Historical analogs

Similar setups to $GRASS

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 2,415 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-0.1%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-50.1%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

50%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 06:10 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 50% (95% CI 35–65%)

Median: -0.1%; CI -1.1% … +2.1%
Trimmed mean: +1.9%; 10% each side
Mean: +0.7%; σ 21.4%
Range: -47.9% … +38.4%

p5: -39.4%
p10: -36.2%
p25: -6.3%
p50: -0.1%
p75: +13.8%
p90: +27.7%
p95: +31.6%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 06:10 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 46
Price change 1h: -3.8%
Volume acceleration: -34.0%
Liquidity: $409.6K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$AGENCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	92%	-35.9%	-38.1%	+3.9%	6 · 71 · — · 46
$PAID2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	91%	+24.5%	-1.7%	+37.8%	— · — · — · 47
$TENDIES2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	90%	-0.4%	-8.4%	+1.0%	25 · 70 · — · 47
$MAX2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	90%	+3.4%	-0.2%	+9.2%	— · — · — · 45
$MEME2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	90%	-3.0%	-6.5%	+4.5%	3 · 81 · — · 45
$JIMOTHY2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	89%	-1.2%	-7.0%	+2.6%	— · — · — · 48
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	89%	-11.0%	-14.6%	+2.7%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$BASECAT2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	88%	+16.6%	-0.5%	+33.5%	5 · 86 · — · 47
$MARSCOIN2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	88%	+1.0%	-0.4%	+3.0%	— · — · — · 48
$MAX2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	88%	+31.3%	-3.2%	+63.8%	— · — · — · 46
$STONKEX2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	87%	+24.1%	-2.1%	+38.7%	— · — · — · 48
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	87%	+0.2%	-2.5%	+2.2%	— · — · — · 44
$FONE2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	87%	-0.8%	-11.9%	+8.7%	— · — · — · 46
$STONKEX2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	87%	+37.4%	-0.1%	+53.3%	— · — · — · 45
$MARSCOIN2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	87%	-0.6%	-2.7%	+2.1%	— · — · — · 44
$MEME2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	87%	-6.2%	-9.8%	+0.8%	3 · 81 · — · 45
$MARSCOIN2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	86%	-0.9%	-2.3%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 48
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	86%	+0.5%	-2.2%	+2.5%	— · — · — · 46
$INU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	86%	-14.8%	-19.1%	+0.2%	5 · 67 · — · 45
$FONE2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	86%	+27.1%	-1.6%	+27.1%	— · — · — · 47
$TENDIES2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	86%	+0.8%	-7.6%	+1.2%	3 · 62 · — · 48
$STONKEX2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	86%	+28.3%	0.0%	+41.7%	— · — · — · 47
$MEME2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	85%	-2.0%	-5.6%	+5.5%	3 · 81 · — · 46
$INU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	85%	-22.0%	-24.6%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 45
$BASECAT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	85%	+38.4%	0.0%	+38.8%	3 · 99 · — · 46
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	85%	+24.1%	-1.9%	+37.4%	46 · 62 · — · 48
$FLORK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	84%	-11.5%	-16.0%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 44
$KITTY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	84%	-1.1%	-2.6%	+6.5%	— · — · — · 44
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	84%	-0.4%	-2.5%	+2.7%	— · — · — · 46
$FONE2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	84%	+11.2%	-8.2%	+13.3%	— · — · — · 48
$MARSCOIN2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	84%	+1.4%	-1.3%	+3.5%	— · — · — · 47
$AGENCY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	84%	-38.6%	-40.6%	+0.9%	7 · 78 · — · 44
$AGENCY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	84%	-41.6%	-43.6%	0.0%	7 · 78 · — · 43
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	84%	-39.3%	-49.2%	+0.6%	29 · 51 · — · 47
$FONE2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	83%	+12.9%	-2.9%	+19.9%	— · — · — · 43
$AGENCY2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	83%	-47.9%	-50.1%	+6.9%	7 · 81 · — · 48
$MEME2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	83%	+3.1%	-2.0%	+8.9%	— · — · — · 48
$JEANPHIL2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	83%	-6.6%	-11.2%	+32.2%	10 · 49 · — · 49
$MAX2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	83%	+27.6%	-4.0%	+62.4%	— · — · — · 43
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	83%	+0.5%	-10.2%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 48

$AGENCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-35.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.1%
$PAID2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
+24.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.7%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$MAX2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+3.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.2%
$MEME2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-3.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$JIMOTHY2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.0%
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.6%
$BASECAT2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
+16.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.5%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
+1.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.4%
$MAX2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
+31.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.2%
$STONKEX2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
+24.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.1%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
+0.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$FONE2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.9%
$STONKEX2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
+37.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.1%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-0.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.7%
$MEME2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-6.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.8%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.3%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+0.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$INU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.1%
$FONE2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+27.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.6%
$TENDIES2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.6%
$STONKEX2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+28.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$MEME2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-2.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$INU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-22.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.6%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+38.4%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+24.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.9%
$FLORK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-11.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.0%
$KITTY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-1.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.6%
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$FONE2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.2%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+1.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-38.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.6%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-41.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.6%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-39.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.2%
$FONE2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+12.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%
$AGENCY2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-47.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-50.1%
$MEME2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+3.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.0%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-6.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.2%
$MAX2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+27.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.0%
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+0.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 06:10 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $GRASS within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 9,556 resolved snapshots · 2,415 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.