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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $GTA6

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
40
of 1,814 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
+0.9%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-52.0%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
50%
N = 40
ConfidenceConfidence: HIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 02:28 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 50% (95% CI 35–65%)

Median
+0.9%
CI -4.5% … +13.1%
Trimmed mean
+3.7%
10% each side
Mean
+3.4%
σ 22.7%
Range
-49.4% … +64.9%
24h return after similar setups histogram40 samples in 10 bins from -49.4% to +64.9%.median-49.4%+64.9%0%+50%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian +0.9%, interquartile range -8.4% to +18.7%, whiskers -33.7% to +37.2%, 2 outliers (min -49.4%, max +64.9%).-33.7%+37.2%+0.9%

1 below -49.3% (min -49.4%) · 1 above +52.8% (max +64.9%)

p5
-33.5%
p10
-29.6%
p25
-8.4%
p50
+0.9%
p75
+18.7%
p90
+31.6%
p95
+32.4%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 02:28 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
46
Price change 1h
-5.2%
Volume acceleration
-9.4%
Liquidity
$110.6K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $GTA2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    95%
    24h return
    +9.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.9%
  • $ALLINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    94%
    24h return
    +22.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.0%
  • $BEM2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    92%
    24h return
    +24.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.2%
  • $BAGSPAY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    89%
    24h return
    +17.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.6%
  • $BAGSPAY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    88%
    24h return
    +22.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.6%
  • $HEEHAW2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    87%
    24h return
    -33.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -36.2%
  • $OPTIMUS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -9.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.6%
  • $STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -49.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -52.0%
  • $STONKINU2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -33.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -45.3%
  • $MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -2.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -16.4%
  • $MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    0.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.7%
  • $WORM2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    +18.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.8%
  • $NINJACAT2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    +64.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -12.7%
  • $STONKINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    -33.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -49.4%
  • $WORM2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    +24.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.8%
  • $SUE2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    +13.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.8%
  • $SNDK2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    +37.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.0%
  • $うさぎ2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    +31.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $BNBCAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    +14.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -12.7%
  • $招财猫2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    +4.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.6%
  • $VIBECOIN2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    -7.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.2%
  • $KURUMI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    -3.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.3%
  • $SUE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    -6.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.6%
  • $NINJACAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    +20.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -18.2%
  • $PUMPOWEEN2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    -2.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.6%
  • $OPTIMUS2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    -10.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -10.9%
  • $HOOKS2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    -14.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -39.3%
  • $PUMPOWEEN2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    +1.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.7%
  • $MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    +14.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.8%
  • $MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    -11.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -20.8%
  • $SUE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    -8.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -16.8%
  • $WOJAK2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    -4.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.4%
  • $うさぎ2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    +31.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.3%
  • $BNBCAT2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    -0.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -13.4%
  • $TITCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    -29.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -37.9%
  • $URMOM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    -19.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -29.9%
  • $KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    +32.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.1%
  • $GTA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    81%
    24h return
    +8.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.8%
  • $招财猫2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    81%
    24h return
    +3.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.6%
  • $PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    81%
    24h return
    -4.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 02:28 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $GTA6 within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 8,698 resolved snapshots · 1,814 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.