1%	-18.2%	+30.7%	2 · 78 · — · 37
$BORDR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	73%	-5.3%	-23.9%	+46.2%	8 · 64 · — · —
$RARI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	73%	+14.8%	0.0%	+63.4%	2 · 78 · — · 42
$URMOM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	72%	+12.1%	-10.4%	+19.9%	3 · 71 · — · 48
$URMOM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	72%	+10.4%	-11.3%	+18.6%	3 · 71 · — · 46
$URMOM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	72%	-24.6%	-32.3%	+17.5%	3 · 71 · — · 46
$URMOM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	72%	-19.3%	-29.9%	+21.8%	3 · 71 · — · 44
$URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	72%	+10.6%	-9.2%	+21.4%	3 · 71 · — · 48
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	71%	-13.9%	-19.3%	0.0%	2 · 78 · — · 63
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	71%	-14.3%	-19.6%	+4.8%	2 · 78 · — · 56
$STONKINU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	67%	-31.0%	-48.1%	+12.6%	7 · 78 · — · 38
$STONKINU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	67%	-49.5%	-51.1%	+3.3%	7 · 78 · — · 38
$STONKINU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	67%	-34.8%	-46.4%	+13.4%	7 · 78 · — · 41
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	67%	+15.9%	-19.4%	+36.5%	3 · 62 · — · 36
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	66%	-6.8%	-23.1%	+7.2%	6 · 75 · — · 48
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	66%	+23.3%	-14.3%	+45.2%	3 · 62 · — · 43
$STONKINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	66%	-34.7%	-50.4%	+2.9%	7 · 78 · — · 41
$BANKROLL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	65%	+24.9%	0.0%	+28.0%	3 · 62 · — · —
$RARI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	62%	-5.7%	-12.7%	+39.6%	3 · 82 · — · 37
$URMOM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	61%	-28.9%	-36.3%	+10.7%	3 · 80 · — · 43
$PQC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	-25.5%	-47.2%	+33.7%	8 · 61 · — · 61
$STONKINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	-33.5%	-49.4%	+4.9%	6 · 81 · — · 48
$BORDR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	57%	-8.8%	-26.7%	+40.8%	8 · 59 · — · —
$UDR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	57%	-7.8%	-10.3%	+2.2%	8 · 83 · — · 36
$BINF2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	55%	+16.2%	-16.0%	+53.5%	3 · 81 · — · 36
$PQC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	53%	-61.0%	-69.2%	0.0%	9 · 58 · — · 52
$PQC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	53%	-56.3%	-64.8%	+2.0%	9 · 58 · — · 48
$PQC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	53%	-35.2%	-61.6%	+0.6%	9 · 58 · — · 48
$PQC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	53%	-32.8%	-55.2%	+14.5%	9 · 58 · — · 51
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	53%	-10.7%	-26.3%	+2.8%	7 · 81 · — · 41
$BINF2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	52%	+31.8%	-4.7%	+74.1%	3 · 81 · — · 43
$PQC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	52%	-70.5%	-73.3%	+4.0%	10 · 58 · — · 52
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	51%	-37.8%	-55.9%	+11.7%	9 · 58 · — · 51

$招财猫2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-2.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.3%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-26.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.6%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.3%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-49.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.0%
$RARI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-12.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.4%
$RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.2%
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-7.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.9%
$RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.2%
$BORDR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-5.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.9%
$RARI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$URMOM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+12.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.4%
$URMOM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$URMOM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-24.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.3%
$URMOM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-19.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.9%
$URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+10.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.2%
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-13.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.3%
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-14.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.6%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-31.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.1%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-49.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-51.1%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-34.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.4%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+15.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.4%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+23.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.3%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-34.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-50.4%
$BANKROLL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+24.9%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$RARI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-5.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.7%
$URMOM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-28.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.3%
$PQC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-25.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-47.2%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-33.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.4%
$BORDR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-8.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.7%
$UDR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-7.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.3%
$BINF2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+16.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.0%
$PQC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-61.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-69.2%
$PQC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-56.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-64.8%
$PQC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-35.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-61.6%
$PQC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-32.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.2%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-10.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.3%
$BINF2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
+31.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.7%
$PQC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-70.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-73.3%
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-37.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 16:02 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $BORDR within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 6,649 resolved snapshots · 253 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.