Historical analogs

Similar setups to $CHIIKAWA

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,086 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-6.6%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-66.0%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

40%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 40% (95% CI 26–55%)

Median: -6.6%; CI -11.2% … +1.2%
Trimmed mean: -6.9%; 10% each side
Mean: -7.9%; σ 24.1%
Range: -60.8% … +41.5%

p5: -53.4%
p10: -38.2%
p25: -24.3%
p50: -6.6%
p75: +10.4%
p90: +19.7%
p95: +24.9%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 53
Price change 1h: +1.5%
Volume acceleration: -86.0%
Liquidity: $70.3K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	87%	-0.1%	-3.2%	+43.8%	— · — · — · 54
$ALLINU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	85%	+19.2%	0.0%	+33.8%	3 · 81 · — · 55
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	82%	-0.9%	-4.0%	+42.6%	— · — · — · 50
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	82%	-37.8%	-55.9%	+11.7%	9 · 58 · — · 51
$ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	81%	+24.3%	0.0%	+36.0%	3 · 81 · — · 55
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	80%	-54.0%	-60.2%	+9.2%	— · — · — · 49
$ALLINU2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	80%	+9.8%	-3.2%	+29.4%	3 · 81 · — · 56
$OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	77%	-33.0%	-40.9%	+32.9%	— · — · — · 53
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	76%	-53.4%	-59.6%	+10.7%	— · — · — · 53
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	76%	-22.6%	-53.2%	+28.4%	— · — · — · 54
$URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	74%	+10.6%	-9.2%	+21.4%	3 · 71 · — · 48
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	72%	+0.8%	-9.6%	+8.8%	— · — · — · 53
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	71%	-9.9%	-54.0%	+26.2%	— · — · — · 47
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	71%	+5.4%	-5.4%	+13.8%	— · — · — · 51
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	71%	-9.8%	-10.5%	+0.4%	— · — · — · 51
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	69%	-10.1%	-10.6%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 50
$SIB2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	69%	-42.4%	-57.9%	+15.2%	— · — · — · 47
$MADE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	68%	-3.9%	-11.2%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 56
$QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	66%	-34.1%	-44.2%	+19.6%	17 · 38 · — · 53
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	65%	-22.9%	-31.6%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 56
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	65%	-4.2%	-5.5%	+9.0%	29 · 87 · — · 46
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	65%	-11.1%	-12.5%	+29.4%	— · — · — · 46
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	65%	+17.8%	-1.8%	+17.9%	— · — · — · 46
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	65%	+1.6%	-7.4%	+31.8%	— · — · — · 46
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	65%	+13.2%	-2.8%	+16.6%	— · — · — · 46
$BINF2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	65%	+17.3%	-5.6%	+58.4%	— · — · — · 46
$うさぎ2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	64%	+24.7%	-3.9%	+38.7%	— · — · — · 46
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	64%	-8.9%	-20.6%	+9.9%	— · — · — · 51
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	64%	-11.2%	-22.6%	+7.1%	— · — · — · 52
$BUL2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	63%	-30.8%	-33.7%	+27.7%	— · — · — · 46
$URMOM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	63%	+12.1%	-10.4%	+19.9%	3 · 71 · — · 48
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	63%	-60.8%	-66.0%	0.0%	— · — · — · 51
$STONKINU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	63%	-28.3%	-49.9%	+4.0%	4 · 79 · — · 50
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	62%	-10.6%	-12.4%	+0.2%	45 · 85 · — · 46
$MALFOID2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	62%	+41.5%	-21.7%	+45.2%	— · — · — · 46
$BNBO2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	62%	+0.3%	-11.5%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 46
$BINF2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	61%	+26.9%	-3.2%	+62.4%	— · — · — · 45
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	61%	-31.2%	-35.3%	+28.3%	3 · 78 · — · 56
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	61%	+10.4%	-3.7%	+15.6%	— · — · — · 45
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	61%	-18.8%	-26.2%	0.0%	— · — · — · 56

$NASDANQ2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.2%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+19.2%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.0%
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-37.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.9%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-54.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-60.2%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.2%
$OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-33.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.9%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-53.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-59.6%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-22.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.2%
$URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+10.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.2%
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-54.0%
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.4%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.5%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.6%
$SIB2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-42.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.9%
$MADE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-3.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.2%
$QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-34.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.2%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-22.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.6%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-4.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.5%
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-11.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.5%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+17.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.4%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+13.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.8%
$BINF2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+17.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$うさぎ2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+24.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.9%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-8.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.6%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.6%
$BUL2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-30.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.7%
$URMOM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+12.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.4%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-60.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-66.0%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-28.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.9%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-10.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.4%
$MALFOID2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
+41.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.7%
$BNBO2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
+0.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.5%
$BINF2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+26.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.2%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.3%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.7%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-18.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:13 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $CHIIKAWA within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 1,086 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.