Historical analogs

Similar setups to $FONE

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 809 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-5.7%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-46.0%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

23%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:05 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 23% (95% CI 12–38%)

Median: -5.7%; CI -12.2% … -1.5%
Trimmed mean: -7.0%; 10% each side
Mean: -3.9%; σ 28.5%
Range: -45.5% … +146%

1 above +30.6% (max +146%)

p5: -33.1%
p10: -23.3%
p25: -17.9%
p50: -5.7%
p75: 0.0%
p90: +13.8%
p95: +18.7%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:05 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 49
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: +117%
Liquidity: $531.1K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$GENIE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	88%	-21.2%	-21.2%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 49
$SI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	78%	+16.9%	-2.9%	+31.3%	88 · 44 · — · 49
$SI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	78%	+18.2%	-1.8%	+32.8%	39 · 36 · — · 52
$SI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	76%	+1.6%	-1.4%	+30.7%	31 · 33 · — · 52
$CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	73%	-38.0%	-43.9%	+4.8%	8 · 49 · — · 51
$FLORK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	71%	-5.4%	-10.2%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 46
$KITTY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	71%	-9.7%	-12.6%	+1.2%	— · — · — · 45
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	67%	-21.2%	-28.0%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 54
$SAPLING2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	66%	-32.9%	-33.7%	+2.4%	44 · 62 · — · 53
$ORBIO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	65%	-15.2%	-15.2%	+5.1%	56 · 45 · — · 45
$GENIE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	64%	-18.7%	-18.8%	+4.8%	— · — · — · 53
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	63%	-8.3%	-14.0%	+7.3%	3 · 88 · — · 53
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	61%	0.0%	-2.2%	+2.4%	— · — · — · 45
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	60%	+6.9%	-5.0%	+8.6%	— · — · — · 46
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	58%	-6.8%	-23.1%	+7.2%	6 · 75 · — · 48
$MEME2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	58%	-3.8%	-11.2%	+1.3%	3 · 81 · — · 46
$GENIE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	58%	-23.1%	-23.1%	+4.3%	— · — · — · 56
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	57%	-1.3%	-22.0%	+9.2%	76 · 66 · — · 48
$ORBIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	55%	-18.1%	-18.1%	+14.8%	6 · 58 · — · 42
$ZCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	55%	-6.0%	-8.4%	+10.8%	— · — · — · 43
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	54%	-0.4%	-2.4%	+2.8%	— · — · — · 43
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	52%	-45.5%	-46.0%	+15.0%	28 · 63 · — · 42
$OTC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	50%	-10.1%	-12.1%	+6.0%	— · — · — · 53
$ORBIO2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	50%	-25.6%	-28.0%	+1.0%	63 · 48 · — · 44
$MAX2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	49%	+5.1%	-0.2%	+11.6%	— · — · — · 43
$SI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	49%	+27.8%	0.0%	+43.2%	13 · 51 · — · 42
$MAX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	49%	0.0%	-2.9%	+6.2%	— · — · — · 46
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	49%	+13.4%	-8.8%	+27.6%	30 · 54 · — · 43
$PRISM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	48%	-4.5%	-10.7%	+16.0%	59 · 86 · — · 43
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	47%	-17.9%	-18.8%	+14.7%	43 · 58 · — · 47
$ORBIO2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	46%	-7.0%	-7.1%	+22.6%	43 · 58 · — · 44
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	46%	+146%	-39.1%	+146%	62 · 51 · — · 46
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	46%	-15.2%	-19.2%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$CORE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	46%	-4.9%	-7.4%	+2.1%	— · — · — · 46
$SAPLING2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	46%	-20.2%	-21.1%	+12.7%	28 · 59 · — · 53
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	46%	-1.5%	-8.3%	0.0%	5 · 56 · — · 50
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	44%	+8.6%	-5.8%	+10.4%	— · — · — · 56
$HMM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	44%	-14.3%	-15.6%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 56
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	44%	-0.4%	-6.6%	+1.2%	5 · 56 · — · 47
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	43%	-4.8%	-6.2%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 45

$GENIE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.2%
$SI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+16.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%
$SI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+18.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$SI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-38.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.9%
$FLORK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.2%
$KITTY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-9.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.6%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.0%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-32.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.7%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.2%
$GENIE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-18.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.8%
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
0.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+6.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.0%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$MEME2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.2%
$GENIE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-23.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-1.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.0%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-18.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.1%
$ZCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-6.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.4%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-45.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.0%
$OTC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
-10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.1%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
-25.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.0%
$MAX2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
+5.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.2%
$SI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
+27.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$MAX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
0.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
+13.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.8%
$PRISM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-4.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.7%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-17.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.8%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-7.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
+146%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.1%
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.2%
$CORE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.4%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-20.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.1%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.3%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
44%
24h return
+8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.8%
$HMM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
44%
24h return
-14.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.6%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
44%
24h return
-0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.6%
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
43%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:05 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $FONE within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 809 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.