Historical analogs

Similar setups to $派人生

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,378 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-5.2%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-28.7%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

38%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 23:13 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 38% (95% CI 24–53%)

Median: -5.2%; CI -10.8% … +0.1%
Trimmed mean: -6.1%; 10% each side
Mean: -5.5%; σ 13.7%
Range: -25.4% … +28.1%

p5: -24.5%
p10: -24.3%
p25: -16.4%
p50: -5.2%
p75: +3.5%
p90: +11.9%
p95: +14.9%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 23:13 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 53
Price change 1h: +1.0%
Volume acceleration: -78.1%
Liquidity: $636.4K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$BUN2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	96%	-5.8%	-6.7%	+2.7%	— · — · — · 53
$BUN2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	91%	-5.2%	-6.3%	+3.2%	— · — · — · 53
$OTC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	90%	-14.9%	-15.3%	+0.3%	— · — · — · 53
$MONITOR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	86%	-24.3%	-27.8%	+4.9%	3 · 81 · — · 54
$1F9162026-10-10 17:00 UTC	86%	-23.0%	-23.1%	+3.2%	— · — · — · 53
$PAID2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	85%	+11.8%	-6.1%	+21.2%	— · — · — · 53
$INU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	84%	-12.2%	-15.8%	+1.3%	3 · 67 · — · 51
$INU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	84%	-11.1%	-14.7%	+2.6%	4 · 63 · — · 51
$MEME2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	83%	-4.9%	-10.1%	+6.4%	3 · 78 · — · 50
$1F9162026-10-10 15:00 UTC	83%	-24.9%	-25.0%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 51
$INU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	82%	-9.9%	-13.6%	+4.0%	4 · 63 · — · 52
$SI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	82%	+0.1%	-0.1%	+32.4%	12 · 33 · — · 50
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	82%	-12.9%	-14.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 54
$TENDIES2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	82%	+8.2%	-0.8%	+10.5%	2 · 62 · — · 51
$TENDIES2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	82%	+8.0%	-1.0%	+10.2%	2 · 62 · — · 52
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	82%	-21.2%	-27.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · 50
$BUN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	81%	-5.6%	-6.9%	+2.5%	— · — · — · 57
$MONITOR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	81%	-24.3%	-27.8%	+4.9%	3 · 81 · — · 50
$1F9162026-10-10 19:00 UTC	79%	-22.2%	-23.8%	+2.1%	— · — · — · 56
$OTC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	79%	-5.2%	-15.2%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 57
$BUN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	78%	-8.7%	-9.4%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 56
$INU2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	78%	+1.1%	-15.7%	+13.1%	3 · 62 · — · 49
$PAID2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	78%	+17.2%	-8.4%	+18.2%	— · — · — · 53
$INU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	77%	-24.5%	-27.4%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 49
$1F9162026-10-10 18:00 UTC	77%	-23.7%	-23.7%	+2.3%	— · — · — · 49
$SURPLUS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	77%	-10.6%	-11.7%	0.0%	— · — · — · 51
$INU2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	77%	+3.8%	-15.7%	+13.1%	3 · 62 · — · 49
$旺柴2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	77%	+3.2%	-12.1%	+17.3%	10 · 51 · — · 55
$旺柴2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	76%	+3.4%	-3.9%	+25.9%	8 · 62 · — · 54
$OTC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	76%	-2.9%	-14.3%	+1.8%	— · — · — · 56
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	76%	-2.2%	-9.7%	+6.8%	3 · 86 · — · 53
$INU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	75%	+14.8%	-14.0%	+15.3%	3 · 67 · — · 50
$PAID2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	75%	+10.1%	-6.1%	+22.4%	— · — · — · 56
$MONITOR2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	75%	-22.1%	-28.7%	+3.5%	3 · 81 · — · 50
$PAID2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	75%	+6.1%	-6.1%	+21.2%	— · — · — · 57
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	74%	+28.1%	-1.3%	+42.4%	11 · 45 · — · 48
$PAID2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	74%	+12.1%	-3.6%	+24.4%	— · — · — · 57
$OTC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	74%	-4.2%	-14.7%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 57
$旺柴2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	73%	+2.7%	-6.5%	+22.5%	9 · 58 · — · 52
$INU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	72%	-25.4%	-27.4%	0.0%	42 · 67 · — · 49

$BUN2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-5.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.7%
$BUN2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-5.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.3%
$OTC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-14.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.3%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.8%
$1F9162026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-23.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$PAID2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+11.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$INU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-12.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.8%
$INU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-11.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$MEME2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.1%
$1F9162026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-24.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.0%
$INU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.6%
$SI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.1%
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-12.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.4%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+8.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.8%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+8.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.9%
$BUN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-5.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.9%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.8%
$1F9162026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-22.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.8%
$OTC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-5.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.2%
$BUN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-8.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.4%
$INU2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+1.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.7%
$PAID2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+17.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$INU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-24.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.4%
$1F9162026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-23.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.7%
$SURPLUS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-10.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.7%
$INU2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.7%
$旺柴2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.1%
$旺柴2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+3.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.9%
$OTC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.3%
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.7%
$INU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$PAID2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-22.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.7%
$PAID2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+6.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+28.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$PAID2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+12.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.6%
$OTC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-4.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$旺柴2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+2.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$INU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-25.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.4%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 23:13 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $派人生 within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 8,071 resolved snapshots · 1,378 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.