Historical analogs

Similar setups to $TWEETCRAFT

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,086 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-20.4%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-69.2%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

35%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:11 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 35% (95% CI 22–50%)

Median: -20.4%; CI -29.8% … -0.1%
Trimmed mean: -11.4%; 10% each side
Mean: +1.1%; σ 56.9%
Range: -61.0% … +164%

4 above +64.0% (max +164%)

p5: -43.9%
p10: -40.4%
p25: -33.1%
p50: -20.4%
p75: +12.3%
p90: +51.1%
p95: +151%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:11 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 53
Price change 1h: -9.0%
Volume acceleration: -64.5%
Liquidity: $70.1K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$OMNI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	87%	-38.7%	-43.2%	+27.7%	— · — · — · 53
$SIB2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	83%	-40.3%	-56.4%	+19.4%	— · — · — · 50
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	80%	-35.6%	-55.1%	+23.2%	— · — · — · 56
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	80%	-2.1%	-21.4%	+20.8%	— · — · — · 56
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	79%	-22.6%	-53.2%	+28.4%	— · — · — · 54
$OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	77%	-33.0%	-40.9%	+32.9%	— · — · — · 53
$PQC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	73%	-61.0%	-69.2%	0.0%	9 · 58 · — · 52
$STONKINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	70%	-26.1%	-43.8%	+16.6%	6 · 81 · — · 49
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	69%	+26.2%	-62.0%	+26.2%	— · — · — · 56
$PQC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	69%	-35.2%	-61.6%	+0.6%	9 · 58 · — · 48
$PQC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	67%	-32.8%	-55.2%	+14.5%	9 · 58 · — · 51
$PQC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	65%	-56.3%	-64.8%	+2.0%	9 · 58 · — · 48
$SIB2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	64%	-36.7%	-53.8%	+2.8%	— · — · — · 46
$ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	63%	+24.3%	0.0%	+36.0%	3 · 81 · — · 55
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	63%	+29.7%	-9.9%	+52.7%	3 · 62 · — · 46
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	62%	-31.2%	-35.3%	+28.3%	3 · 78 · — · 56
$QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	62%	-33.2%	-41.2%	+25.3%	64 · 36 · — · 52
$OMNI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	62%	-43.2%	-48.5%	+15.9%	— · — · — · 57
$PQC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	61%	-28.4%	-49.2%	+8.5%	29 · 56 · — · 58
$QI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	61%	-26.5%	-26.5%	+34.3%	49 · 37 · — · 58
$SIB2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	59%	-32.7%	-45.9%	+9.1%	— · — · — · 47
$STONKINU2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	59%	-18.2%	-48.5%	+6.7%	4 · 79 · — · 51
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	57%	-17.3%	-23.9%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 54
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	57%	-0.1%	-3.2%	+43.8%	— · — · — · 54
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	57%	+164%	-9.9%	+228%	7 · 53 · — · 56
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	56%	+5.4%	-5.4%	+13.8%	— · — · — · 51
$MALFOID2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	56%	+41.5%	-21.7%	+45.2%	— · — · — · 46
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	56%	+158%	-1.0%	+251%	7 · 53 · — · 57
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	56%	+138%	-20.0%	+188%	5 · 56 · — · 50
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	56%	+17.6%	-5.6%	+60.0%	3 · 62 · — · 45
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	55%	+151%	-24.0%	+207%	7 · 49 · — · 50
$BNBO2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	55%	+0.3%	-11.5%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 46
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	55%	+0.8%	-9.6%	+8.8%	— · — · — · 53
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	55%	-22.9%	-31.6%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 56
$QI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	55%	-25.2%	-28.8%	+24.2%	82 · 36 · — · 58
$FRANK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	54%	-4.5%	-38.1%	+31.2%	— · — · — · 45
$HOOKS2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	54%	-41.5%	-52.0%	+0.5%	— · — · — · 45
$FRANK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	54%	+31.2%	-29.9%	+48.5%	— · — · — · 46
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	54%	-9.2%	-14.7%	+18.0%	— · — · — · 47
$URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	54%	+10.6%	-9.2%	+21.4%	3 · 71 · — · 48

$OMNI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-38.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.2%
$SIB2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-40.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.4%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-35.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.1%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-2.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.4%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-22.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.2%
$OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-33.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.9%
$PQC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-61.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-69.2%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-26.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.8%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
+26.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-62.0%
$PQC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-35.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-61.6%
$PQC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-32.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.2%
$PQC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-56.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-64.8%
$SIB2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-36.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.8%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+29.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.3%
$QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-33.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.2%
$OMNI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-43.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.5%
$PQC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-28.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.2%
$QI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-26.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.5%
$SIB2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-32.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.9%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-18.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.5%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-17.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.9%
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.2%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+164%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.4%
$MALFOID2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+41.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.7%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+158%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+138%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.0%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+17.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+151%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.0%
$BNBO2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+0.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.5%
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-22.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.6%
$QI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-25.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.8%
$FRANK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-4.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.1%
$HOOKS2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-41.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.0%
$FRANK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
+31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.9%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-9.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
+10.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:11 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $TWEETCRAFT within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 1,086 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.