Historical analogs

Similar setups to $SI

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,232 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-6.2%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-94.9%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

35%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 22:07 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 35% (95% CI 22–50%)

Median: -6.2%; CI -17.4% … -0.8%
Trimmed mean: -9.4%; 10% each side
Mean: -9.8%; σ 36.9%
Range: -94.8% … +69.8%

3 below -76.5% (min -94.8%) · 3 above +51.0% (max +69.8%)

p5: -79.6%
p10: -57.0%
p25: -25.9%
p50: -6.2%
p75: +7.1%
p90: +26.8%
p95: +60.7%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 22:07 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 73
Price change 1h: -0.6%
Volume acceleration: -42.0%
Liquidity: $77.0K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$OMNI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	66%	-45.8%	-47.9%	+25.1%	3 · 88 · — · 66
$TM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	64%	+69.8%	-13.5%	+127%	3 · 86 · — · 66
$ALTAI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	62%	-84.1%	-84.5%	+15.1%	3 · 56 · — · 66
$MALFOID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	60%	+17.5%	-20.5%	+22.4%	— · — · — · 66
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	59%	-11.5%	-28.9%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 66
$OMNI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	59%	-52.6%	-57.1%	0.0%	42 · 90 · — · 65
$MALFOID2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	58%	+19.5%	-17.8%	+26.5%	— · — · — · 65
$MADE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	58%	-2.1%	-9.6%	+3.9%	— · — · — · 66
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	57%	-25.9%	-30.3%	+38.2%	3 · 78 · — · 66
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	56%	-51.6%	-62.5%	+24.7%	— · — · — · 65
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	54%	-16.6%	-24.0%	0.0%	— · — · — · 65
$MADE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	53%	-4.7%	-8.6%	+5.0%	— · — · — · 65
$MICHI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	53%	+4.1%	-1.3%	+4.9%	— · — · — · 65
$MADE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	52%	+0.1%	-6.5%	+7.4%	— · — · — · 65
$MICHI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	52%	-1.5%	-1.5%	+2.6%	— · — · — · 66
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	52%	-8.9%	-26.8%	+4.3%	— · — · — · 64
$MALFOID2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	51%	+18.7%	-19.7%	+23.7%	— · — · — · 63
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	51%	+25.7%	-62.2%	+25.8%	— · — · — · 66
$MALFOID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	50%	+26.3%	-14.5%	+31.5%	— · — · — · 64
$MICHI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	49%	+2.2%	-2.7%	+3.4%	— · — · — · 65
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	49%	-26.8%	-31.2%	+36.6%	3 · 78 · — · 64
$ALTAI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	49%	-94.8%	-94.9%	+7.3%	— · — · — · 65
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	48%	-3.8%	-9.8%	+9.0%	2 · 78 · — · 66
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	48%	-15.8%	-25.3%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 66
$MADE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	47%	-3.4%	-10.8%	+2.5%	— · — · — · 64
$MICHI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	46%	+4.1%	-2.5%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 66
$MADE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	46%	-3.9%	-7.1%	+6.7%	— · — · — · 66
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	46%	-22.2%	-30.9%	+1.8%	— · — · — · 64
$OMNI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	45%	-57.0%	-58.7%	+2.7%	52 · 88 · — · 63
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	44%	+31.5%	-60.4%	+31.6%	— · — · — · 63
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	44%	-57.0%	-65.8%	+13.5%	— · — · — · 65
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	44%	-20.2%	-29.1%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 63
$ALTAI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	43%	-79.4%	-80.2%	+15.8%	3 · 56 · — · 65
$MADE2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	42%	-7.7%	-8.0%	+5.6%	— · — · — · 62
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	41%	-10.4%	-19.1%	+70.2%	3 · 78 · — · 65
$FACTORY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	40%	-18.3%	-44.7%	+16.2%	— · — · — · 66
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	40%	-26.1%	-30.6%	+37.8%	3 · 78 · — · 63
$FACTORY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	40%	+16.2%	-40.0%	+26.2%	— · — · — · 65
$SWOLF2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	40%	+60.6%	-23.5%	+99.3%	— · — · — · 66
$TM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	40%	+64.0%	-21.7%	+120%	3 · 86 · — · 64

$OMNI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-45.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-47.9%
$TM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+69.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.5%
$ALTAI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-84.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-84.5%
$MALFOID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+17.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.5%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-11.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.9%
$OMNI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-52.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.1%
$MALFOID2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+19.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.8%
$MADE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-2.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-25.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.3%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-51.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-62.5%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-16.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.0%
$MADE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-4.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$MICHI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$MADE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
+0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$MICHI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.5%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-8.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.8%
$MALFOID2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
+18.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.7%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
+25.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-62.2%
$MALFOID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
+26.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.5%
$MICHI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
+2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.7%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-26.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.2%
$ALTAI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-94.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-94.9%
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.8%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-15.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.3%
$MADE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-3.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.8%
$MICHI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
+4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$MADE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-3.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-22.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.9%
$OMNI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
-57.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-58.7%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
44%
24h return
+31.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-60.4%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
44%
24h return
-57.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-65.8%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
44%
24h return
-20.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.1%
$ALTAI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
43%
24h return
-79.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-80.2%
$MADE2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
42%
24h return
-7.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.0%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
-10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.1%
$FACTORY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
-18.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.7%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
-26.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.6%
$FACTORY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
+16.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.0%
$SWOLF2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
+60.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.5%
$TM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
+64.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.7%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 22:07 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $SI within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,863 resolved snapshots · 1,232 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.