Historical analogs

Similar setups to $NASDANQ

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 809 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-6.4%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-73.4%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

38%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:05 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 38% (95% CI 24–53%)

Median: -6.4%; CI -10.7% … +4.9%
Trimmed mean: -5.6%; 10% each side
Mean: -7.0%; σ 24.8%
Range: -70.2% … +34.9%

1 below -67.9% (min -70.2%)

p5: -49.2%
p10: -45.6%
p25: -20.7%
p50: -6.4%
p75: +10.8%
p90: +21.6%
p95: +29.8%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:05 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 43
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: -8.6%
Liquidity: $93.6K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$URMOM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	94%	-28.9%	-36.3%	+10.7%	3 · 80 · — · 43
$AI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	93%	+5.4%	-1.4%	+12.9%	9 · 45 · — · 43
$BINF2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	93%	+11.9%	-19.1%	+47.9%	3 · 81 · — · 44
$GTA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	91%	+8.9%	-1.8%	+50.3%	— · — · — · 44
$STONKINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	89%	-34.7%	-50.4%	+2.9%	7 · 78 · — · 41
$URMOM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	87%	-26.4%	-34.0%	+14.7%	3 · 80 · — · 41
$BINF2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	87%	+34.9%	-1.8%	+64.8%	— · — · — · 45
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	86%	+20.7%	-18.2%	+34.6%	— · — · — · 43
$SUE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	86%	-8.0%	-16.8%	+3.4%	— · — · — · 43
$SUE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	84%	-6.7%	-15.6%	+4.9%	— · — · — · 44
$STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	84%	-49.4%	-52.0%	+7.9%	7 · 68 · — · 45
$URMOM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	83%	-19.3%	-29.9%	+21.8%	3 · 71 · — · 44
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	83%	+5.0%	-28.8%	+17.1%	— · — · — · 44
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	83%	-7.1%	-7.1%	0.0%	— · — · — · 44
$URMOM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	83%	+10.4%	-11.3%	+18.6%	3 · 71 · — · 46
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	82%	+20.7%	-12.7%	+47.8%	3 · 62 · — · 45
$ALLINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	81%	+22.7%	-3.0%	+33.0%	— · — · — · 46
$BNBO2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	81%	-6.1%	-15.8%	+0.3%	— · — · — · 46
$URMOM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	81%	-24.6%	-32.3%	+17.5%	3 · 71 · — · 46
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	80%	-7.4%	-20.9%	+26.4%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$うさぎ2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	80%	+31.5%	0.0%	+43.5%	— · — · — · 45
$RARI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	80%	-10.0%	-16.6%	+33.2%	40 · 82 · — · 40
$KURUMI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	79%	-3.7%	-5.3%	+7.8%	— · — · — · 44
$HOOKS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	79%	-45.3%	-53.3%	+11.2%	— · — · — · 43
$招财猫2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	79%	+4.9%	-1.6%	+5.2%	4 · 70 · — · 45
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	79%	+21.5%	-35.2%	+25.1%	— · — · — · 45
$STONKINU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	78%	-34.8%	-46.4%	+13.4%	7 · 78 · — · 41
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	78%	+16.7%	-18.9%	+37.4%	40 · 62 · — · 44
$FRANK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	78%	-1.6%	-32.2%	+43.7%	— · — · — · 44
$TM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	78%	-17.7%	-49.1%	+33.8%	3 · 86 · — · 40
$FRANK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	78%	-4.5%	-38.1%	+31.2%	— · — · — · 45
$BORRO2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	78%	-49.2%	-56.5%	+5.9%	— · — · — · 40
$MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	77%	-11.4%	-20.8%	+29.1%	— · — · — · 44
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	77%	+13.2%	-2.8%	+16.6%	— · — · — · 44
$CORE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	76%	-7.5%	-8.8%	+0.5%	— · — · — · 45
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	76%	-2.3%	-33.8%	+8.9%	— · — · — · 46
$PULP2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	76%	-70.2%	-73.4%	0.0%	40 · 99 · — · 40
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	76%	+29.7%	-9.9%	+52.7%	3 · 62 · — · 46
$FRANK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	75%	-11.6%	-39.1%	+29.0%	— · — · — · 46
$HOOKS2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	75%	-48.5%	-56.0%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 46

$URMOM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
-28.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.3%
$AI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$BINF2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+11.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.1%
$GTA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
+8.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-34.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-50.4%
$URMOM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-26.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.0%
$BINF2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
+34.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+20.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.2%
$SUE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-8.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.8%
$SUE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-6.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.6%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-49.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.0%
$URMOM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-19.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.9%
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+5.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.8%
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-7.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$URMOM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+20.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.7%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+22.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$BNBO2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-6.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.8%
$URMOM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-24.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.3%
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-7.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.9%
$うさぎ2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+31.5%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$RARI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-10.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.6%
$KURUMI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-3.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.3%
$HOOKS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-45.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.3%
$招财猫2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.6%
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+21.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.2%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-34.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.4%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+16.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.9%
$FRANK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.2%
$TM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-17.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.1%
$FRANK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-4.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.1%
$BORRO2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-49.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.5%
$MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-11.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.8%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+13.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.8%
$CORE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-7.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.8%
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-2.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.8%
$PULP2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-70.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-73.4%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+29.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$FRANK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-11.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.1%
$HOOKS2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-48.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.0%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:05 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $NASDANQ within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 809 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.