Historical analogs

Similar setups to $파랭이

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 5,458 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-13.8%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-79.3%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

23%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-13 05:25 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-12

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 23% (95% CI 12–38%)

Median: -13.8%; CI -18.0% … -10.1%
Trimmed mean: -14.3%; 10% each side
Mean: -15.4%; σ 23.8%
Range: -69.2% … +30.4%

p5: -57.8%
p10: -46.7%
p25: -24.9%
p50: -13.8%
p75: -4.3%
p90: +14.1%
p95: +18.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-13 05:25 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 70
Price change 1h: -1.1%
Volume acceleration: -83.2%
Liquidity: $86.0K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$SLOPCORE2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	95%	-39.9%	-53.0%	+14.8%	— · — · — · 71
$SLOPCORE2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	94%	-45.9%	-54.1%	+12.1%	— · — · — · 71
$SAFU2026-10-11 20:00 UTC	91%	-4.7%	-25.2%	+157%	3 · 73 · — · 72
$PONGO2026-10-12 05:00 UTC	91%	-16.1%	-22.7%	+7.6%	— · — · — · 70
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	91%	-38.9%	-41.8%	+93.4%	— · — · — · 68
$SLOPCANNON2026-10-12 05:00 UTC	90%	-24.7%	-51.5%	+32.2%	— · — · — · 70
$PUMPCAT2026-10-12 04:00 UTC	90%	+13.8%	-21.7%	+35.2%	— · — · — · 72
$NORMIE2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	90%	+17.8%	-27.2%	+141%	— · — · — · 72
$PONGO2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	90%	-12.4%	-20.7%	+10.5%	— · — · — · 71
$SLOPCANNON2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	90%	-21.2%	-49.0%	+39.1%	— · — · — · 71
$PONGO2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	90%	-15.7%	-21.1%	+9.8%	— · — · — · 71
$SUMMER2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	89%	-11.9%	-33.5%	+89.9%	— · — · — · 71
$PUMPCAT2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	89%	-14.0%	-28.5%	+23.4%	— · — · — · 71
$PONGO2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	88%	-13.9%	-20.8%	+10.3%	— · — · — · 72
$PONGO2026-10-12 04:00 UTC	88%	-15.9%	-22.0%	+8.5%	— · — · — · 72
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-12 05:00 UTC	88%	+5.9%	-7.1%	+13.1%	— · — · — · 70
$SECRETFROG2026-10-12 05:00 UTC	88%	-19.9%	-34.3%	+12.3%	— · — · — · 70
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-12 04:00 UTC	87%	+10.3%	-3.3%	+17.7%	— · — · — · 72
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	87%	-3.8%	-8.8%	+11.0%	— · — · — · 71
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	86%	-54.6%	-58.7%	+4.0%	— · — · — · 73
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	86%	+6.8%	-3.3%	+17.7%	— · — · — · 71
$PONGO2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	86%	-4.5%	-5.1%	+9.3%	— · — · — · 73
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	86%	-39.2%	-45.5%	+81.1%	— · — · — · 68
$PONGO2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	85%	-8.0%	-8.0%	+7.4%	— · — · — · 73
$BULLISH2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	85%	-25.8%	-52.8%	+28.0%	10 · 73 · — · 68
$BULLISH2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	85%	+25.3%	0.0%	+98.0%	3 · 86 · — · 67
$GTA2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	85%	-10.7%	-17.7%	+20.3%	— · — · — · 68
$BULLISH2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	85%	-9.7%	-51.5%	+31.7%	10 · 73 · — · 68
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	84%	-11.5%	-28.9%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 66
$ALTAI2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	84%	-68.5%	-79.3%	+10.3%	3 · 65 · — · 68
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	84%	-57.2%	-57.2%	+10.4%	— · — · — · 73
$SI2026-10-12 05:00 UTC	84%	-13.7%	-41.7%	+3.4%	— · — · — · 70
$ALTAI2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	83%	-69.2%	-77.4%	+7.8%	3 · 65 · — · 67
$SLOPCANNON2026-10-12 03:00 UTC	83%	-16.1%	-43.2%	+54.9%	— · — · — · 71
$PUMPCAT2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	83%	-10.4%	-21.8%	+35.1%	— · — · — · 74
$GTA2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	83%	+30.4%	-21.1%	+38.0%	2 · 81 · — · 73
$OMNI2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	83%	-21.5%	-39.4%	+19.1%	4 · 90 · — · 68
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	83%	+17.1%	0.0%	+30.3%	— · — · — · 74
$GTA2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	83%	+11.9%	-15.8%	+47.3%	2 · 81 · — · 73
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	82%	-36.4%	-41.5%	+94.4%	— · — · — · 67

$SLOPCORE2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-39.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.0%
$SLOPCORE2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
-45.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-54.1%
$SAFU2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-4.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.2%
$PONGO2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.7%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-38.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.8%
$SLOPCANNON2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-24.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-51.5%
$PUMPCAT2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+13.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.7%
$NORMIE2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+17.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.2%
$PONGO2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-12.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.7%
$SLOPCANNON2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.0%
$PONGO2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-15.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.1%
$SUMMER2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-11.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.5%
$PUMPCAT2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-14.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.5%
$PONGO2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-13.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.8%
$PONGO2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-15.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.0%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
+5.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$SECRETFROG2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-19.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.3%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
+10.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.3%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.8%
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-54.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-58.7%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.3%
$PONGO2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-4.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.1%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-39.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.5%
$PONGO2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-8.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.0%
$BULLISH2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-25.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.8%
$BULLISH2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+25.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$GTA2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-10.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.7%
$BULLISH2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-9.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-51.5%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-11.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.9%
$ALTAI2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-68.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-79.3%
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-57.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.2%
$SI2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-13.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.7%
$ALTAI2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-69.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-77.4%
$SLOPCANNON2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.2%
$PUMPCAT2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.8%
$GTA2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+30.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.1%
$OMNI2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-21.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.4%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+17.1%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$GTA2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+11.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.8%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-36.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.5%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-13 05:25 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $파랭이 within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 13,986 resolved snapshots · 5,458 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.