Historical analogs

Similar setups to $旺柴

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 198 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-1.9%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-49.1%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

45%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 16:40 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 45% (95% CI 31–60%)

Median: -1.9%; CI -11.0% … +11.9%
Trimmed mean: -0.6%; 10% each side
Mean: +3.2%; σ 33.8%
Range: -36.2% … +161%

1 above +58.0% (max +161%)

p5: -31.7%
p10: -29.4%
p25: -18.2%
p50: -1.9%
p75: +16.2%
p90: +33.8%
p95: +39.0%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 16:40 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: 6
Crowding: 56
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 40
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: —
Liquidity: $481.7K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	74%	+19.7%	-5.3%	+32.5%	11 · 54 · — · 43
$SI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	66%	+27.8%	0.0%	+43.2%	13 · 51 · — · 42
$BATON2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	65%	+9.7%	-13.9%	+19.6%	5 · 65 · — · 39
$旺柴2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	64%	-2.6%	-17.0%	+10.8%	9 · 54 · — · 45
$ORBIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	61%	-18.1%	-18.1%	+14.8%	6 · 58 · — · 42
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	60%	-36.2%	-49.1%	+8.5%	8 · 63 · — · 40
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	60%	-26.8%	-41.5%	+14.9%	6 · 63 · — · 39
$SAPLING2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	60%	+14.8%	-4.1%	+46.1%	9 · 61 · — · 43
$SAPLING2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	60%	+14.2%	0.0%	+47.1%	9 · 61 · — · 43
$CRAWL2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	60%	-29.9%	-42.6%	+15.4%	8 · 49 · — · 43
$CRAWL2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	60%	-29.3%	-38.9%	+22.9%	8 · 49 · — · 43
$PRIORS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	-7.6%	-14.8%	+13.4%	3 · 52 · — · 40
$SI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	58%	+37.0%	-3.1%	+49.9%	13 · 45 · — · 39
$CRAWL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	57%	-32.3%	-38.7%	+23.3%	8 · 49 · — · 44
$BATON2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	56%	+16.2%	-10.5%	+24.2%	5 · 65 · — · 44
$BATON2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	56%	+16.3%	-8.4%	+17.6%	5 · 65 · — · 44
$CRAWL2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	56%	-31.7%	-40.4%	+20.0%	8 · 49 · — · 44
$PRIORS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	54%	-8.3%	-15.4%	+12.5%	4 · 64 · — · 39
$INU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	53%	-22.0%	-24.6%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 45
$INU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	53%	-14.8%	-19.1%	+0.2%	5 · 67 · — · 45
$ORBIO2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	52%	+11.8%	-0.2%	+39.1%	5 · 65 · — · 43
$SAPLING2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	50%	-18.4%	-19.4%	+25.4%	8 · 56 · — · 46
$SI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	48%	+38.9%	-2.4%	+50.9%	14 · 43 · — · 43
$SI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	47%	+33.5%	-6.2%	+45.1%	15 · 43 · — · 43
$BATON2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	47%	+13.8%	-11.3%	+23.2%	4 · 73 · — · 41
$SAPLING2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	46%	-6.9%	-9.1%	+39.0%	9 · 61 · — · 46
$PRIORS2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	46%	-1.2%	-17.8%	+9.3%	5 · 70 · — · 36
$PRIORS2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	43%	+41.0%	0.0%	+56.4%	5 · 70 · — · 35
$SAPLING2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	43%	-0.8%	-11.6%	+34.7%	8 · 65 · — · 46
$PRIORS2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	42%	+18.8%	-0.2%	+32.7%	5 · 70 · — · 35
$PRIORS2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	42%	-3.0%	-12.5%	+16.4%	5 · 70 · — · 35
$CRAWL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	40%	-28.7%	-36.8%	+27.2%	8 · 49 · — · 47
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	40%	+161%	-22.1%	+180%	5 · 56 · — · 46
$CRAWL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	40%	-28.5%	-37.7%	+25.4%	8 · 49 · — · 47
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	36%	-11.0%	-14.6%	+2.7%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	36%	-15.2%	-19.2%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$ORBIO2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	35%	-11.0%	-11.0%	+10.4%	8 · 45 · — · 46
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	35%	+28.1%	-1.3%	+42.4%	11 · 45 · — · 48
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	35%	+6.4%	-11.3%	+24.9%	11 · 45 · — · 48
$PRIORS2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	33%	+3.8%	-14.2%	+14.2%	5 · 70 · — · 33

$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+19.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.3%
$SI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+27.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$BATON2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+9.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.9%
$旺柴2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-2.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.0%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-18.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.1%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-36.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.1%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-26.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.5%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.1%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+14.2%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-29.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-42.6%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-29.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.9%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-7.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.8%
$SI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+37.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.1%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-32.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.7%
$BATON2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+16.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.5%
$BATON2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+16.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-31.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.4%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.4%
$INU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-22.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.6%
$INU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.1%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
+11.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.2%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
-18.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.4%
$SI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
+38.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.4%
$SI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
+33.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.2%
$BATON2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
+13.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-6.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.1%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.8%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
43%
24h return
+41.0%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
43%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.6%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
42%
24h return
+18.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.2%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
42%
24h return
-3.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.5%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
-28.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.8%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
+161%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.1%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
-28.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.7%
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
-11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.6%
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.2%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
-11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
+28.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
+6.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
33%
24h return
+3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 16:40 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $旺柴 within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 6,649 resolved snapshots · 198 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.