Historical analogs

Similar setups to $SHROOM

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,232 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

+0.1%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-56.0%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

50%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 22:06 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 50% (95% CI 35–65%)

Median: +0.1%; CI -7.7% … +4.2%
Trimmed mean: -1.9%; 10% each side
Mean: -1.6%; σ 25.2%
Range: -49.4% … +58.5%

4 below -42.6% (min -49.4%) · 3 above +45.1% (max +58.5%)

p5: -45.5%
p10: -41.3%
p25: -9.5%
p50: +0.1%
p75: +10.2%
p90: +25.1%
p95: +46.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 22:06 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 44
Price change 1h: +1.7%
Volume acceleration: +6.5%
Liquidity: $144.0K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	92%	-7.1%	-7.1%	0.0%	— · — · — · 44
$PCC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	90%	+0.2%	-9.0%	+2.5%	— · — · — · 46
$HOOKS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	89%	-45.3%	-53.3%	+11.2%	— · — · — · 43
$GTA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	88%	+8.9%	-1.8%	+50.3%	— · — · — · 44
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	87%	+21.5%	-35.2%	+25.1%	— · — · — · 45
$CORE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	86%	-7.5%	-8.8%	+0.5%	— · — · — · 45
$SNDK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	86%	+48.1%	-12.0%	+52.2%	— · — · — · 45
$SNDK2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	85%	+24.3%	0.0%	+51.4%	3 · 81 · — · 42
$HOOKS2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	85%	-48.5%	-56.0%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 46
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	84%	+31.7%	-27.2%	+40.6%	— · — · — · 46
$CORE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	82%	-6.2%	-8.6%	+1.2%	— · — · — · 43
$SUE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	82%	-6.7%	-15.6%	+4.9%	— · — · — · 44
$WOJAK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	81%	-7.9%	-11.3%	0.0%	— · — · — · 45
$招财猫2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	81%	+4.9%	-1.6%	+5.2%	4 · 70 · — · 45
$うさぎ2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	81%	+58.5%	-1.0%	+74.6%	— · — · — · 46
$KURUMI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	80%	-12.2%	-12.2%	+1.2%	— · — · — · 46
$MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	80%	0.0%	-14.7%	+39.0%	— · — · — · 46
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	80%	+11.7%	0.0%	+14.3%	— · — · — · 42
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	80%	+4.2%	-3.5%	+4.2%	42 · 62 · — · 45
$SUE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	80%	-8.0%	-16.8%	+3.4%	— · — · — · 43
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	80%	-7.9%	-11.6%	+3.7%	— · — · — · 46
$AI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	79%	+5.4%	-1.4%	+12.9%	9 · 45 · — · 43
$URMOM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	79%	+10.4%	-11.3%	+18.6%	3 · 71 · — · 46
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	78%	+2.0%	-5.5%	+2.1%	5 · 62 · — · 42
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	78%	+20.7%	-12.7%	+47.8%	3 · 62 · — · 45
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	77%	+22.8%	-0.6%	+62.0%	3 · 62 · — · 46
$SI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	77%	+10.2%	-0.6%	+36.8%	— · — · — · 44
$URMOM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	77%	-23.0%	-30.9%	+20.0%	41 · 80 · — · 47
$CORE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	77%	-8.7%	-8.9%	+0.4%	— · — · — · 45
$HOOKS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	77%	-41.1%	-46.3%	+9.7%	— · — · — · 46
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	77%	-29.2%	-37.9%	+5.6%	— · — · — · 46
$STONKINU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	76%	-43.6%	-55.9%	0.0%	44 · 74 · — · 45
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	76%	+3.4%	-4.2%	+3.5%	4 · 67 · — · 41
$PURR2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	76%	-22.4%	-25.9%	+1.8%	— · — · — · 46
$PURR2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	76%	-24.2%	-25.5%	+2.4%	— · — · — · 45
$STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	76%	-49.4%	-52.0%	+7.9%	7 · 68 · — · 45
$CORE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	76%	+46.1%	-8.6%	+56.4%	— · — · — · 46
$GTA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	76%	+2.8%	-1.6%	+41.2%	— · — · — · 46
$PCC2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	76%	+1.2%	-7.6%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 42
$招财猫2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	76%	-2.4%	-3.0%	+0.7%	41 · 70 · — · 46

$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-7.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$PCC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+0.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.0%
$HOOKS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-45.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.3%
$GTA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
+8.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
+21.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.2%
$CORE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-7.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.8%
$SNDK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+48.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.0%
$SNDK2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$HOOKS2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-48.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.0%
$NINJACAT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+31.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.2%
$CORE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-6.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$SUE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-6.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.6%
$WOJAK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-7.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$招财猫2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.6%
$うさぎ2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+58.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$KURUMI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-12.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.2%
$MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
0.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+11.7%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+4.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.5%
$SUE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-8.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.8%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-7.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.6%
$AI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$URMOM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+2.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.5%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+20.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.7%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+22.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.6%
$SI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+10.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.6%
$URMOM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-23.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.9%
$CORE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-8.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.9%
$HOOKS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-41.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.3%
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-29.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.9%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-43.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.9%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+3.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.2%
$PURR2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-22.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.9%
$PURR2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-24.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.5%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-49.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.0%
$CORE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+46.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$GTA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+2.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.6%
$PCC2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.6%
$招财猫2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-2.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 22:06 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $SHROOM within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,863 resolved snapshots · 1,232 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.