Historical analogs

Similar setups to $MUSHU

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,086 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-10.6%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-49.5%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

35%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 35% (95% CI 22–50%)

Median: -10.6%; CI -16.9% … -0.7%
Trimmed mean: -10.0%; 10% each side
Mean: -10.6%; σ 19.9%
Range: -48.0% … +20.4%

p5: -41.4%
p10: -38.3%
p25: -24.2%
p50: -10.6%
p75: +8.8%
p90: +13.8%
p95: +17.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 53
Price change 1h: -0.5%
Volume acceleration: -29.0%
Liquidity: $263.5K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$AI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	93%	+20.4%	-0.9%	+23.6%	9 · 48 · — · 54
$AI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	93%	+18.3%	-1.7%	+19.6%	26 · 48 · — · 54
$BONER2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	85%	+10.4%	-4.6%	+10.4%	5 · 39 · — · 51
$CRAWL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	84%	-35.8%	-41.9%	+3.4%	8 · 53 · — · 54
$PRISM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	84%	-15.4%	-19.0%	0.0%	3 · 86 · — · 55
$PRISM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	83%	-16.6%	-16.6%	+4.1%	3 · 88 · — · 55
$VEX2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	83%	-6.4%	-6.5%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 53
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	82%	-27.6%	-34.2%	+14.8%	32 · 54 · — · 52
$CRAWL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	79%	-44.9%	-47.7%	+3.5%	7 · 45 · — · 53
$TENDIES2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	79%	+8.0%	-1.0%	+10.2%	2 · 62 · — · 52
$CRAWL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	79%	-48.0%	-48.5%	+2.8%	8 · 50 · — · 53
$PAID2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	78%	+17.2%	-8.4%	+18.2%	— · — · — · 53
$旺柴2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	78%	+8.9%	-7.2%	+23.8%	30 · 58 · — · 53
$1F9162026-10-10 16:00 UTC	78%	-22.3%	-22.4%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 52
$CRAWL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	77%	-34.4%	-40.6%	+10.9%	44 · 53 · — · 52
$SAPLING2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	77%	-16.1%	-17.1%	+18.5%	8 · 59 · — · 55
$旺柴2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	77%	+3.2%	-12.1%	+17.3%	10 · 51 · — · 55
$AGENCY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	77%	-38.1%	-40.9%	+8.5%	27 · 70 · — · 51
$PAID2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	76%	+11.8%	-6.1%	+21.2%	— · — · — · 53
$PRISM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	76%	-5.9%	-11.7%	+10.2%	3 · 88 · — · 54
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	76%	-12.9%	-14.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 54
$1F9162026-10-10 17:00 UTC	76%	-23.0%	-23.1%	+3.2%	— · — · — · 53
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	76%	-11.2%	-22.6%	+7.1%	— · — · — · 52
$INU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	75%	-9.9%	-13.6%	+4.0%	4 · 63 · — · 52
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	75%	-2.2%	-9.7%	+6.8%	3 · 86 · — · 53
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	74%	-17.3%	-23.9%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 54
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	74%	-39.7%	-49.5%	0.0%	30 · 55 · — · 48
$PAID2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	74%	+13.7%	-3.3%	+26.1%	— · — · — · 56
$OTC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	74%	-1.8%	-12.5%	+4.0%	— · — · — · 56
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	73%	+9.3%	-6.8%	+24.4%	10 · 58 · — · 55
$QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	73%	-34.1%	-44.2%	+19.6%	17 · 38 · — · 53
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	73%	+0.8%	-9.6%	+8.8%	— · — · — · 53
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	73%	-15.5%	-26.3%	+1.4%	— · — · — · 53
$INU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	73%	+14.8%	-14.0%	+15.3%	3 · 67 · — · 50
$AGENCY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	72%	-41.2%	-42.8%	+5.1%	42 · 75 · — · 50
$BONER2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	72%	+8.8%	-4.3%	+10.8%	41 · 50 · — · 50
$AI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	72%	+10.6%	0.0%	+19.1%	9 · 48 · — · 55
$FONE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	72%	-3.5%	-8.9%	+10.8%	— · — · — · 56
$MONITOR2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	72%	-22.1%	-28.7%	+3.5%	3 · 81 · — · 50
$QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	71%	-33.2%	-41.2%	+25.3%	64 · 36 · — · 52

$AI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+20.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.9%
$AI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+18.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.7%
$BONER2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.6%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-35.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.9%
$PRISM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-15.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.0%
$PRISM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-16.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.6%
$VEX2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-6.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-27.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.2%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-44.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-47.7%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+8.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-48.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.5%
$PAID2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+17.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$旺柴2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+8.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.2%
$1F9162026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-22.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.4%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-34.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.6%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.1%
$旺柴2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.1%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-38.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.9%
$PAID2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+11.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$PRISM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-5.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.7%
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-12.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.4%
$1F9162026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-23.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.6%
$INU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.6%
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.7%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-17.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.9%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-39.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.5%
$PAID2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+13.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.3%
$OTC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-1.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.5%
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+9.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.8%
$QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-34.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.2%
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-15.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.3%
$INU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-41.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-42.8%
$BONER2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+8.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.3%
$AI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+10.6%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$FONE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.9%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-22.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.7%
$QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-33.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:13 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $MUSHU within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 1,086 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.