Historical analogs

Similar setups to $JIMOTHY

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,086 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-3.7%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-41.9%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

33%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 33% (95% CI 20–48%)

Median: -3.7%; CI -9.9% … -0.9%
Trimmed mean: -5.5%; 10% each side
Mean: -4.6%; σ 16.5%
Range: -35.8% … +35.6%

p5: -29.2%
p10: -23.3%
p25: -15.8%
p50: -3.7%
p75: +3.4%
p90: +16.9%
p95: +24.1%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 53
Price change 1h: -1.2%
Volume acceleration: +45.4%
Liquidity: $480.4K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$OTC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	81%	-10.1%	-12.1%	+6.0%	— · — · — · 53
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	80%	+9.3%	-6.8%	+24.4%	10 · 58 · — · 55
$HMM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	78%	-14.3%	-15.6%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 56
$GENIE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	77%	-29.2%	-29.2%	+2.2%	— · — · — · 54
$GENIE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	75%	-23.1%	-23.1%	+4.3%	— · — · — · 56
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	75%	-20.4%	-23.5%	+7.8%	66 · 55 · — · 48
$1F9162026-10-10 20:00 UTC	74%	+4.1%	-18.7%	+9.1%	— · — · — · 54
$SI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	72%	+1.6%	-1.4%	+30.7%	31 · 33 · — · 52
$BONER2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	70%	+6.6%	-5.7%	+9.1%	5 · 56 · — · 52
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	70%	-15.2%	-19.2%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	70%	-8.3%	-14.0%	+7.3%	3 · 88 · — · 53
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	70%	-21.2%	-28.0%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 54
$1F9162026-10-10 21:00 UTC	69%	+35.4%	-15.7%	+44.6%	— · — · — · 47
$旺柴2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	69%	+8.9%	-7.2%	+23.8%	30 · 58 · — · 53
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	68%	-2.2%	-9.7%	+6.8%	3 · 86 · — · 53
$GENIE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	67%	-29.6%	-32.2%	+2.7%	— · — · — · 47
$FONE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	66%	-3.5%	-8.9%	+10.8%	— · — · — · 56
$SI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	65%	+16.9%	-2.9%	+31.3%	88 · 44 · — · 49
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	65%	-17.9%	-18.8%	+14.7%	43 · 58 · — · 47
$SC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	64%	+1.4%	-0.9%	+2.5%	3 · 99 · — · 46
$INU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	64%	+23.5%	-6.1%	+25.9%	3 · 67 · — · 50
$BONER2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	64%	+10.4%	-4.6%	+10.4%	5 · 39 · — · 51
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	62%	-3.2%	-20.1%	+11.4%	6 · 75 · — · 49
$旺柴2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	62%	+3.2%	-12.1%	+17.3%	10 · 51 · — · 55
$1F9162026-10-10 16:00 UTC	62%	-22.3%	-22.4%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 52
$MEME2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	62%	-6.3%	-11.0%	+5.2%	3 · 81 · — · 47
$BUN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	61%	-9.6%	-9.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 56
$TRIPLET2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	61%	-3.5%	-10.3%	+4.6%	— · — · — · 46
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	61%	-6.8%	-23.1%	+7.2%	6 · 75 · — · 48
$BASECAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	61%	+35.6%	0.0%	+38.2%	3 · 99 · — · 46
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	60%	-3.9%	-4.3%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 46
$OTC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	60%	-1.8%	-12.5%	+4.0%	— · — · — · 56
$BUN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	60%	-5.5%	-6.3%	+3.1%	— · — · — · 57
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	60%	-12.9%	-14.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 54
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	60%	0.0%	-2.2%	+2.4%	— · — · — · 45
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	59%	-2.9%	-2.9%	+1.7%	— · — · — · 45
$PAID2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	59%	+17.2%	-8.4%	+18.2%	— · — · — · 53
$MONITOR2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	59%	-22.1%	-28.7%	+3.5%	3 · 81 · — · 50
$INU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	58%	-25.4%	-27.4%	0.0%	42 · 67 · — · 49
$CRAWL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	58%	-35.8%	-41.9%	+3.4%	8 · 53 · — · 54

$OTC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.1%
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+9.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.8%
$HMM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-14.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.6%
$GENIE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-29.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.2%
$GENIE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-23.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-20.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.5%
$1F9162026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.7%
$SI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$BONER2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
+6.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.7%
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.2%
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.0%
$1F9162026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
+35.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.7%
$旺柴2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
+8.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.2%
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.7%
$GENIE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-29.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.2%
$FONE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.9%
$SI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+16.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-17.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.8%
$SC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+1.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.9%
$INU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+23.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$BONER2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.6%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.1%
$旺柴2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
+3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.1%
$1F9162026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-22.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.4%
$MEME2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%
$BUN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-9.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$TRIPLET2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.3%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+35.6%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-3.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.3%
$OTC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-1.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.5%
$BUN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-5.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.3%
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-12.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.4%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
0.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%
$PAID2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+17.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-22.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.7%
$INU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-25.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.4%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-35.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:13 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $JIMOTHY within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 1,086 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.