Historical analogs

Similar setups to $BOXY

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,086 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-0.2%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-43.9%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

48%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 48% (95% CI 33–63%)

Median: -0.2%; CI -7.3% … +3.3%
Trimmed mean: -1.9%; 10% each side
Mean: -2.2%; σ 16.0%
Range: -38.0% … +31.7%

p5: -29.2%
p10: -23.3%
p25: -11.2%
p50: -0.2%
p75: +8.8%
p90: +16.9%
p95: +18.7%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 53
Price change 1h: +1.8%
Volume acceleration: +92.5%
Liquidity: $263.2K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$GENIE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	81%	-29.2%	-29.2%	+2.2%	— · — · — · 54
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	77%	-8.3%	-14.0%	+7.3%	3 · 88 · — · 53
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	76%	-21.2%	-28.0%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 54
$GENIE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	75%	-23.1%	-23.1%	+4.3%	— · — · — · 56
$BONER2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	73%	+6.6%	-5.7%	+9.1%	5 · 56 · — · 52
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	72%	+9.5%	-4.2%	+10.9%	3 · 62 · — · 52
$WORM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	67%	+14.8%	-5.6%	+23.9%	— · — · — · 54
$CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	67%	-38.0%	-43.9%	+4.8%	8 · 49 · — · 51
$GENIE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	66%	-21.2%	-21.2%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 49
$HMM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	66%	-14.3%	-15.6%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 56
$GENIE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	65%	-29.6%	-32.2%	+2.7%	— · — · — · 47
$SI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	65%	+1.6%	-1.4%	+30.7%	31 · 33 · — · 52
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	64%	-6.8%	-23.1%	+7.2%	6 · 75 · — · 48
$ALLINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	63%	+17.0%	-7.5%	+26.8%	— · — · — · 53
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	62%	+8.6%	-5.8%	+10.4%	— · — · — · 56
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	61%	+12.7%	-2.1%	+13.3%	3 · 78 · — · 58
$CORE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	60%	-4.9%	-7.4%	+2.1%	— · — · — · 46
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	60%	+6.9%	-5.0%	+8.6%	— · — · — · 46
$MAX2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	59%	+3.8%	-4.4%	+4.6%	— · — · — · 45
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	59%	-20.4%	-23.5%	+7.8%	66 · 55 · — · 48
$SI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	+16.9%	-2.9%	+31.3%	88 · 44 · — · 49
$STONKINU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	58%	-25.2%	-43.1%	+18.0%	5 · 75 · — · 51
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	58%	+2.9%	-4.7%	+3.0%	5 · 56 · — · 50
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	57%	0.0%	-2.2%	+2.4%	— · — · — · 45
$ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	57%	+14.4%	-9.6%	+23.9%	— · — · — · 54
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	57%	-2.9%	-2.9%	+1.7%	— · — · — · 45
$KITTY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	57%	-9.7%	-12.6%	+1.2%	— · — · — · 45
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	56%	-0.4%	-6.6%	+1.2%	5 · 56 · — · 47
$PCC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	56%	+1.9%	-7.5%	+4.2%	— · — · — · 45
$SC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	55%	+1.4%	-0.9%	+2.5%	3 · 99 · — · 46
$SI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	55%	+18.2%	-1.8%	+32.8%	39 · 36 · — · 52
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	55%	-7.9%	-11.6%	+3.7%	— · — · — · 46
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	54%	+9.3%	-6.8%	+24.4%	10 · 58 · — · 55
$SNDK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	54%	+31.7%	-2.5%	+51.9%	39 · 81 · — · 46
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	53%	-3.2%	-20.1%	+11.4%	6 · 75 · — · 49
$STONKEX2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	53%	+28.5%	-1.0%	+40.3%	— · — · — · 46
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	53%	-4.8%	-6.2%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 45
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	53%	-15.5%	-26.3%	+1.4%	— · — · — · 53
$OTC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	53%	-10.1%	-12.1%	+6.0%	— · — · — · 53
$PCC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	53%	+2.2%	-7.3%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 45

$GENIE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-29.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.2%
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.0%
$GENIE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-23.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$BONER2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+6.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.7%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+9.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.2%
$WORM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-38.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.9%
$GENIE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.2%
$HMM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-14.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.6%
$GENIE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-29.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.2%
$SI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+17.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.5%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
+8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.8%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+12.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.1%
$CORE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.4%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+6.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.0%
$MAX2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.4%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-20.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.5%
$SI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+16.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-25.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.1%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.7%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
0.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+14.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%
$KITTY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-9.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.6%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.6%
$PCC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+1.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.5%
$SC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+1.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.9%
$SI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+18.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-7.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.6%
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
+9.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.8%
$SNDK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
+31.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.1%
$STONKEX2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+28.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.2%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-15.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.3%
$OTC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.1%
$PCC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.3%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:13 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $BOXY within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 1,086 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.