Historical analogs
Similar setups to $SAFU
Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.
Live
Similar setups
18
of 274 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-9.9%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-63.4%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
39%
N = 18
ConfidenceConfidence: MEDIUM18 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 18:45 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10
24h return after similar setups
N = 18 · Positive after 24h 39% (95% CI 20–61%)
- Median
- -9.9%
- CI -26.3% … +61.2%
- Trimmed mean
- +19.5%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +26.1%
- σ 82.1%
- Range
- -48.0% … +205%
- p5
- -46.1%
- p10
- -35.6%
- p25
- -26.6%
- p50
- -9.9%
- p75
- +62.6%
- p90
- +170%
- p95
- +196%
This setup now
Snapshot 2026-10-11 18:45 UTC — the vector being matched
- Momentum
- 3
- Crowding
- 73
- Early Quality
- —
- Narrative Velocity
- 69
- Price change 1h
- —
- Volume acceleration
- -53.7%
- Liquidity
- $92.6K
Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 5 of 7 features were comparable.
Matched historical setups
- $HEEHAW2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 68%
- 24h return
- -25.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -30.3%
- $B-MONEY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 64%
- 24h return
- -3.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -9.8%
- $HEEHAW2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 61%
- 24h return
- -26.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -31.2%
- $HEEHAW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 58%
- 24h return
- -26.1%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -30.6%
- $OMNI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 56%
- 24h return
- -45.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -47.9%
- $B-MONEY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 54%
- 24h return
- +0.1%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -6.1%
- $TM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 53%
- 24h return
- +69.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -13.5%
- $OMNI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 49%
- 24h return
- -48.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -50.0%
- $PQC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 45%
- 24h return
- -25.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -47.2%
- $TM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 40%
- 24h return
- +58.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -38.4%
- $TM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 37%
- 24h return
- +64.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -21.7%
- $B-MONEY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 27%
- 24h return
- -13.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -19.3%
- $HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 23%
- 24h return
- -31.2%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -35.3%
- $TM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 12%
- 24h return
- -5.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -63.4%
- $CLAUDIA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 11%
- 24h return
- +195%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -1.8%
- $CLAUDIA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 4%
- 24h return
- +205%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -7.4%
- $CLAUDIA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 2%
- 24h return
- +159%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -21.5%
- $PQC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 2%
- 24h return
- -28.4%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -49.2%
Method & point-in-time rules
analog-v1.0
- Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
- Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 18:45 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $SAFU within ±24h are excluded.
- Considered 7,048 resolved snapshots · 274 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
- Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.
FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.