Historical analogs

Similar setups to $MAX

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,086 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-1.3%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-54.2%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

48%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:11 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 48% (95% CI 33–63%)

Median: -1.3%; CI -4.6% … +2.1%
Trimmed mean: -3.1%; 10% each side
Mean: -4.0%; σ 19.2%
Range: -46.3% … +39.9%

p5: -41.2%
p10: -30.1%
p25: -13.7%
p50: -1.3%
p75: +7.3%
p90: +17.1%
p95: +18.9%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:11 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 53
Price change 1h: +4.8%
Volume acceleration: +243%
Liquidity: $355.1K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$TENDIES2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	66%	-1.7%	-9.9%	+0.4%	40 · 56 · — · 51
$PRISM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	59%	-12.1%	-17.5%	+7.2%	25 · 88 · — · 46
$MEME2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	58%	-3.8%	-11.2%	+1.3%	3 · 81 · — · 46
$MUSHU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	55%	+3.7%	-1.8%	+3.7%	— · — · — · 45
$GENIE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	49%	-21.2%	-21.2%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 49
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	49%	-1.1%	-3.8%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 43
$BOXY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	48%	+12.0%	-0.1%	+12.0%	— · — · — · 45
$KITTY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	48%	-1.5%	-3.0%	+6.0%	— · — · — · 43
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	46%	-2.9%	-3.7%	+1.5%	— · — · — · 45
$牛来2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	46%	-4.8%	-5.6%	+1.9%	— · — · — · 43
$MUSHU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	42%	+0.9%	-2.2%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 44
$BATON2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	42%	+39.9%	-8.0%	+51.9%	4 · 88 · — · 46
$GENIE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	41%	-18.7%	-18.8%	+4.8%	— · — · — · 53
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	41%	+8.6%	-5.8%	+10.4%	— · — · — · 56
$BOXY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	39%	+3.9%	-0.8%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 63
$HOOKS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	39%	-46.3%	-54.2%	+9.1%	— · — · — · 44
$SNDK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	39%	+31.7%	-2.5%	+51.9%	39 · 81 · — · 46
$PRISM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	38%	-4.5%	-10.7%	+16.0%	59 · 86 · — · 43
$FLORK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	38%	+1.3%	-4.2%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 45
$KITTY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	36%	-3.4%	-4.9%	+3.2%	— · — · — · 46
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	36%	+12.8%	-2.1%	+14.7%	— · — · — · 43
$SI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	35%	+18.2%	-1.8%	+32.8%	39 · 36 · — · 52
$KITTY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	35%	-9.7%	-12.6%	+1.2%	— · — · — · 45
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	33%	+12.7%	-2.1%	+13.3%	3 · 78 · — · 58
$BNBO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	33%	+2.0%	-8.6%	+8.9%	— · — · — · 44
$INJOH2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	33%	+0.9%	-3.4%	+3.7%	— · — · — · 46
$OMNI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	32%	-41.1%	-46.9%	+19.4%	— · — · — · 56
$ORBIO2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	31%	-25.6%	-28.0%	+1.0%	63 · 48 · — · 44
$ALLINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	31%	+17.0%	-7.5%	+26.8%	— · — · — · 53
$HMM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	30%	-10.5%	-11.9%	+6.6%	— · — · — · 66
$CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	29%	-38.0%	-43.9%	+4.8%	8 · 49 · — · 51
$GENIE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	29%	-29.2%	-29.2%	+2.2%	— · — · — · 54
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	29%	-21.2%	-28.0%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 54
$PCC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	28%	+2.2%	-7.3%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 45
$GENIE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	28%	-23.1%	-23.1%	+4.3%	— · — · — · 56
$SI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	28%	+1.6%	-1.4%	+30.7%	31 · 33 · — · 52
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	28%	+6.9%	-5.0%	+8.6%	— · — · — · 46
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	27%	-41.2%	-43.1%	+11.7%	43 · 68 · — · 38
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	27%	+17.8%	-14.0%	+41.1%	— · — · — · 43
$GTA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	27%	+9.0%	-6.7%	+50.5%	— · — · — · 43

$TENDIES2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-1.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$PRISM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-12.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.5%
$MEME2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.2%
$MUSHU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+3.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$GENIE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.2%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-1.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.8%
$BOXY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
+12.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.1%
$KITTY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.7%
$牛来2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$MUSHU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
42%
24h return
+0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$BATON2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
42%
24h return
+39.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.0%
$GENIE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
-18.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.8%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
+8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.8%
$BOXY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
39%
24h return
+3.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.8%
$HOOKS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
39%
24h return
-46.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-54.2%
$SNDK2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
39%
24h return
+31.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$PRISM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
38%
24h return
-4.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.7%
$FLORK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
38%
24h return
+1.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.2%
$KITTY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
-3.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.9%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
+12.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.1%
$SI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
+18.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$KITTY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
-9.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.6%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
33%
24h return
+12.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.1%
$BNBO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
33%
24h return
+2.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$INJOH2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
33%
24h return
+0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.4%
$OMNI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
-41.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.9%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
31%
24h return
-25.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.0%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
31%
24h return
+17.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.5%
$HMM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
30%
24h return
-10.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.9%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
29%
24h return
-38.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.9%
$GENIE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
29%
24h return
-29.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.2%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
29%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.0%
$PCC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
28%
24h return
+2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.3%
$GENIE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
28%
24h return
-23.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$SI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
28%
24h return
+1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
28%
24h return
+6.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.0%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
27%
24h return
-41.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.1%
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
27%
24h return
+17.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$GTA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
27%
24h return
+9.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.7%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:11 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $MAX within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 1,086 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.