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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $ANT

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
40
of 1,769 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-1.6%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-56.0%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
50%
N = 40
ConfidenceConfidence: HIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 22:05 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 50% (95% CI 35–65%)

Median
-1.6%
CI -7.3% … +6.8%
Trimmed mean
-0.2%
10% each side
Mean
-0.2%
σ 21.1%
Range
-48.5% … +55.7%
24h return after similar setups histogram40 samples in 10 bins from -48.5% to +55.7%.median-48.5%+55.7%0%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian -1.6%, interquartile range -9.6% to +10.8%, whiskers -29.2% to +36.8%, 3 outliers (min -48.5%, max +55.7%).-29.2%+36.8%-1.6%

1 below -43.7% (min -48.5%) · 1 above +51.3% (max +55.7%)

p5
-29.8%
p10
-26.5%
p25
-9.6%
p50
-1.6%
p75
+10.8%
p90
+25.6%
p95
+28.0%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 22:05 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
—
Price change 1h
+1.6%
Volume acceleration
-10.1%
Liquidity
$114.3K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $FEELSGOOD2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    93%
    24h return
    +15.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -10.5%
  • $GTA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    90%
    24h return
    +8.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.8%
  • $WORM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    89%
    24h return
    +27.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.4%
  • $NINJACAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    89%
    24h return
    +21.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -35.2%
  • $URMOM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    88%
    24h return
    +10.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.3%
  • $AI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    88%
    24h return
    +5.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.4%
  • $VIBECOIN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    87%
    24h return
    -7.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.1%
  • $OWL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    87%
    24h return
    +8.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -21.8%
  • $POLLY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    87%
    24h return
    -15.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.4%
  • $URMOM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    87%
    24h return
    +12.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -10.4%
  • $DRMR2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    +55.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -12.7%
  • $CORE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -7.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.8%
  • $KUDO2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -26.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -31.7%
  • $MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -13.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -22.9%
  • $AI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    +6.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -2.6%
  • $BAGSPAY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    +20.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -12.7%
  • $URMOM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    86%
    24h return
    -24.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -32.3%
  • $WORM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    +1.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.2%
  • $WORTH2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    -5.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.8%
  • $INJOH2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    -8.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.4%
  • $PCC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    +0.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.0%
  • $ALLINU2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    85%
    24h return
    +9.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.7%
  • $MADE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    -4.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.6%
  • $POLLY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    -8.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -16.0%
  • $SI2762026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    +25.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -34.6%
  • $GTA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    +2.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.6%
  • $NUDES2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    -3.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.6%
  • $BAGSPAY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    +22.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.6%
  • $COUPONS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    -3.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.3%
  • $URMOM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    -23.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -30.9%
  • $MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    +26.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.1%
  • $HOOKS2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    -48.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -56.0%
  • $TITCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    -29.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -37.9%
  • $HOOKS2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    -40.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -47.9%
  • $WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    +0.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.6%
  • $STONKINU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    -28.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -49.9%
  • $うさぎ2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    +36.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $KURUMI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    -12.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -12.2%
  • $CORE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    -6.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.1%
  • $ZEAL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    -8.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -19.4%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 22:05 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $ANT within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 7,863 resolved snapshots · 1,769 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.